Archive for October, 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 8

Thursday, October 31st, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 75.988 18.872 4.524 0.616
NY Jets 15.612 47.114 24.782 12.492
Buffalo 5.806 21.912 44.728 27.554
Miami 2.594 12.102 25.966 59.338

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 99.056 0.902 0.038 0.004
Cleveland 0.752 58.488 28.388 12.372
Pittsburgh 0.104 27.626 39.016 33.254
Baltimore 0.088 12.984 32.558 54.37

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 91.034 7.496 1.464 0.006
Tennessee 4.638 46.032 47.278 2.052
Houston 4.326 45.914 47.122 2.638
Jacksonville 0.002 0.558 4.136 95.304

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 70.278 28.132 1.584 0.006
Kansas City 28.972 65.114 5.836 0.078
San Diego 0.748 6.644 80.918 11.69
Oakland 0.002 0.11 11.662 88.226

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 65.81 23.486 9.354 1.35
Philadelphia 26.758 47.164 21.258 4.82
NY Giants 5.456 21.548 45.334 27.662
Washington 1.976 7.802 24.054 66.168

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 65.564 28.524 5.908 0.004
Detroit 30.728 57.916 11.334 0.022
Chicago 3.708 13.55 81.45 1.292
Minnesota 0.0 0.01 1.308 98.682

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 84.148 15.776 0.076 0.0
Carolina 15.82 81.318 2.842 0.02
Atlanta 0.032 2.896 89.94 7.132
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.01 7.142 92.848

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 74.874 24.89 0.236 0.0
San Francisco 25.066 72.716 2.198 0.02
Arizona 0.06 2.322 85.79 11.828
St Louis 0.0 0.072 11.776 88.152

Generated: Thu Oct 31 00:26:12 EDT 2013

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 41.302 24.1 4.272 0.604 27.548 1.766 99.592
Cincinnati 36.568 47.356 12.992 2.14 0.096 0.518 99.67
Kansas City 17.114 9.934 1.73 0.194 63.514 5.506 97.992
Indianapolis 3.884 13.68 44.478 28.992 0.174 1.814 93.022
New England 0.868 4.048 26.522 44.55 0.524 6.246 82.758
San Diego 0.248 0.264 0.188 0.048 5.602 21.55 27.9
NY Jets 0.002 0.122 3.91 11.578 0.73 14.664 31.006
Tennessee 0.006 0.116 1.958 2.558 0.29 9.266 14.194
Cleveland 0.0 0.212 0.302 0.238 0.492 15.392 16.636
Houston 0.002 0.04 1.482 2.802 0.124 5.632 10.082
Miami 0.006 0.07 0.692 1.826 0.192 3.73 6.516
Buffalo 0.0 0.028 1.376 4.402 0.394 5.374 11.574
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.018 0.052 0.034 0.176 4.622 4.902
Baltimore 0.0 0.012 0.044 0.032 0.048 2.24 2.376
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.096 1.674 1.772
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.006 0.008

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 56.684 14.01 4.096 0.084 22.074 2.464 99.412
New Orleans 18.896 38.296 23.318 3.638 2.63 6.512 93.29
San Francisco 17.748 5.948 1.332 0.038 58.538 10.714 94.318
Green Bay 5.15 23.12 32.758 4.536 2.614 15.004 83.182
Detroit 0.916 9.852 18.264 1.696 6.948 28.014 65.69
Carolina 0.468 5.604 7.878 1.87 5.366 19.886 41.072
Dallas 0.118 2.164 6.646 56.882 0.034 0.756 66.6
Philadelphia 0.006 0.554 2.814 23.384 0.178 2.774 29.71
Chicago 0.002 0.422 2.662 0.622 0.362 5.132 9.202
Arizona 0.012 0.02 0.028 0.0 1.224 8.276 9.56
NY Giants 0.0 0.006 0.156 5.294 0.01 0.304 5.77
Washington 0.0 0.004 0.03 1.942 0.0 0.044 2.02
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.018 0.014 0.016 0.084 0.132
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.036 0.042
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Thu Oct 31 00:26:12 EDT 2013

2013 Playoff Predictions after Week 7

Wednesday, October 23rd, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 46.066 33.608 14.396 5.93
NY Jets 39.366 37.018 16.666 6.95
Buffalo 8.34 17.672 43.416 30.572
Miami 6.228 11.702 25.522 56.548

