October 18th, 2011
Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
68.176 |
25.366 |
6.332 |
0.126 |
| Buffalo |
22.938 |
45.038 |
29.898 |
2.126 |
| NY Jets |
8.818 |
28.768 |
57.668 |
4.746 |
| Miami |
0.068 |
0.828 |
6.102 |
93.002 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Baltimore |
64.288 |
27.36 |
7.496 |
0.856 |
| Pittsburgh |
28.486 |
50.124 |
18.666 |
2.724 |
| Cincinnati |
6.808 |
20.11 |
60.41 |
12.672 |
| Cleveland |
0.418 |
2.406 |
13.428 |
83.748 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Houston |
52.312 |
40.978 |
6.404 |
0.306 |
| Tennessee |
45.67 |
47.324 |
6.468 |
0.538 |
| Jacksonville |
1.95 |
10.536 |
67.574 |
19.94 |
| Indianapolis |
0.068 |
1.162 |
19.554 |
79.216 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Diego |
53.532 |
36.814 |
8.164 |
1.49 |
| Oakland |
42.322 |
43.276 |
11.724 |
2.678 |
| Denver |
1.84 |
9.88 |
42.932 |
45.348 |
| Kansas City |
2.306 |
10.03 |
37.18 |
50.484 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Dallas |
44.53 |
26.414 |
18.258 |
10.798 |
| NY Giants |
26.934 |
30.094 |
26.826 |
16.146 |
| Washington |
20.304 |
27.536 |
28.35 |
23.81 |
| Philadelphia |
8.232 |
15.956 |
26.566 |
49.246 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Green Bay |
71.188 |
26.568 |
2.168 |
0.076 |
| Detroit |
27.92 |
62.774 |
8.966 |
0.34 |
| Chicago |
0.868 |
10.236 |
78.692 |
10.204 |
| Minnesota |
0.024 |
0.422 |
10.174 |
89.38 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New Orleans |
83.728 |
12.59 |
3.11 |
0.572 |
| Tampa Bay |
9.472 |
47.374 |
28.362 |
14.792 |
| Atlanta |
5.584 |
26.262 |
42.152 |
26.002 |
| Carolina |
1.216 |
13.774 |
26.376 |
58.634 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Francisco |
91.578 |
6.978 |
1.238 |
0.206 |
| Seattle |
3.974 |
43.018 |
32.79 |
20.218 |
| St Louis |
2.078 |
26.526 |
31.686 |
39.71 |
| Arizona |
2.37 |
23.478 |
34.286 |
39.866 |
Generated: Tue Oct 18 23:10:07 EDT 2011
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Baltimore |
35.614 |
17.354 |
8.062 |
3.258 |
17.828 |
7.966 |
90.082 |
| New England |
23.042 |
23.868 |
14.222 |
7.044 |
7.954 |
9.098 |
85.228 |
| Pittsburgh |
14.636 |
7.706 |
4.244 |
1.9 |
31.316 |
14.692 |
74.494 |
| San Diego |
6.544 |
10.596 |
15.936 |
20.456 |
3.626 |
5.912 |
63.07 |
| Tennessee |
5.51 |
10.02 |
14.164 |
15.976 |
4.838 |
8.564 |
59.072 |
| Oakland |
4.292 |
8.608 |
14.85 |
14.572 |
5.558 |
8.962 |
56.842 |
| Buffalo |
4.358 |
7.528 |
6.444 |
4.608 |
10.064 |
13.784 |
46.786 |
| Houston |
3.276 |
9.178 |
15.904 |
23.954 |
3.346 |
6.352 |
62.01 |
| Cincinnati |
2.004 |
2.178 |
1.664 |
0.962 |
9.774 |
12.102 |
28.684 |
| NY Jets |
0.61 |
2.466 |
3.044 |
2.698 |
4.234 |
8.584 |
21.636 |
| Kansas City |
0.034 |
0.208 |
0.506 |
1.558 |
0.466 |
1.032 |
3.804 |
| Cleveland |
0.042 |
0.088 |
0.138 |
0.15 |
0.462 |
1.092 |
1.972 |
| Denver |
0.03 |
0.142 |
0.46 |
1.208 |
0.446 |
1.374 |
3.66 |
| Jacksonville |
0.0080 |
0.056 |
0.354 |
1.532 |
0.076 |
0.418 |
2.444 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
0.0040 |
0.0080 |
0.056 |
0.012 |
0.062 |
0.142 |
| Indianapolis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.068 |
0.0 |
0.0060 |
0.074 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Green Bay |
56.274 |
11.126 |
3.064 |
0.724 |
22.574 |
3.888 |
97.65 |
| Detroit |
16.616 |
7.348 |
2.998 |
0.958 |
47.866 |
11.99 |
87.776 |
| San Francisco |
10.514 |
23.06 |
26.872 |
31.132 |
0.368 |
0.95 |
92.896 |
| New Orleans |
8.022 |
23.252 |
26.41 |
26.044 |
1.466 |
2.882 |
88.076 |
| Dallas |
3.658 |
16.414 |
15.426 |
9.032 |
4.046 |
15.28 |
63.856 |
| NY Giants |
2.718 |
7.94 |
9.144 |
7.132 |
6.564 |
15.092 |
48.59 |
| Washington |
1.612 |
7.308 |
7.064 |
4.32 |
6.06 |
14.92 |
41.284 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.178 |
1.116 |
2.576 |
5.602 |
1.56 |
6.374 |
17.406 |
| Chicago |
0.226 |
0.268 |
0.252 |
0.122 |
5.712 |
12.894 |
19.474 |
| Philadelphia |
0.094 |
1.196 |
2.886 |
4.056 |
1.786 |
8.106 |
18.124 |
| Atlanta |
0.06 |
0.574 |
1.728 |
3.222 |
1.158 |
3.658 |
10.4 |
| Seattle |
0.022 |
0.298 |
0.796 |
2.858 |
0.428 |
2.044 |
6.446 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.046 |
0.31 |
2.014 |
0.062 |
0.362 |
2.794 |
| St Louis |
0.0020 |
0.024 |
0.274 |
1.778 |
0.042 |
0.29 |
2.41 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.026 |
0.196 |
0.994 |
0.168 |
0.746 |
2.13 |
| Minnesota |
0.0040 |
0.0040 |
0.0040 |
0.012 |
0.14 |
0.524 |
0.688 |
Generated: Tue Oct 18 23:10:07 EDT 2011
Posted in Uncategorized | No Comments »
October 13th, 2011
Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
54.072 |
35.19 |
10.25 |
0.488 |
| Buffalo |
36.736 |
40.428 |
20.756 |
2.08 |
| NY Jets |
8.898 |
22.46 |
57.228 |
11.414 |
| Miami |
0.294 |
1.922 |
11.766 |
86.018 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Pittsburgh |
41.136 |
37.34 |
17.102 |
4.422 |
| Baltimore |
44.812 |
33.838 |
16.72 |
4.63 |
| Cincinnati |
12.172 |
23.082 |
46.924 |
17.822 |
| Cleveland |
1.88 |
5.74 |
19.254 |
73.126 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Houston |
64.264 |
30.53 |
4.948 |
0.258 |
| Tennessee |
33.144 |
55.536 |
10.254 |
1.066 |
| Jacksonville |
2.474 |
12.098 |
65.204 |
20.224 |
| Indianapolis |
0.118 |
1.836 |
19.594 |
78.452 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Diego |
60.188 |
31.714 |
6.94 |
1.158 |
| Oakland |
35.218 |
46.078 |
14.778 |
3.926 |
| Kansas City |
2.94 |
13.206 |
41.008 |
42.846 |
| Denver |
1.654 |
9.002 |
37.274 |
52.07 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Dallas |
60.804 |
25.628 |
10.56 |
3.008 |
| Washington |
26.348 |
41.504 |
22.858 |
9.29 |
| NY Giants |
10.272 |
24.424 |
44.93 |
20.374 |
| Philadelphia |
2.576 |
8.444 |
21.652 |
67.328 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Green Bay |
58.35 |
39.686 |
1.806 |
0.158 |
| Detroit |
41.288 |
55.442 |
3.05 |
0.22 |
| Chicago |
0.262 |
3.398 |
61.262 |
35.078 |
| Minnesota |
0.1 |
1.474 |
33.882 |
64.544 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New Orleans |
96.356 |
3.186 |
0.402 |
0.056 |
| Carolina |
1.566 |
45.968 |
32.076 |
20.39 |
| Tampa Bay |
1.652 |
36.432 |
39.086 |
22.83 |
| Atlanta |
0.426 |
14.414 |
28.436 |
56.724 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Francisco |
88.186 |
9.254 |
2.124 |
0.436 |
| Seattle |
5.558 |
43.282 |
32.5 |
18.66 |
| Arizona |
4.29 |
28.886 |
37.068 |
29.756 |
| St Louis |
1.966 |
18.578 |
28.308 |
51.148 |
Generated: Tue Oct 11 18:10:29 EDT 2011
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| New England |
19.422 |
15.642 |
11.874 |
7.134 |
13.718 |
10.41 |
78.2 |
| Baltimore |
15.984 |
12.268 |
9.862 |
6.698 |
13.858 |
11.4 |
70.07 |
| Houston |
15.412 |
16.372 |
16.102 |
16.378 |
6.05 |
6.516 |
76.83 |
| Pittsburgh |
14.5 |
11.37 |
9.276 |
5.99 |
18.318 |
11.816 |
71.27 |
| San Diego |
10.318 |
12.402 |
15.252 |
22.216 |
3.874 |
5.204 |
69.266 |
| Buffalo |
9.992 |
10.276 |
9.08 |
7.388 |
12.494 |
11.336 |
60.566 |
| Tennessee |
6.216 |
8.53 |
9.506 |
8.892 |
10.9 |
11.464 |
55.508 |
| Oakland |
4.076 |
6.796 |
10.358 |
13.988 |
5.864 |
8.628 |
49.71 |
| Cincinnati |
2.71 |
3.262 |
3.53 |
2.67 |
8.114 |
9.974 |
30.26 |
| NY Jets |
0.942 |
2.06 |
2.846 |
3.05 |
3.86 |
6.84 |
19.598 |
| Cleveland |
0.188 |
0.382 |
0.604 |
0.706 |
1.164 |
2.322 |
5.366 |
| Jacksonville |
0.106 |
0.242 |
0.608 |
1.518 |
0.53 |
1.31 |
4.314 |
| Kansas City |
0.094 |
0.256 |
0.66 |
1.93 |
0.716 |
1.416 |
5.072 |
| Denver |
0.04 |
0.128 |
0.364 |
1.122 |
0.466 |
1.148 |
3.268 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
0.01 |
0.056 |
0.228 |
0.058 |
0.168 |
0.52 |
| Indianapolis |
0.0 |
0.0040 |
0.022 |
0.092 |
0.016 |
0.048 |
0.182 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Green Bay |
37.972 |
13.63 |
5.39 |
1.358 |
31.134 |
7.0 |
96.484 |
| New Orleans |
24.136 |
32.92 |
26.348 |
12.952 |
0.282 |
0.812 |
97.45 |
| Detroit |
23.39 |
12.146 |
4.414 |
1.338 |
44.622 |
8.826 |
94.736 |
| Dallas |
6.588 |
19.394 |
25.156 |
9.666 |
5.128 |
16.72 |
82.652 |
| San Francisco |
4.432 |
10.578 |
20.564 |
52.612 |
0.154 |
0.962 |
89.302 |
| Washington |
2.76 |
8.31 |
10.378 |
4.9 |
9.374 |
24.582 |
60.304 |
| NY Giants |
0.618 |
2.196 |
4.368 |
3.09 |
4.466 |
15.26 |
29.998 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.032 |
0.194 |
0.48 |
0.946 |
0.574 |
3.446 |
5.672 |
| Philadelphia |
0.01 |
0.222 |
0.896 |
1.448 |
0.542 |
5.05 |
8.168 |
| Chicago |
0.028 |
0.066 |
0.118 |
0.05 |
1.578 |
6.324 |
8.164 |
| Carolina |
0.014 |
0.144 |
0.564 |
0.844 |
0.99 |
4.26 |
6.816 |
| Seattle |
0.012 |