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 93.11 5.84 0.884 0.166
Cleveland 3.136 40.17 33.806 22.888
Pittsburgh 2.614 37.39 33.534 26.462
Baltimore 1.14 16.6 31.776 50.484

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 89.086 8.984 1.93 0.0
Tennessee 6.452 48.724 43.64 1.184
Houston 4.46 41.99 51.712 1.838
Jacksonville 0.002 0.302 2.718 96.978

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 56.468 36.744 6.762 0.026
Kansas City 40.082 49.41 10.478 0.03
San Diego 3.45 13.81 80.086 2.654
Oakland 0.0 0.036 2.674 97.29

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 62.52 33.914 3.354 0.212
Philadelphia 36.41 56.996 5.826 0.768
NY Giants 0.512 4.814 47.716 46.958
Washington 0.558 4.276 43.104 52.062

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 70.122 21.592 8.198 0.088
Detroit 20.008 50.364 29.276 0.352
Chicago 9.866 27.952 60.93 1.252
Minnesota 0.004 0.092 1.596 98.308

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 79.328 19.684 0.986 0.002
Carolina 19.9 68.686 11.258 0.156
Atlanta 0.772 11.56 83.674 3.994
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.07 4.082 95.848

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 86.006 13.976 0.016 0.002
San Francisco 13.992 85.042 0.934 0.032
Arizona 0.002 0.896 74.502 24.6
St Louis 0.0 0.086 24.548 75.366

Generated: Wed Oct 23 22:29:23 EDT 2013

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 36.948 14.726 4.274 0.52 34.472 6.074 97.014
Kansas City 27.874 9.464 2.41 0.334 46.326 8.822 95.23
Cincinnati 20.704 37.162 25.47 9.774 0.484 2.078 95.672
Indianapolis 11.258 26.584 32.988 18.256 0.432 2.098 91.616
San Diego 1.744 1.094 0.5 0.112 11.21 25.36 40.02
New England 0.894 3.552 12.346 29.274 1.356 7.712 55.134
NY Jets 0.376 4.048 11.252 23.69 1.336 9.462 50.164
Tennessee 0.074 1.008 3.182 2.188 1.06 10.432 17.944
Cleveland 0.034 0.63 1.088 1.384 1.164 7.388 11.688
Miami 0.036 0.434 1.498 4.26 0.312 2.584 9.124
Pittsburgh 0.03 0.518 0.97 1.096 0.862 6.79 10.266
Houston 0.016 0.396 1.936 2.112 0.344 5.322 10.126
Buffalo 0.012 0.238 1.698 6.392 0.492 3.342 12.174
Baltimore 0.0 0.146 0.388 0.606 0.13 2.332 3.602
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.204 0.224
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.002

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 76.074 8.188 1.568 0.176 13.424 0.444 99.874
San Francisco 11.4 2.142 0.394 0.056 69.434 10.094 93.52
New Orleans 7.768 35.03 24.208 12.322 2.512 7.058 88.898
Green Bay 3.176 23.802 26.242 16.902 1.248 9.726 81.096
Dallas 0.994 12.426 16.392 32.708 1.264 7.492 71.276
Philadelphia 0.246 6.63 10.336 19.198 3.068 15.46 54.938
Carolina 0.19 5.256 7.904 6.55 4.532 16.112 40.544
Detroit 0.136 4.896 8.478 6.498 3.154 19.298 42.46
Chicago 0.016 1.548 4.182 4.12 0.814 9.726 20.406
Atlanta 0.0 0.068 0.226 0.478 0.172 1.226 2.17
Washington 0.0 0.008 0.042 0.508 0.03 0.188 0.776
NY Giants 0.0 0.004 0.028 0.48 0.022 0.264 0.798
Arizona 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.322 2.84 3.164
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.0 0.006 0.01
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.066 0.07
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Oct 23 22:29:23 EDT 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 6

Wednesday, October 16th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 57.308 27.09 12.722 2.88
NY Jets 20.08 35.228 31.758 12.934
Miami 20.194 28.612 31.906 19.288
Buffalo 2.418 9.07 23.614 64.898

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 77.728 16.688 4.436 1.148
Cleveland 13.084 40.998 29.652 16.266
Pittsburgh 4.926 24.11 32.706 38.258
Baltimore 4.262 18.204 33.206 44.328