0.09 |
0.682 |
4.774 |
0.296 |
2.404 |
8.258 |
| Atlanta |
0.0040 |
0.044 |
0.146 |
0.232 |
0.192 |
1.086 |
1.704 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.026 |
0.332 |
3.932 |
0.066 |
0.676 |
5.032 |
| Minnesota |
0.0040 |
0.028 |
0.042 |
0.026 |
0.58 |
2.41 |
3.09 |
| St Louis |
0.0 |
0.012 |
0.122 |
1.832 |
0.022 |
0.182 |
2.17 |
Generated: Tue Oct 11 18:10:29 EDT 2011
Posted in Uncategorized | No Comments »
October 4th, 2011
Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
48.962 |
32.318 |
17.76 |
0.96 |
| Buffalo |
30.766 |
36.566 |
29.38 |
3.288 |
| NY Jets |
19.996 |
29.568 |
44.116 |
6.32 |
| Miami |
0.276 |
1.548 |
8.744 |
89.432 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Baltimore |
61.188 |
24.962 |
10.444 |
3.406 |
| Pittsburgh |
21.718 |
38.122 |
26.772 |
13.388 |
| Cincinnati |
13.826 |
26.734 |
38.172 |
21.268 |
| Cleveland |
3.268 |
10.182 |
24.612 |
61.938 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Houston |
54.498 |
39.244 |
5.786 |
0.472 |
| Tennessee |
43.43 |
48.288 |
7.228 |
1.054 |
| Jacksonville |
1.8 |
9.62 |
58.936 |
29.644 |
| Indianapolis |
0.272 |
2.848 |
28.05 |
68.83 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Oakland |
50.012 |
33.246 |
13.14 |
3.602 |
| San Diego |
38.942 |
36.962 |
19.254 |
4.842 |
| Denver |
8.99 |
22.22 |
42.852 |
25.938 |
| Kansas City |
2.056 |
7.572 |
24.754 |
65.618 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Dallas |
48.21 |
29.35 |
18.234 |
4.206 |
| Washington |
29.126 |
35.438 |
27.352 |
8.084 |
| NY Giants |
21.046 |
30.052 |
39.65 |
9.252 |
| Philadelphia |
1.618 |
5.16 |
14.764 |
78.458 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Green Bay |
55.412 |
40.94 |
3.5 |
0.148 |
| Detroit |
43.288 |
49.936 |
6.624 |
0.152 |
| Chicago |
1.278 |
8.674 |
75.742 |
14.306 |
| Minnesota |
0.022 |
0.45 |
14.134 |
85.394 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New Orleans |
90.19 |
8.14 |
1.426 |
0.244 |
| Tampa Bay |
6.118 |
48.564 |
31.476 |
13.842 |
| Carolina |
2.812 |
30.112 |
37.416 |
29.66 |
| Atlanta |
0.88 |
13.184 |
29.682 |
56.254 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Francisco |
72.758 |
20.818 |
5.196 |
1.228 |
| Arizona |
20.94 |
46.7 |
22.594 |
9.766 |
| Seattle |
3.364 |
17.956 |
39.912 |
38.768 |
| St Louis |
2.938 |
14.526 |
32.298 |
50.238 |
Generated: Tue Oct 04 17:20:56 EDT 2011
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Houston |
23.164 |
15.398 |
10.53 |
5.406 |
16.162 |
9.664 |
80.324 |
| Baltimore |
19.678 |
17.674 |
15.302 |
8.534 |
8.194 |
8.228 |
77.61 |
| Tennessee |
18.3 |
12.218 |
8.834 |
4.078 |
19.666 |
11.71 |
74.806 |
| New England |
15.216 |
15.81 |
12.676 |
5.26 |
11.768 |
10.73 |
71.46 |
| Buffalo |
6.928 |
9.312 |
9.146 |
5.38 |
10.398 |
11.568 |
52.732 |
| Pittsburgh |
4.616 |
6.382 |
6.492 |
4.228 |
11.75 |
11.752 |
45.22 |
| Oakland |
3.378 |
6.898 |
12.176 |
27.56 |
2.148 |
4.148 |
56.308 |
| San Diego |
3.024 |
5.496 |
9.538 |
20.884 |
2.522 |
4.376 |
45.84 |
| NY Jets |
2.472 |
5.12 |
6.726 |
5.678 |
6.132 |
9.696 |
35.824 |
| Cincinnati |
2.532 |
3.734 |
4.342 |
3.218 |
6.864 |
8.806 |
29.496 |
| Cleveland |
0.278 |
0.658 |
1.122 |
1.21 |
1.55 |
3.166 |
7.984 |
| Denver |
0.214 |
0.808 |
2.08 |
5.888 |
1.04 |
2.536 |
12.566 |
| Jacksonville |
0.174 |
0.39 |
0.596 |
0.64 |
1.422 |
2.624 |
5.846 |
| Kansas City |
0.014 |
0.06 |
0.27 |
1.712 |
0.134 |
0.4 |
2.59 |
| Indianapolis |
0.01 |
0.034 |
0.072 |
0.156 |
0.212 |
0.42 |
0.904 |
| Miami |
0.0020 |
0.0080 |
0.098 |
0.168 |
0.038 |
0.176 |
0.49 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Green Bay |
34.972 |
13.414 |
6.028 |
0.998 |
26.78 |
9.592 |
91.784 |
| Detroit |
25.778 |
11.654 |
4.912 |
0.944 |
36.572 |
10.434 |
90.294 |
| New Orleans |
21.352 |
29.864 |
29.736 |
9.238 |
0.996 |
1.89 |
93.076 |
| Dallas |
6.832 |
18.682 |
18.764 |
3.932 |
7.584 |
16.928 |
72.722 |
| Washington |
5.138 |
11.408 |
10.24 |
2.34 |
11.172 |
20.084 |
60.382 |
| NY Giants |
3.452 |
6.882 |
8.262 |
2.45 |
9.364 |
18.256 |
48.666 |
| San Francisco |
1.822 |
5.268 |
13.624 |
52.044 |
0.24 |
0.98 |
73.978 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.278 |
1.264 |
2.816 |
1.76 |
1.958 |
6.192 |
14.268 |
| Chicago |
0.224 |
0.404 |
0.472 |
0.178 |
3.46 |
7.324 |
12.062 |
| Arizona |
0.044 |
0.5 |
2.33 |
18.066 |
0.232 |
1.348 |
22.52 |
| Carolina |
0.044 |
0.324 |
1.294 |
1.15 |
0.61 |
2.244 |
5.666 |
| Philadelphia |
0.034 |
0.238 |
0.748 |
0.598 |
0.552 |
2.868 |
5.038 |
| Atlanta |
0.024 |
0.07 |
0.444 |
0.342 |
0.37 |
1.186 |
2.436 |
| Seattle |
0.0040 |
0.016 |
0.16 |
3.184 |
0.018 |
0.254 |
3.636 |
| St Louis |
0.0020 |
0.012 |
0.16 |
2.764 |
0.0080 |
0.07 |
3.016 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.01 |
0.012 |
0.084 |
0.35 |
0.456 |
Generated: Tue Oct 04 17:20:56 EDT 2011
Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments »
September 29th, 2011
The site is up and running for 2011. Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
31.472 |
33.756 |
30.754 |
4.018 |
| Buffalo |
35.894 |
32.714 |
26.522 |
4.87 |
| NY Jets |
31.916 |
30.434 |
31.442 |
6.208 |
| Miami |
0.718 |
3.096 |
11.282 |
84.904 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Baltimore |
71.536 |
21.458 |
5.444 |
1.562 |
| Pittsburgh |
20.872 |
48.964 |
20.742 |
9.422 |
| Cincinnati |
3.97 |
15.366 |
37.874 |
42.79 |
| Cleveland |
3.622 |
14.212 |
35.94 |
46.226 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Houston |
51.426 |
36.22 |
10.698 |
1.656 |
| Tennessee |
42.792 |
42.026 |
12.43 |
2.752 |
| Jacksonville |
4.854 |
16.078 |
50.65 |
28.418 |
| Indianapolis |
0.928 |
5.676 |
26.222 |
67.174 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Oakland |
73.668 |
19.95 |
5.356 |
1.026 |
| San Diego |
18.09 |
43.73 |
29.23 |
8.95 |
| Denver |
6.818 |
28.326 |
41.278 |
23.578 |
| Kansas City |
1.424 |
7.994 |
24.136 |
66.446 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Dallas |
55.724 |
26.716 |
13.304 |
4.256 |
| Washington |
27.53 |
38.56 |
23.726 |
10.184 |
| NY Giants |
13.452 |
25.692 |
41.004 |
19.852 |
| Philadelphia |
3.294 |
9.032 |
21.966 |
65.708 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Green Bay |
57.436 |
36.93 |
5.034 |
0.6 |
| Detroit |
40.314 |
49.508 |
9.184 |
0.994 |
| Chicago |
1.912 |
10.772 |
59.156 |
28.16 |
| Minnesota |
0.338 |
2.79 |
26.626 |
70.246 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New Orleans |
87.8 |
9.884 |
1.954 |
0.362 |
| Tampa Bay |
7.22 |
46.23 |
32.98 |
13.57 |
| Carolina |
4.084 |
32.364 |
38.14 |
25.412 |
| Atlanta |
0.896 |
11.522 |
26.926 |
60.656 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Francisco |
42.298 |
29.448 |
18.892 |
9.362 |
| Arizona |
34.124 |
30.386 |
22.01 |
13.48 |
| St Louis |
16.412 |
23.844 |
29.734 |
30.01 |
| Seattle |
7.166 |
16.322 |
29.364 |
47.148 |
Generated: Wed Sep 28 23:59:03 EDT 2011
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Baltimore |
25.816 |
19.912 |
16.178 |
9.63 |
7.43 |
5.738 |
84.704 |
| Houston |
14.34 |
13.724 |
14.412 |
8.95 |
10.25 |
9.436 |
71.112 |
| Buffalo |
12.838 |
11.252 |
8.096 |
3.708 |
15.318 |
12.908 |
64.12 |
| Tennessee |
11.71 |
11.92 |
11.686 |
7.476 |
11.978 |
10.512 |
65.282 |
| New England |
9.794 |
9.948 |
7.502 |
4.228 |
14.864 |
13.862 |
60.198 |
| Oakland |
9.074 |
12.536 |
18.304 |
33.754 |
1.384 |
2.522 |
77.574 |
| NY Jets |
8.37 |
9.69 |
8.316 |
5.54 |
12.65 |
13.204 |
57.77 |
| Pittsburgh |
5.916 |
5.886 |
5.532 |
3.538 |
15.77 |
12.57 |
49.212 |
| San Diego |
0.748 |
1.758 |
3.764 |
11.82 |
1.676 |
3.144 |
22.91 |
| Cleveland |
0.45 |
0.872 |
1.234 |
1.066 |
2.78 |
4.484 |
10.886 |
| Cincinnati |
0.446 |
0.884 |
1.288 |
1.352 |
2.592 |
4.212 |
10.774 |
| Jacksonville |
0.292 |
0.88 |
1.608 |
2.074 |
1.716 |
3.414 |
9.984 |
| Denver |
0.152 |
0.526 |
1.332 |
4.808 |
0.92 |
2.088 |
9.826 |
| Miami |
0.026 |
0.106 |
0.312 |
0.274 |
0.318 |
0.972 |
2.008 |
| Indianapolis |
0.024 |
0.074 |
0.268 |
0.562 |
0.266 |
0.678 |
1.872 |
| Kansas City |
0.0040 |
0.032 |
0.168 |
1.22 |
0.088 |
0.256 |
1.768 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Green Bay |
30.41 |
17.452 |
8.528 |
1.046 |
20.75 |
10.26 |
88.446 |
| New Orleans |
20.834 |
26.882 |
33.118 |
6.966 |
1.342 |
2.31 |
91.452 |
| Dallas |
19.15 |
20.374 |
14.15 |
2.05 |
13.142 |
12.546 |
81.412 |
| Detroit |
17.524 |
13.014 |
8.564 |
1.212 |
26.28 |
14.088 |
80.682 |
| Washington |
7.226 |
10.664 |
8.432 |
1.208 |
17.158 |
18.298 |
62.986 |
| NY Giants |
2.894 |
4.572 |
4.952 |
1.034 |
10.342 |
15.312 |
39.106 |
| San Francisco |
0.46 |
1.57 |
5.686 |
34.582 |