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 89.004 9.244 1.744 0.008
Tennessee 7.534 54.848 35.982 1.636
Houston 3.456 35.292 57.442 3.81
Jacksonville 0.006 0.616 4.832 94.546

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 68.046 29.644 2.266 0.044
Kansas City 30.882 61.34 7.54 0.238
San Diego 1.064 8.776 77.344 12.816
Oakland 0.008 0.24 12.85 86.902

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 84.908 14.128 0.906 0.058
Dallas 14.512 69.45 13.724 2.314
NY Giants 0.298 9.818 48.494 41.39
Washington 0.282 6.604 36.876 56.238

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 45.082 30.484 23.226 1.208
Detroit 33.712 38.244 27.184 0.86
Chicago 21.148 30.772 45.92 2.16
Minnesota 0.058 0.5 3.67 95.772

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 87.676 12.106 0.218 0.0
Carolina 12.118 77.724 9.422 0.736
Atlanta 0.202 9.01 69.522 21.266
Tampa Bay 0.004 1.16 20.838 77.998

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 83.994 15.166 0.828 0.012
San Francisco 15.39 77.15 7.25 0.21
Arizona 0.612 7.484 80.15 11.754
St Louis 0.004 0.2 11.772 88.024

Generated: Wed Oct 16 19:16:04 EDT 2013

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 55.662 9.834 2.178 0.372 27.872 2.78 98.698
Kansas City 23.996 5.242 1.348 0.296 55.414 7.556 93.852
Indianapolis 10.384 32.384 27.014 19.222 0.452 2.15 91.606
Cincinnati 6.378 28.338 24.964 18.048 1.248 5.682 84.658
New England 2.106 10.19 18.718 26.294 1.29 7.212 65.81
Miami 0.412 4.296 6.974 8.512 1.36 8.87 30.424
San Diego 0.584 0.308 0.118 0.054 6.214 16.376 23.654
Cleveland 0.184 2.614 3.986 6.3 1.804 10.14 25.028
NY Jets 0.124 2.808 6.614 10.534 1.076 9.082 30.238
Tennessee 0.104 1.922 3.226 2.282 1.454 13.4 22.388
Houston 0.038 0.66 1.246 1.512 0.656 5.294 9.406
Pittsburgh 0.016 0.734 1.66 2.516 0.524 5.086 10.536
Baltimore 0.01 0.578 1.406 2.268 0.322 3.798 8.382
Buffalo 0.0 0.09 0.544 1.784 0.182 1.44 4.04
Oakland 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.0 0.132 1.124 1.264
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.0 0.01 0.016

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 56.588 18.436 7.082 1.888 12.506 2.144 98.644
New Orleans 24.64 34.014 20.644 8.378 3.88 4.108 95.664
San Francisco 7.522 4.932 2.34 0.596 50.408 16.112 81.91
Philadelphia 5.776 17.77 21.862 39.5 1.352 2.702 88.962
Green Bay 2.766 9.508 18.036 14.772 4.582 13.446 63.11
Detroit 1.344 6.734 13.638 11.996 6.806 16.034 56.552
Carolina 0.598 3.442 4.636 3.442 10.172 16.59 38.88
Chicago 0.506 3.536 8.482 8.624 4.498 13.554 39.2
Dallas 0.184 1.374 2.986 9.968 2.36 6.822 23.694
Arizona 0.074 0.222 0.198 0.118 3.106 7.1 10.818
Atlanta 0.002 0.028 0.054 0.118 0.242 0.892 1.336
Washington 0.0 0.002 0.01 0.27 0.022 0.138 0.442
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.284 0.042 0.168 0.508
Minnesota 0.0 0.002 0.016 0.04 0.008 0.092 0.158
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002 0.014 0.084 0.102
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.002 0.014 0.02

Generated: Wed Oct 16 19:16:04 EDT 2013

2013 Playoff Predictions after Week 5

Wednesday, October 9th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Jets 43.428 32.65 18.216 5.706
New England 36.196 34.082 22.41 7.312
Miami 17.584 24.236 35.302 22.878
Buffalo 2.792 9.032 24.072 64.104

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 64.748 24.25 8.808 2.194
Cleveland 23.656 41.282 24.3 10.762
Baltimore 7.374 19.712 37.26 35.654
Pittsburgh 4.222 14.756 29.632 51.39