0.272 |
1.026 |
43.596 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.474 |
1.466 |
3.644 |
1.636 |
2.55 |
6.012 |
15.782 |
| Arizona |
0.292 |
1.374 |
5.314 |
27.144 |
0.302 |
1.336 |
35.762 |
| Philadelphia |
0.252 |
0.992 |
1.694 |
0.356 |
2.384 |
5.778 |
11.456 |
| Chicago |
0.242 |
0.55 |
0.94 |
0.18 |
3.252 |
6.592 |
11.756 |
| Carolina |
0.122 |
0.498 |
2.13 |
1.334 |
1.142 |
2.976 |
8.202 |
| St Louis |
0.066 |
0.286 |
1.64 |
14.42 |
0.094 |
0.518 |
17.024 |
| Minnesota |
0.042 |
0.094 |
0.148 |
0.054 |
0.58 |
1.504 |
2.422 |
| Seattle |
0.0020 |
0.13 |
0.548 |
6.486 |
0.092 |
0.454 |
7.712 |
| Atlanta |
0.01 |
0.082 |
0.512 |
0.292 |
0.318 |
0.99 |
2.204 |
Generated: Wed Sep 28 23:59:03 EDT 2011
Posted in Uncategorized | No Comments »
December 29th, 2010
After the Viking’s upset of the Eagles, the NFC Wildcard Round had cleared up considerably. The Eagles are locked in as the third seed and will host one of the follwing teams with the indicated probabilities:
Green Bay 78.5%
Giants 19%
Tampa 2.5%
In the other game, the winner of the St. Louis - Seattle game will host either New Orleans or Atlanta. The odds of those match ups are:
Seattle - New Orleans 56%
Seattle - Atlanta 10%
St. Louis - New Orleans 29%
St. Louis - Atlanta 5%
Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments »
December 28th, 2010
It is now possible to project the various match ups for the Wild Card round in the AFC, using my software and the Team Efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats. Here are the projections in the AFC, with the home teams listed in the first column and their probability of facing various opponents listed in each row. The most likely match ups are NY Jets @ Kansas City and Baltimore @ Indianapolis, but there are still many other match ups in play. I’ll break down the NFC match ups after the Tuesday Night Football game.
| Team |
NY Jets |
Pittsburgh |
Baltimore |
Total |
| Kansas City |
71 |
17 |
12 |
100 |
| Indianapolis |
27 |
10 |
54 |
91 |
| Jacksonville |
2 |
1 |
7 |
9 |
| Total |
100 |
27 |
73 |
|
Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »
December 23rd, 2010
The 49ers are still in the thick of the NFC West playoff race, with a 35% chance of winning the division. At the same time, they are still mathematically alive to hold the #2 overall pick in the 2011 draft.
Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »
December 22nd, 2010
Here are this week’s predictions. As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the divisionAFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
97.09 |
2.91 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| NY Jets |
2.91 |
97.09 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
| Buffalo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Pittsburgh |
80.58 |
19.42 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Baltimore |
19.42 |
80.58 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cleveland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
98.942 |
1.058 |
| Cincinnati |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.058 |
98.942 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Indianapolis |
79.038 |
16.818 |
4.144 |
0.0 |
| Jacksonville |
18.818 |
75.582 |
5.6 |
0.0 |
| Houston |
0.0 |
0.0 |
55.03 |
44.97 |
| Tennessee |
2.144 |
7.6 |
35.226 |
55.03 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Diego |
46.496 |
51.324 |
2.18 |
0.0 |
| Kansas City |
52.454 |
43.112 |
4.434 |
0.0 |
| Oakland |
1.05 |
5.564 |
93.386 |
0.0 |
| Denver |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Philadelphia |
98.322 |
1.678 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| NY Giants |
1.678 |
98.322 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Washington |
0.0 |
0.0 |
57.054 |
42.946 |
| Dallas |
0.0 |
0.0 |
42.946 |
57.054 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Chicago |
100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Green Bay |
0.0 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.0 |
62.464 |
37.536 |
| Detroit |
0.0 |
0.0 |
37.536 |
62.464 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Atlanta |
93.13 |
6.87 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| New Orleans |
6.87 |
80.296 |
12.834 |
0.0 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.0 |
12.834 |
87.166 |
0.0 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Seattle |
45.302 |
29.072 |
25.626 |
0.0 |
| St Louis |
19.234 |
44.252 |
34.916 |
1.598 |
| San Francisco |
35.464 |
26.676 |
35.766 |
2.094 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.692 |
96.308 |
Generated: Wed Dec 22 13:58:50 EST 2010AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| New England |
97.09 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.91 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
| Pittsburgh |
0.0 |
80.52 |
0.06 |
0.0 |
3.272 |
16.148 |
100.0 |
| NY Jets |
2.41 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
34.596 |
61.888 |
99.394 |
| Baltimore |
0.5 |
18.92 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
59.154 |
18.542 |
97.116 |
| Kansas City |
0.0 |
0.06 |
48.272 |
4.122 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
52.454 |
| San Diego |
0.0 |
0.0 |
45.4 |
1.096 |
0.0 |
2.594 |
49.09 |
| Indianapolis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.114 |
73.924 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
79.038 |
| Jacksonville |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.404 |
18.414 |
0.068 |
0.828 |
19.714 |
| Oakland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.75 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.05 |
| Tennessee |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.144 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.144 |
| Buffalo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cincinnati |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cleveland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Houston |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Denver |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Atlanta |
90.89 |
1.944 |
0.296 |
0.0 |
6.87 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
| Philadelphia |
2.0 |
59.026 |
37.296 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.294 |
99.616 |
| New Orleans |
6.87 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
76.444 |
4.696 |
88.01 |
| Chicago |
0.24 |
37.588 |
62.172 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
| NY Giants |
0.0 |
1.442 |
0.236 |
0.0 |
7.95 |
46.378 |
56.006 |
| Seattle |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
45.302 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
45.302 |
| San Francisco |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
35.464 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
35.464 |
| St Louis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
19.234 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
19.234 |
| Green Bay |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7.892 |
38.87 |
46.762 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.844 |
8.762 |
9.606 |
| Dallas |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Washington |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Detroit |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Generated: Wed Dec 22 13:58:50 EST 2010
Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments »
December 16th, 2010
Here are this week’s predictions. As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
97.838 |
2.162 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| NY Jets |
2.162 |
92.39 |
5.448 |
0.0 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
5.448 |
94.552 |
0.0 |
| Buffalo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Pittsburgh |
92.88 |
7.12 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Baltimore |
7.12 |
92.88 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cleveland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
99.44 |
0.56 |
| Cincinnati |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.56 |
99.44 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Jacksonville |
31.488 |
56.842 |
11.67 |
0.0 |
| Indianapolis |
66.174 |
25.012 |
7.578 |
1.236 |
| Houston |
1.306 |
12.73 |
62.73 |
23.234 |
| Tennessee |
1.032 |
5.416 |
18.022 |
75.53 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| San Diego |
53.264 |
44.394 |
2.342 |
0.0 |
| Kansas City |
45.36 |
48.812 |
5.828 |
0.0 |
| Oakland |
1.376 |
6.794 |
91.83 |
0.0 |
| Denver |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| NY Giants |