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 77.378 16.942 5.678 0.002
Tennessee 11.768 42.188 45.382 0.662
Houston 10.85 40.752 47.588 0.81
Jacksonville 0.004 0.118 1.352 98.526

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 69.228 29.188 1.544 0.04
Kansas City 30.106 63.152 6.158 0.584
San Diego 0.63 6.68 68.53 24.16
Oakland 0.036 0.98 23.768 75.216

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 73.11 21.802 4.41 0.678
Dallas 22.31 49.3 20.848 7.542
Washington 2.912 16.68 37.14 43.268
NY Giants 1.668 12.218 37.602 48.512

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 37.074 38.442 20.792 3.692
Green Bay 46.246 30.52 18.418 4.816
Chicago 15.416 26.646 44.992 12.946
Minnesota 1.264 4.392 15.798 78.546

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 95.604 4.196 0.196 0.004
Carolina 3.93 63.446 24.228 8.396
Atlanta 0.388 22.778 46.876 29.958
Tampa Bay 0.078 9.58 28.7 61.642

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 76.258 21.19 2.524 0.028
San Francisco 21.36 64.452 13.906 0.282
Arizona 2.38 14.2 76.784 6.636
St Louis 0.002 0.158 6.786 93.054

Generated: Wed Oct 09 20:51:24 EDT 2013

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 53.162 12.358 3.108 0.6 24.362 3.74 97.33
Kansas City 21.948 5.934 1.81 0.414 48.782 9.51 88.398
Indianapolis 14.794 30.598 21.054 10.932 2.676 5.8 85.854
Cincinnati 3.804 15.516 19.884 25.544 1.598 5.032 71.378
NY Jets 1.772 11.128 16.802 13.726 3.088 9.798 56.314
New England 1.938 7.496 12.242 14.52 3.058 8.974 48.228
Tennessee 0.734 4.73 4.328 1.976 4.164 17.142 33.074
Miami 0.586 4.188 6.484 6.326 2.14 7.832 27.556
Houston 0.586 3.602 4.044 2.618 4.21 12.828 27.888
Cleveland 0.412 3.028 6.322 13.894 1.768 6.182 31.606
San Diego 0.196 0.21 0.156 0.068 2.736 5.9 9.266
Baltimore 0.022 0.632 1.778 4.942 0.354 2.602 10.33
Buffalo 0.028 0.318 1.056 1.39 0.546 2.172 5.51
Pittsburgh 0.012 0.246 0.918 3.046 0.174 1.43 5.826
Oakland 0.006 0.016 0.012 0.002 0.344 1.058 1.438
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.004

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 40.274 32.024 17.0 6.306 1.182 1.218 98.004
Seattle 40.186 23.322 10.29 2.46 15.958 4.43 96.646
San Francisco 8.51 8.188 3.644 1.018 44.802 14.668 80.83
Green Bay 3.938 11.622 20.188 10.498 6.73 14.546 67.522
Philadelphia 3.226 9.85 16.812 43.222 1.59 3.412 78.112
Detroit 2.576 8.592 16.756 9.15 9.266 17.208 63.548
Chicago 0.464 2.562 7.586 4.804 4.972 12.842 33.23
Dallas 0.342 1.808 4.174 15.986 2.208 5.956 30.474
Arizona 0.284 0.916 0.882 0.298 7.29 11.586 21.256
Carolina 0.166 0.862 1.492 1.41 4.022 8.078 16.03
Minnesota 0.012 0.112 0.594 0.546 0.644 2.108 4.016
Atlanta 0.014 0.058 0.138 0.178 0.768 1.914 3.07
Washington 0.002 0.048 0.22 2.642 0.252 0.836 4.0
NY Giants 0.004 0.024 0.192 1.448 0.154 0.736 2.558
Tampa Bay 0.002 0.012 0.03 0.034 0.15 0.4 0.628
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.012 0.062 0.076

Generated: Wed Oct 09 20:51:24 EDT 2013

2013 Playoff Predictions after Week 4

Wednesday, October 2nd, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 45.06 30.882 17.008 7.05
Miami 35.278 30.14 21.346 13.236
NY Jets 13.6 24.782 33.97 27.648
Buffalo 6.062 14.196 27.676 52.066

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cleveland 44.95 28.874 17.562 8.614
Cincinnati 25.136 29.95 28.39 16.524
Baltimore 22.05 26.444 28.664 22.842
Pittsburgh 7.864 14.732 25.384 52.02

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 42.114 31.358 26.168 0.36
Tennessee 34.764 35.52 28.936 0.78
Houston 23.1 32.884 42.516 1.5
Jacksonville 0.022 0.238 2.38 97.36

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 72.976 21.852 4.988 0.184
Kansas City 21.354 52.348 23.87 2.428
San Diego 5.568 24.144 58.968 11.32
Oakland 0.102 1.656 12.174 86.068

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 59.168 24.928 11.596 4.308
Dallas 24.908 35.094 25.352 14.646
NY Giants 8.546 19.598 32.512 39.344
Washington 7.378 20.38 30.54 41.702

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 75.978 17.332 5.394 1.296
Chicago 11.19 37.838 32.858 18.114
Green Bay 10.304 29.788 31.978 27.93
Minnesota 2.528 15.042 29.77 52.66

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 93.406 5.89 0.662 0.042
Carolina 4.322 45.066 35.146 15.466
Atlanta 2.052 39.248 40.1 18.6
Tampa Bay 0.22 9.796 24.092 65.892

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 89.992 8.488 1.424 0.096
San Francisco 4.692 47.348 40.426 7.534
Arizona 5.192 41.174 43.366 10.268
St Louis 0.124 2.99 14.784 82.102

Generated: Wed Oct 02 23:41:29 EDT 2013

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 49.894 15.346 6.818 0.918 14.162 5.432 92.57
Kansas City 11.738 5.8 3.214 0.602 27.39 14.13 62.874
New England 8.388 14.886 15.098 6.688 6.232 8.812 60.104
Indianapolis 7.664 13.724 15.728 4.998 6.974 9.096 58.184
Tennessee 7.39 13.898 11.342 2.134 12.398 13.264 60.426
Miami 7.012 13.846 11.022 3.398 8.422 10.692 54.392
Houston 3.52 8.084 8.528 2.968 7.522 10.836 41.458
San Diego 1.71 1.86 1.564 0.434 8.622 10.254 24.444
Cleveland 0.822 3.398 8.496 32.234 0.54 1.458 46.948
NY Jets 0.822 3.86 6.252 2.666 3.828 7.352 24.78
Cincinnati 0.442 1.962 4.706 18.026 0.636 1.666 27.438
Buffalo 0.422 1.712 2.764 1.164 2.538 4.774 13.374
Baltimore 0.15 1.364 3.608 16.928 0.36 1.08 23.49
Pittsburgh 0.01 0.228 0.812 6.814 0.096 0.442 8.402
Oakland 0.016 0.03 0.042 0.014 0.274 0.686 1.062
Jacksonville 0.0 0.002 0.006 0.014 0.006 0.026 0.054

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 46.114 28.382 14.71 4.2 3.314 1.492 98.212
Seattle 37.24 29.226 17.764 5.762 4.53 2.196 96.718
Detroit 10.812 22.934 29.324 12.908 6.376 5.66 88.014
Philadelphia 2.058 6.972 14.112 36.026 3.42 4.486 67.074
Chicago 0.796 2.492 4.838 3.064 10.93 11.606 33.726
San Francisco 0.656 1.42 1.728 0.888 15.358 12.576 32.626
Dallas 0.498 1.84 5.132 17.438 3.906 5.844 34.658
Green Bay 0.414 2.02 4.632 3.238 7.672 9.594 27.57
Carolina 0.482 1.404 1.638 0.798 13.262 11.826 29.41
Arizona 0.436 1.722 1.968 1.066 12.636 12.112 29.94
Atlanta 0.338 0.6 0.694 0.42 11.314 10.394 23.76
Minnesota 0.084 0.456 1.174 0.814 3.706 5.338 11.572
NY Giants 0.034 0.292 1.346 6.874 1.084 2.47 12.1
Washington 0.014 0.184 0.812 6.368 1.118 2.216 10.712
Tampa Bay 0.024 0.048 0.08 0.068 1.154 1.748 3.122
St Louis 0.0 0.008 0.048 0.068 0.22 0.442 0.786

Generated: Wed Oct 02 23:41:29 EDT 2013