53.13 |
46.87 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Philadelphia |
46.87 |
53.13 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Washington |
0.0 |
0.0 |
71.906 |
28.094 |
| Dallas |
0.0 |
0.0 |
28.094 |
71.906 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Chicago |
57.696 |
42.304 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Green Bay |
42.304 |
57.696 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.0 |
93.88 |
6.12 |
| Detroit |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.12 |
93.88 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Atlanta |
89.422 |
10.578 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| New Orleans |
10.578 |
78.378 |
11.044 |
0.0 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.0 |
11.044 |
88.956 |
0.0 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Seattle |
48.296 |
30.276 |
21.26 |
0.168 |
| St Louis |
27.944 |
36.18 |
33.342 |
2.534 |
| San Francisco |
23.76 |
32.642 |
38.808 |
4.79 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.902 |
6.59 |
92.508 |
Generated: Thu Dec 16 01:13:17 EST 2010
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| New England |
85.03 |
12.76 |
0.048 |
0.0 |
1.74 |
0.422 |
100.0 |
| Pittsburgh |
13.858 |
78.902 |
0.114 |
0.0060 |
3.328 |
3.792 |
100.0 |
| Baltimore |
0.304 |
6.808 |
0.0080 |
0.0 |
73.88 |
14.752 |
95.752 |
| NY Jets |
0.808 |
1.334 |
0.02 |
0.0 |
18.428 |
60.466 |
81.056 |
| San Diego |
0.0 |
0.0 |
49.532 |
3.732 |
2.202 |
11.244 |
66.71 |
| Kansas City |
0.0 |
0.06 |
39.108 |
6.192 |
0.078 |
3.342 |
48.78 |
| Indianapolis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7.678 |
58.496 |
0.0 |
0.078 |
66.252 |
| Jacksonville |
0.0 |
0.136 |
2.684 |
28.668 |
0.232 |
1.6 |
33.32 |
| Oakland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.808 |
0.568 |
0.0 |
0.094 |
1.47 |
| Houston |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.306 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.306 |
| Tennessee |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.032 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.032 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.112 |
4.21 |
4.322 |
| Buffalo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cincinnati |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cleveland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Denver |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Atlanta |
79.57 |
9.138 |
0.714 |
0.0 |
9.17 |
1.378 |
99.97 |
| New Orleans |
10.386 |
0.192 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
75.52 |
7.738 |
93.836 |
| NY Giants |
4.66 |
38.352 |
10.118 |
0.0 |
3.252 |
25.072 |
81.454 |
| Philadelphia |
4.61 |
26.288 |
15.972 |
0.0 |
3.078 |
24.5 |
74.448 |
| Chicago |
0.756 |
13.152 |
43.788 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.962 |
60.658 |
| Green Bay |
0.018 |
12.878 |
29.036 |
0.372 |
0.922 |
11.41 |
54.636 |
| Seattle |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.372 |
47.924 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
48.296 |
| St Louis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
27.944 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
27.944 |
| San Francisco |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
23.76 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
23.76 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
8.058 |
26.94 |
34.998 |
| Dallas |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Washington |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Detroit |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Generated: Thu Dec 16 01:13:17 EST 2010
Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »
December 7th, 2010
Here are this week’s predictions. As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| New England |
82.818 |
16.506 |
0.676 |
0.0 |
| NY Jets |
16.958 |
79.664 |
3.378 |
0.0 |
| Miami |
0.224 |
3.83 |
95.868 |
0.078 |
| Buffalo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.078 |
99.922 |
AFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Pittsburgh |
91.482 |
8.51 |
0.0080 |
0.0 |
| Baltimore |
8.518 |
90.13 |
1.352 |
0.0 |
| Cleveland |
0.0 |
1.36 |
97.754 |
0.886 |
| Cincinnati |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.886 |
99.114 |
AFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Jacksonville |
34.686 |
35.27 |
24.974 |
5.07 |
| Indianapolis |
44.762 |
25.746 |
17.724 |
11.768 |
| Houston |
11.936 |
24.802 |
36.394 |
26.868 |
| Tennessee |
8.616 |
14.182 |
20.908 |
56.294 |
AFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Kansas City |
63.57 |
31.214 |
5.216 |
0.0 |
| San Diego |
33.468 |
55.428 |
10.996 |
0.108 |
| Oakland |
2.962 |
13.31 |
83.122 |
0.606 |
| Denver |
0.0 |
0.048 |
0.666 |
99.286 |
NFC EAST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| NY Giants |
54.12 |
43.43 |
2.374 |
0.076 |
| Philadelphia |
45.744 |
51.76 |
2.356 |
0.14 |
| Washington |
0.136 |
3.036 |
62.012 |
34.816 |
| Dallas |
0.0 |
1.774 |
33.258 |
64.968 |
NFC NORTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Green Bay |
61.72 |
38.228 |
0.052 |
0.0 |
| Chicago |
38.28 |
61.72 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.052 |
99.478 |
0.47 |
| Detroit |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.47 |
99.53 |
NFC SOUTH
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Atlanta |
76.776 |
23.142 |
0.082 |
0.0 |
| New Orleans |
23.216 |
70.858 |
5.926 |
0.0 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.0080 |
6.0 |
93.992 |
0.0 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
100.0 |
NFC WEST
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| Seattle |
60.46 |
26.964 |
12.556 |
0.02 |
| St Louis |
25.506 |
42.33 |
31.5 |
0.664 |
| San Francisco |
14.034 |
30.268 |
50.592 |
5.106 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.438 |
5.352 |
94.21 |
Generated: Tue Dec 07 17:22:51 EST 2010
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| New England |
63.258 |
18.65 |
0.904 |
0.0060 |
14.654 |
1.93 |
99.402 |
| Pittsburgh |
28.838 |
61.386 |
1.17 |
0.088 |
3.39 |
4.882 |
99.754 |
| NY Jets |
6.754 |
9.334 |
0.808 |
0.062 |
35.838 |
38.064 |
90.86 |
| Baltimore |
0.988 |
6.798 |
0.656 |
0.076 |
42.818 |
32.194 |
83.53 |
| Kansas City |
0.156 |
3.044 |
56.264 |
4.106 |
0.138 |
3.654 |
67.362 |
| San Diego |
0.0 |
0.396 |
31.582 |
1.49 |
2.552 |
13.034 |
49.054 |
| Indianapolis |
0.0 |
0.042 |
4.264 |
40.456 |
0.0020 |
0.398 |
45.162 |
| Jacksonville |
0.0060 |
0.31 |
1.616 |
32.754 |
0.176 |
1.19 |
36.052 |
| Oakland |
0.0 |
0.0020 |
2.08 |
0.88 |
0.024 |
0.444 |
3.43 |
| Houston |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.258 |
11.678 |
0.02 |
0.308 |
12.264 |
| Tennessee |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.26 |
8.356 |
0.0 |
0.0060 |
8.622 |
| Miami |
0.0 |
0.038 |
0.138 |
0.048 |
0.372 |
3.606 |
4.202 |
| Cleveland |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.016 |
0.29 |
0.306 |
| Buffalo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cincinnati |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Denver |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
6th |
Total |
| Atlanta |
68.28 |
6.64 |
1.852 |
0.0040 |
19.298 |
3.136 |
99.21 |
| New Orleans |
21.132 |
1.888 |
0.196 |
0.0 |
64.258 |
8.05 |
95.524 |
| Green Bay |
1.962 |
42.228 |
17.144 |
0.386 |
3.624 |
20.49 |
85.834 |
| NY Giants |
3.352 |
19.808 |
30.868 |
0.092 |
2.352 |
16.136 |
72.608 |
| Chicago |
2.542 |
21.426 |
14.178 |
0.134 |
5.0 |
30.314 |
73.594 |
| Philadelphia |
2.73 |
7.906 |
34.572 |
0.536 |
2.128 |
9.068 |
56.94 |
| Seattle |
0.0 |
0.098 |
1.036 |
59.326 |
0.0 |
0.03 |
60.49 |
| St Louis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.048 |
25.458 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
25.506 |
| San Francisco |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
14.034 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
14.034 |
| Tampa Bay |
0.0020 |
0.0060 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.34 |
12.464 |
15.812 |
| Washington |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.106 |
0.03 |
0.0 |
0.264 |
0.4 |
| Minnesota |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
| Dallas |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0020 |
0.0020 |
| Detroit |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Carolina |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Arizona |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Generated: Tue Dec 07 17:22:51 EST 2010
Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »