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<channel>
	<title>NFL playoff races and other musings</title>
	<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com</link>
	<description>This is a blog that supplements  nfl-forecast.com</description>
	<pubDate>Mon, 31 Dec 2007 20:37:27 +0000</pubDate>
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			<item>
		<title>Tooting my own horn</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/67</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/67#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Dec 2007 20:35:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/67</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the conclusion of the NFL season yesterday, it became possible to determine the NFL draft selection order. This year there was a 3-way tie in record and strength of schedule between Atlanta, Kansas City and Oakland for the 4th, 5th and 6th slots. This caused a great deal of confusion with erroneous reports of draft [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the conclusion of the NFL season yesterday, it became possible to determine the NFL draft selection order. This year there was a 3-way tie in record and strength of schedule between Atlanta, Kansas City and Oakland for the 4th, 5th and 6th slots. This caused a great deal of confusion with erroneous reports of draft order or procedures coming from numerous outlets including the Atlanta Journal Constitution and several local Kansas City media outlets. The NFL itself took about 18 hours to make sure they were getting it right.</p>
<p> I&#8217;ve been very interested in this question for the last few weeks since I am a Chiefs fan. Using my software I was able to correctly call the draft order and the specific order of the upcoming coinflips the second the Jets winning FG sailed through the uprights. It&#8217;s all documented in the link below. I called the draft order before the NFL did. </p>
<p><a href="http://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=177667">http://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=177667</a></p>
<p>This was a pretty strenuous test of the NFL tiebreaking procedures that I&#8217;ve coded into my program, considering that many media outlets trying to sort through the tiebreakers by hand made mistakes.  You can bank on the tiebreakers in my software to give you the right answer.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions after week 15</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/66</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/66#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Dec 2007 21:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/66</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I may try to put something up about predicted draft order later in the week since the playoff races are virtually decided, save for one NFC spot.

 Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division 
AFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


New England
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Buffalo
0.0
100.0
0.0
0.0


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
100.0
0.0


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0


AFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Pittsburgh
74.94
25.06
0.0
0.0


Cleveland
25.06
74.94
0.0
0.0


Cincinnati
0.0
0.0
98.54
1.46


Baltimore
0.0
0.0
1.46
98.54


AFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Indianapolis
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Jacksonville
0.0
99.82
0.18
0.0


Tennessee
0.0
0.18
99.0
0.82


Houston
0.0
0.0
0.82
99.18


AFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


San Diego
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Denver
0.0
99.88
0.12
0.0


Kansas City
0.0
0.0
77.98
22.02


Oakland
0.0
0.12
21.9
77.98


NFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Dallas
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NY Giants
0.0
93.96
6.04
0.0


Washington
0.0
6.04
57.92
36.04


Philadelphia
0.0
0.0
36.04
63.96


NFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Green Bay
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Minnesota
0.0
98.1
1.9
0.0


Detroit
0.0
1.9
95.62
2.48


Chicago
0.0
0.0
2.48
97.52


NFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Tampa Bay
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


New Orleans
0.0
96.34
3.66
0.0


Carolina
0.0
3.66
96.34
0.0


Atlanta
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0


NFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Seattle
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Arizona
0.0
99.9
0.1
0.0


San [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I may try to put something up about predicted draft order later in the week since the playoff races are virtually decided, save for one NFC spot.</p>
<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p> Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division </p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>74.94</td>
<td>25.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>25.06</td>
<td>74.94</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>98.54</td>
<td>1.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.46</td>
<td>98.54</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.82</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>99.0</td>
<td>0.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.82</td>
<td>99.18</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.88</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>77.98</td>
<td>22.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>21.9</td>
<td>77.98</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>93.96</td>
<td>6.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>6.04</td>
<td>57.92</td>
<td>36.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>36.04</td>
<td>63.96</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>98.1</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>95.62</td>
<td>2.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.48</td>
<td>97.52</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>96.34</td>
<td>3.66</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>3.66</td>
<td>96.34</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.9</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>91.58</td>
<td>8.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>8.32</td>
<td>91.68</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Dec 18 15:54:04 EST 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>66.02</td>
<td>33.98</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>24.74</td>
<td>50.2</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>23.28</td>
<td>98.28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>9.24</td>
<td>15.82</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>69.96</td>
<td>95.88</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>98.96</td>
<td>0.98</td>
<td>99.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>5.78</td>
<td>5.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>68.82</td>
<td>31.18</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>31.18</td>
<td>68.82</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>61.5</td>
<td>38.5</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>38.5</td>
<td>61.5</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>48.46</td>
<td>40.66</td>
<td>89.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>38.86</td>
<td>26.62</td>
<td>65.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>8.1</td>
<td>21.72</td>
<td>29.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>4.58</td>
<td>10.78</td>
<td>15.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Dec 18 15:54:04 EST 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/66/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions after week 14</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/65</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/65#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 19:53:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/65</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve never seen the races so close to determined this early in the season. The improved bbnflstats.com predictions are partially responsible for the increased certainty, but more than that the way the season has played out there is just really clear stratification of the teams within the conferences.
AFC
NE
IND
PIT &#8212; could switch to the 4 seed
SD [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve never seen the races so close to determined this early in the season. The improved <a href="http://www.bbnflstats.com">bbnflstats.com</a> predictions are partially responsible for the increased certainty, but more than that the way the season has played out there is just really clear stratification of the teams within the conferences.</p>
<p>AFC<br />
NE<br />
IND<br />
PIT &#8212; could switch to the 4 seed<br />
SD &#8212; could switch to the 3 seed<br />
JAX<br />
CLE &#8212; could lose out to Buffalo, Denver or Tennessee</p>
<p>NFC<br />
DAL<br />
GB<br />
SEA<br />
TB<br />
NYG - could drop to 6th<br />
MIN - could rise to 5th or drop their spot to NO, WAS, or ARZ</p>
<p>Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division</p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>93.14</td>
<td>6.86</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>6.86</td>
<td>93.14</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>98.48</td>
<td>1.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.52</td>
<td>98.48</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>99.96</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>98.32</td>
<td>1.64</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.64</td>
<td>96.26</td>
<td>2.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>97.9</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>97.3</td>
<td>2.7</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>2.7</td>
<td>96.52</td>
<td>0.76</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>78.58</td>
<td>20.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>20.66</td>
<td>79.14</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>98.66</td>
<td>1.34</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.34</td>
<td>67.26</td>
<td>31.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>31.4</td>
<td>68.6</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>92.72</td>
<td>6.36</td>
<td>0.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>6.06</td>
<td>89.08</td>
<td>4.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.22</td>
<td>4.56</td>
<td>94.22</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>98.1</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>97.52</td>
<td>0.58</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>99.42</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.42</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>57.7</td>
<td>42.28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.56</td>
<td>41.72</td>
<td>57.72</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Dec 11 14:44:45 EST 2007</p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.98</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>99.2</td>
<td>0.72</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.7</td>
<td>61.44</td>
<td>31.0</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>6.08</td>
<td>99.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>34.58</td>
<td>62.72</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.56</td>
<td>97.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>3.22</td>
<td>3.6</td>
<td>6.04</td>
<td>58.26</td>
<td>71.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>92.46</td>
<td>6.66</td>
<td>99.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>2.66</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>2.36</td>
<td>5.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>19.88</td>
<td>20.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>6.2</td>
<td>7.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>95.52</td>
<td>4.26</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>4.44</td>
<td>91.88</td>
<td>3.44</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>3.74</td>
<td>86.68</td>
<td>9.54</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>9.66</td>
<td>90.22</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>75.24</td>
<td>22.08</td>
<td>97.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>21.02</td>
<td>46.14</td>
<td>67.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.52</td>
<td>20.66</td>
<td>23.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.22</td>
<td>5.54</td>
<td>6.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>4.58</td>
<td>4.58</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>0.74</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Dec 11 14:44:45 EST 2007</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/65/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions after week 13</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/64</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/64#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Dec 2007 02:31:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/64</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Big winners:
San Diego
Tennessee
Buffalo
Minnesota
Big Losers:
Cleveland
Denver
Washington
Philadelphia
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


New England
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Buffalo
0.0
99.96
0.04
0.0


NY Jets
0.0
0.04
99.92
0.04


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.04
99.96


AFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Pittsburgh
97.4
2.6
0.0
0.0


Cleveland
2.6
93.04
4.36
0.0


Cincinnati
0.0
4.36
88.26
7.38


Baltimore
0.0
0.0
7.38
92.62


AFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Indianapolis
99.84
0.16
0.0
0.0


Jacksonville
0.16
90.34
9.48
0.02


Tennessee
0.0
9.5
89.64
0.86


Houston
0.0
0.0
0.88
99.12


AFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


San Diego
98.02
1.98
0.0
0.0


Denver
1.98
73.58
21.74
2.7


Kansas City
0.0
23.52
61.1
15.38


Oakland
0.0
0.92
17.16
81.92


NFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Dallas
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NY Giants
0.0
88.6
8.84
2.56


Philadelphia
0.0
6.22
58.98
34.8


Washington
0.0
5.18
32.18
62.64


NFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Green Bay
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Minnesota
0.0
90.58
7.32
2.1


Detroit
0.0
6.7
82.34
10.96


Chicago
0.0
2.72
10.34
86.94


NFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Tampa Bay
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


New Orleans
0.0
77.24
19.56
3.2


Carolina
0.0
19.24
73.8
6.96


Atlanta
0.0
3.52
6.64
89.84


NFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Seattle
96.28
3.72
0.0
0.0


Arizona
3.72
95.62
0.66
0.0


San Francisco
0.0
0.06
54.82
45.12


St Louis
0.0
0.6
44.52
54.88


Generated: Tue Dec 04 21:30:05 EST 2007
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


New England
99.7
0.22
0.08
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0


Indianapolis
0.26
94.64
4.84
0.1
0.14
0.02
100.0


Pittsburgh
0.04
4.98
71.38
21.0
0.34
1.9
99.64


San Diego
0.0
0.0
22.02
76.0
0.0
0.18
98.2


Jacksonville
0.0
0.16
0.0
0.0
86.46
10.38
97.0


Cleveland
0.0
0.0
1.68
0.92
5.18
41.18
48.96


Denver
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.98
0.04
2.04
4.06


Tennessee
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
7.0
26.96
33.96


Buffalo
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.84
17.04
17.88


Cincinnati
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.14
0.14


Kansas City
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.12
0.12


Houston
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.04
0.04


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Baltimore
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Oakland
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


Dallas
96.2
3.5
0.24
0.06
0.0
0.0
100.0


Green Bay
3.68
86.52
6.34
3.46
0.0
0.0
100.0


Seattle
0.06
4.9
50.66
40.66
1.84
1.26
99.38


Tampa Bay
0.06
5.08
42.76
52.1
0.0
0.0
100.0


NY Giants
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
54.74
30.94
85.68


Arizona
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.72
1.64
11.02
16.38


Minnesota
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
35.22
34.76
69.98


New Orleans
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.1
8.9
11.0


Washington
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.3
5.42
7.72


Philadelphia
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.98
5.38
7.36


Detroit
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.5
1.6


Chicago
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.08
0.6
0.68


Carolina
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.22
0.22


Atlanta
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


St Louis
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


San [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Big winners:<br />
San Diego<br />
Tennessee<br />
Buffalo<br />
Minnesota</p>
<p>Big Losers:<br />
Cleveland<br />
Denver<br />
Washington<br />
Philadelphia</p>
<p>Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division</p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.96</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>99.92</td>
<td>0.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>99.96</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>97.4</td>
<td>2.6</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>2.6</td>
<td>93.04</td>
<td>4.36</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>4.36</td>
<td>88.26</td>
<td>7.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>7.38</td>
<td>92.62</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>99.84</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>90.34</td>
<td>9.48</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>9.5</td>
<td>89.64</td>
<td>0.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.88</td>
<td>99.12</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>98.02</td>
<td>1.98</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>1.98</td>
<td>73.58</td>
<td>21.74</td>
<td>2.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>23.52</td>
<td>61.1</td>
<td>15.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.92</td>
<td>17.16</td>
<td>81.92</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>88.6</td>
<td>8.84</td>
<td>2.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>6.22</td>
<td>58.98</td>
<td>34.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>5.18</td>
<td>32.18</td>
<td>62.64</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>90.58</td>
<td>7.32</td>
<td>2.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>6.7</td>
<td>82.34</td>
<td>10.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.72</td>
<td>10.34</td>
<td>86.94</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>77.24</td>
<td>19.56</td>
<td>3.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>19.24</td>
<td>73.8</td>
<td>6.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>3.52</td>
<td>6.64</td>
<td>89.84</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>96.28</td>
<td>3.72</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>3.72</td>
<td>95.62</td>
<td>0.66</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>54.82</td>
<td>45.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>44.52</td>
<td>54.88</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Dec 04 21:30:05 EST 2007</p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.7</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>0.26</td>
<td>94.64</td>
<td>4.84</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>4.98</td>
<td>71.38</td>
<td>21.0</td>
<td>0.34</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>99.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>22.02</td>
<td>76.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>98.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>86.46</td>
<td>10.38</td>
<td>97.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.68</td>
<td>0.92</td>
<td>5.18</td>
<td>41.18</td>
<td>48.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.98</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>2.04</td>
<td>4.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>7.0</td>
<td>26.96</td>
<td>33.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>17.04</td>
<td>17.88</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>96.2</td>
<td>3.5</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>3.68</td>
<td>86.52</td>
<td>6.34</td>
<td>3.46</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>4.9</td>
<td>50.66</td>
<td>40.66</td>
<td>1.84</td>
<td>1.26</td>
<td>99.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>5.08</td>
<td>42.76</td>
<td>52.1</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>54.74</td>
<td>30.94</td>
<td>85.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>3.72</td>
<td>1.64</td>
<td>11.02</td>
<td>16.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>35.22</td>
<td>34.76</td>
<td>69.98</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>8.9</td>
<td>11.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.3</td>
<td>5.42</td>
<td>7.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.98</td>
<td>5.38</td>
<td>7.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>1.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>0.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Dec 04 21:30:05 EST 2007</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/64/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff predictions after week 12</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/63</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/63#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Nov 2007 05:22:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/63</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The good news is that these predictions incorporate Brian Burke&#8217;s individual game odds. You can (and should) read more about Brian&#8217;s work here. The plan is to use Brian&#8217;s game forecasts from here forward. The bad news is that in the process of converting over to Brian&#8217;s game predictions, I&#8217;ve mucked something up in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The good news is that these predictions incorporate Brian Burke&#8217;s individual game odds. You can (and should) read more about Brian&#8217;s work <a href="http://www.bbnflstats.com">here</a>. The plan is to use Brian&#8217;s game forecasts from here forward. The bad news is that in the process of converting over to Brian&#8217;s game predictions, I&#8217;ve mucked something up in the code. It only effects the Java Webstart version of the code (it runs fine when I compile and run it on my machine). I should have that fixed within a day or so.</p>
<p>Here are this week&#8217;s predictions.</p>
<p>Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division</p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.42</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.42</td>
<td>76.34</td>
<td>23.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>23.08</td>
<td>76.76</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>90.28</td>
<td>9.7</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>9.72</td>
<td>87.78</td>
<td>2.5</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.52</td>
<td>91.64</td>
<td>5.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>5.84</td>
<td>94.16</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>97.54</td>
<td>2.46</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>2.46</td>
<td>92.64</td>
<td>4.88</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>4.66</td>
<td>82.64</td>
<td>12.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>12.48</td>
<td>87.28</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>77.74</td>
<td>19.24</td>
<td>3.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>19.88</td>
<td>65.8</td>
<td>13.96</td>
<td>0.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>2.38</td>
<td>14.92</td>
<td>79.42</td>
<td>3.28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>3.6</td>
<td>96.36</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>75.86</td>
<td>14.14</td>
<td>10.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>10.82</td>
<td>48.6</td>
<td>40.58</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>13.32</td>
<td>37.26</td>
<td>49.42</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>73.96</td>
<td>21.26</td>
<td>4.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>23.14</td>
<td>67.56</td>
<td>9.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.9</td>
<td>11.18</td>
<td>85.92</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>99.78</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>78.82</td>
<td>15.64</td>
<td>5.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>10.62</td>
<td>60.16</td>
<td>29.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>10.34</td>
<td>24.2</td>
<td>65.46</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>94.28</td>
<td>5.72</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>5.72</td>
<td>92.04</td>
<td>2.02</td>
<td>0.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.46</td>
<td>83.1</td>
<td>15.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.78</td>
<td>14.88</td>
<td>84.34</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Wed Nov 28 00:01:58 EST 2007</p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.66</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>91.92</td>
<td>5.26</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>2.32</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>6.02</td>
<td>73.86</td>
<td>10.36</td>
<td>1.78</td>
<td>6.78</td>
<td>98.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.8</td>
<td>0.66</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>81.9</td>
<td>13.16</td>
<td>97.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>10.36</td>
<td>67.36</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>2.78</td>
<td>80.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>8.82</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>10.72</td>
<td>52.92</td>
<td>73.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.88</td>
<td>19.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>4.84</td>
<td>24.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.38</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>2.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.9</td>
<td>14.78</td>
<td>17.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>2.96</td>
<td>3.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>1.02</td>
<td>1.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>0.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>73.18</td>
<td>25.12</td>
<td>1.4</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>26.72</td>
<td>68.96</td>
<td>3.6</td>
<td>0.72</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>4.5</td>
<td>56.68</td>
<td>38.56</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>99.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.42</td>
<td>38.26</td>
<td>54.54</td>
<td>1.18</td>
<td>1.86</td>
<td>97.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>5.68</td>
<td>1.06</td>
<td>6.06</td>
<td>12.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>53.84</td>
<td>23.82</td>
<td>77.66</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>22.86</td>
<td>23.84</td>
<td>46.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>8.68</td>
<td>13.4</td>
<td>22.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>4.3</td>
<td>10.78</td>
<td>15.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>7.04</td>
<td>15.36</td>
<td>22.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>3.54</td>
<td>4.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.38</td>
<td>0.94</td>
<td>1.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Wed Nov 28 00:01:58 EST 2007</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/63/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions after week 11</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/62</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/62#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2007 05:27:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/62</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This post marks the end of one era and the beginning of another.  Up until now, my playoff predictions have been pretty much a one man show. Beginning next week, I&#8217;ll be using Brian Burke&#8217;s team ratings http://www.bbnflstats.com/ to predict the odds of individual games. I&#8217;m really excited about this collaboration, as I think [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This post marks the end of one era and the beginning of another.  Up until now, my playoff predictions have been pretty much a one man show. Beginning next week, I&#8217;ll be using Brian Burke&#8217;s team ratings http://www.bbnflstats.com/ to predict the odds of individual games. I&#8217;m really excited about this collaboration, as I think it will improve the accuracy of the predictions. Brian&#8217;s fully documented team rating methods compliment the hands-on software approach I&#8217;ve used. We&#8217;re entering the time of the NFL season where scenario analysis for your team becomes very worthwhile. There may be some minor changes to the appearance of the software, but the overall functionality of the software will be the same, except for better accuracy. I&#8217;ll do a full quantitative evaluation over the off season.</p>
<p>This is probably as good as place as any to also acknowledge the contributions of Mike M. SteeleFan. He encouraged me to take my predictions from a mostly private hobby to a publically-distributed website. He also goaded me into learning Java to make it possible, as well as provided feedback on the graphical interface. Thanks, Mike.</p>
<p>Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division</p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>100.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>99.46</td>
<td>0.54</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>78.3</td>
<td>21.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>21.16</td>
<td>78.62</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>75.24</td>
<td>24.4</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>24.7</td>
<td>73.5</td>
<td>1.66</td>
<td>0.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>1.58</td>
<td>55.56</td>
<td>42.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.52</td>
<td>42.42</td>
<td>57.04</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>84.6</td>
<td>12.32</td>
<td>3.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>12.54</td>
<td>58.74</td>
<td>26.48</td>
<td>2.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>2.8</td>
<td>27.1</td>
<td>60.56</td>
<td>9.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.84</td>
<td>9.96</td>
<td>88.14</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>55.52</td>
<td>29.18</td>
<td>14.82</td>
<td>0.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>33.04</td>
<td>46.52</td>
<td>19.6</td>
<td>0.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>11.44</td>
<td>23.78</td>
<td>59.36</td>
<td>5.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.52</td>
<td>6.22</td>
<td>93.26</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>95.06</td>
<td>4.86</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>4.78</td>
<td>78.5</td>
<td>12.34</td>
<td>4.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>9.74</td>
<td>44.96</td>
<td>45.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>6.9</td>
<td>42.64</td>
<td>50.38</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>96.76</td>
<td>3.24</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>3.24</td>
<td>85.74</td>
<td>10.46</td>
<td>0.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>9.76</td>
<td>63.46</td>
<td>26.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.26</td>
<td>26.08</td>
<td>72.66</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>91.42</td>
<td>7.24</td>
<td>1.28</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>5.16</td>
<td>50.24</td>
<td>37.92</td>
<td>6.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>3.34</td>
<td>37.88</td>
<td>42.82</td>
<td>15.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>4.64</td>
<td>17.98</td>
<td>77.3</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>67.14</td>
<td>32.64</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>32.86</td>
<td>65.46</td>
<td>1.54</td>
<td>0.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.4</td>
<td>57.44</td>
<td>41.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>40.8</td>
<td>58.7</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Nov 19 23:59:45 EST 2007</p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>96.26</td>
<td>3.34</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>2.58</td>
<td>70.16</td>
<td>11.32</td>
<td>0.54</td>
<td>10.54</td>
<td>3.48</td>
<td>98.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>0.96</td>
<td>11.88</td>
<td>50.34</td>
<td>12.06</td>
<td>3.44</td>
<td>7.26</td>
<td>85.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>10.04</td>
<td>2.22</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>51.92</td>
<td>21.94</td>
<td>86.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.86</td>
<td>19.68</td>
<td>3.16</td>
<td>7.74</td>
<td>19.06</td>
<td>51.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>0.64</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>22.62</td>
<td>33.4</td>
<td>58.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.44</td>
<td>9.34</td>
<td>45.74</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>1.36</td>
<td>57.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>5.54</td>
<td>27.32</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>3.06</td>
<td>36.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>10.98</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>11.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>1.06</td>
<td>4.3</td>
<td>5.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.14</td>
<td>5.5</td>
<td>7.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>50.4</td>
<td>41.44</td>
<td>4.42</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>2.52</td>
<td>0.64</td>
<td>99.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>47.46</td>
<td>41.04</td>
<td>5.82</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>3.98</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>99.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.72</td>
<td>7.82</td>
<td>42.02</td>
<td>40.86</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>92.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.64</td>
<td>3.48</td>
<td>0.62</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>68.8</td>
<td>14.56</td>
<td>88.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>3.82</td>
<td>35.44</td>
<td>27.68</td>
<td>2.2</td>
<td>6.56</td>
<td>75.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>1.96</td>
<td>0.52</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>7.32</td>
<td>27.74</td>
<td>38.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>7.98</td>
<td>24.56</td>
<td>0.64</td>
<td>7.5</td>
<td>41.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.92</td>
<td>3.24</td>
<td>0.7</td>
<td>4.36</td>
<td>10.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>1.22</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>4.72</td>
<td>8.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>7.1</td>
<td>15.58</td>
<td>22.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>4.6</td>
<td>13.62</td>
<td>18.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>2.6</td>
<td>3.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.28</td>
<td>0.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Nov 19 23:59:45 EST 2007</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/62/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions after week 10</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/61</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/61#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Nov 2007 04:57:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/61</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
 Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division 
AFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


New England
99.8
0.2
0.0
0.0


Buffalo
0.2
99.78
0.02
0.0


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
78.54
21.46


Miami
0.0
0.02
21.44
78.54


AFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Pittsburgh
95.42
4.4
0.18
0.0


Cleveland
4.46
84.56
8.48
2.5


Baltimore
0.1
5.74
47.92
46.24


Cincinnati
0.02
5.3
43.42
51.26


AFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Indianapolis
70.32
19.34
10.0
0.34


Jacksonville
16.56
41.76
39.06
2.62


Tennessee
13.1
37.54
45.36
4.0


Houston
0.02
1.36
5.58
93.04


AFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


San Diego
58.18
29.04
12.32
0.46


Kansas City
26.06
36.58
35.28
2.08


Denver
15.74
33.64
46.98
3.64


Oakland
0.02
0.74
5.42
93.82


NFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Dallas
93.96
5.16
0.82
0.06


NY Giants
4.16
73.02
16.28
6.54


Washington
1.8
15.28
49.48
33.44


Philadelphia
0.08
6.54
33.42
59.96


NFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Green Bay
84.9
14.22
0.86
0.02


Detroit
14.86
75.46
8.42
1.26


Chicago
0.24
6.92
54.98
37.86


Minnesota
0.0
3.4
35.74
60.86


NFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Tampa Bay
70.96
18.74
7.82
2.48


Carolina
14.42
40.6
31.24
13.74


New Orleans
9.86
29.12
34.84
26.18


Atlanta
4.76
11.54
26.1
57.6


NFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Seattle
49.32
50.32
0.36
0.0


Arizona
50.58
47.9
1.46
0.06


San Francisco
0.06
1.04
66.06
32.84


St Louis
0.04
0.74
32.12
67.1


Generated: Mon Nov 12 23:27:31 EST 2007


AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


New England
79.04
16.84
3.88
0.04
0.18
0.02
100.0


Pittsburgh
16.72
39.48
34.54
4.68
1.5
1.46
98.38


Indianapolis
2.74
27.92
35.36
4.3
13.18
8.7
92.2


Jacksonville
0.94
7.74
7.36
0.52
31.24
23.96
71.76


Tennessee
0.5
5.48
6.38
0.74
28.04
24.56
65.7


San Diego
0.06
1.52
7.08
49.52
0.86
2.74
61.78


Cleveland
0.0
0.82
3.22
0.42
16.04
21.86
42.36


Kansas City
0.0
0.12
1.56
24.38
0.6
1.94
28.6


Denver
0.0
0.02
0.42
15.3
0.5
1.3
17.54


Buffalo
0.0
0.06
0.12
0.02
6.7
9.58
16.48


Baltimore
0.0
0.0
0.06
0.04
0.4
1.48
1.98


Houston
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.0
0.68
1.54
2.24


Cincinnati
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.08
0.86
0.96


Oakland
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.0
0.0
0.02


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


Dallas
51.52
37.66
4.34
0.44
3.52
1.74
99.22


Green Bay
41.98
39.0
3.56
0.36
11.66
2.76
99.32


Detroit
4.52
9.04
1.1
0.2
26.7
23.38
64.94


Tampa Bay
0.9
5.84
40.46
23.76
0.46
2.22
73.64


NY Giants
0.72
3.1
0.32
0.02
40.3
25.54
70.0


Seattle
0.18
1.86
20.96
26.32
1.06
2.92
53.3


Washington
0.16
1.22
0.36
0.06
7.4
13.36
22.56


Arizona
0.02
0.88
12.06
37.62
0.46
2.4
53.44


Carolina
0.0
0.74
8.48
5.2
1.5
5.62
21.54


New Orleans
0.0
0.46
6.14
3.26
1.22
3.76
14.84


Atlanta
0.0
0.0
2.14
2.62
0.02
0.94
5.72


Chicago
0.0
0.14
0.06
0.04
2.54
7.02
9.8


Philadelphia
0.0
0.06
0.02
0.0
2.42
6.12
8.62


Minnesota
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.74
2.22
2.96


San Francisco
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.06
0.0
0.0
0.06


St Louis
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.04
0.0
0.0
0.04


Generated: [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p> Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division </p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.8</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>99.78</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>78.54</td>
<td>21.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>21.44</td>
<td>78.54</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>95.42</td>
<td>4.4</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>4.46</td>
<td>84.56</td>
<td>8.48</td>
<td>2.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>5.74</td>
<td>47.92</td>
<td>46.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>5.3</td>
<td>43.42</td>
<td>51.26</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>70.32</td>
<td>19.34</td>
<td>10.0</td>
<td>0.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>16.56</td>
<td>41.76</td>
<td>39.06</td>
<td>2.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>13.1</td>
<td>37.54</td>
<td>45.36</td>
<td>4.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>1.36</td>
<td>5.58</td>
<td>93.04</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>58.18</td>
<td>29.04</td>
<td>12.32</td>
<td>0.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>26.06</td>
<td>36.58</td>
<td>35.28</td>
<td>2.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>15.74</td>
<td>33.64</td>
<td>46.98</td>
<td>3.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>5.42</td>
<td>93.82</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>93.96</td>
<td>5.16</td>
<td>0.82</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>4.16</td>
<td>73.02</td>
<td>16.28</td>
<td>6.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>1.8</td>
<td>15.28</td>
<td>49.48</td>
<td>33.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>6.54</td>
<td>33.42</td>
<td>59.96</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>84.9</td>
<td>14.22</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>14.86</td>
<td>75.46</td>
<td>8.42</td>
<td>1.26</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>6.92</td>
<td>54.98</td>
<td>37.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>3.4</td>
<td>35.74</td>
<td>60.86</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>70.96</td>
<td>18.74</td>
<td>7.82</td>
<td>2.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>14.42</td>
<td>40.6</td>
<td>31.24</td>
<td>13.74</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>9.86</td>
<td>29.12</td>
<td>34.84</td>
<td>26.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>4.76</td>
<td>11.54</td>
<td>26.1</td>
<td>57.6</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>49.32</td>
<td>50.32</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>50.58</td>
<td>47.9</td>
<td>1.46</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.04</td>
<td>66.06</td>
<td>32.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>32.12</td>
<td>67.1</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Nov 12 23:27:31 EST 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>79.04</td>
<td>16.84</td>
<td>3.88</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>16.72</td>
<td>39.48</td>
<td>34.54</td>
<td>4.68</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>1.46</td>
<td>98.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>2.74</td>
<td>27.92</td>
<td>35.36</td>
<td>4.3</td>
<td>13.18</td>
<td>8.7</td>
<td>92.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.94</td>
<td>7.74</td>
<td>7.36</td>
<td>0.52</td>
<td>31.24</td>
<td>23.96</td>
<td>71.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>5.48</td>
<td>6.38</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>28.04</td>
<td>24.56</td>
<td>65.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.52</td>
<td>7.08</td>
<td>49.52</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>2.74</td>
<td>61.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.82</td>
<td>3.22</td>
<td>0.42</td>
<td>16.04</td>
<td>21.86</td>
<td>42.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>1.56</td>
<td>24.38</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>1.94</td>
<td>28.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.42</td>
<td>15.3</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>1.3</td>
<td>17.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>6.7</td>
<td>9.58</td>
<td>16.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td>1.48</td>
<td>1.98</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.68</td>
<td>1.54</td>
<td>2.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>0.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>51.52</td>
<td>37.66</td>
<td>4.34</td>
<td>0.44</td>
<td>3.52</td>
<td>1.74</td>
<td>99.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>41.98</td>
<td>39.0</td>
<td>3.56</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>11.66</td>
<td>2.76</td>
<td>99.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>4.52</td>
<td>9.04</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>26.7</td>
<td>23.38</td>
<td>64.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>5.84</td>
<td>40.46</td>
<td>23.76</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>2.22</td>
<td>73.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>0.72</td>
<td>3.1</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>40.3</td>
<td>25.54</td>
<td>70.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>1.86</td>
<td>20.96</td>
<td>26.32</td>
<td>1.06</td>
<td>2.92</td>
<td>53.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>1.22</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>7.4</td>
<td>13.36</td>
<td>22.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.88</td>
<td>12.06</td>
<td>37.62</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>2.4</td>
<td>53.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>8.48</td>
<td>5.2</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>5.62</td>
<td>21.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>6.14</td>
<td>3.26</td>
<td>1.22</td>
<td>3.76</td>
<td>14.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.14</td>
<td>2.62</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.94</td>
<td>5.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>2.54</td>
<td>7.02</td>
<td>9.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>2.42</td>
<td>6.12</td>
<td>8.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.74</td>
<td>2.22</td>
<td>2.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Nov 12 23:27:30 EST 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/61/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions After Week 9</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/60</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/60#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Nov 2007 04:55:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/60</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
 Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division 
AFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


New England
99.64
0.36
0.0
0.0


Buffalo
0.36
97.64
1.74
0.26


NY Jets
0.0
1.06
66.42
32.52


Miami
0.0
0.94
31.84
67.22


AFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Pittsburgh
81.34
15.92
2.74
0.0


Cleveland
14.9
58.08
25.24
1.78


Baltimore
3.74
25.16
63.4
7.7


Cincinnati
0.02
0.84
8.62
90.52


AFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Indianapolis
70.16
24.18
5.46
0.2


Tennessee
24.8
53.2
19.98
2.02


Jacksonville
4.98
21.34
62.46
11.22


Houston
0.06
1.28
12.1
86.56


AFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Kansas City
55.02
31.46
12.48
1.04


San Diego
36.24
47.02
15.16
1.58


Denver
8.44
19.68
57.18
14.7


Oakland
0.3
1.84
15.18
82.68


NFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Dallas
65.42
24.56
9.5
0.52


NY Giants
23.38
48.16
25.24
3.22


Washington
11.08
25.52
54.34
9.06


Philadelphia
0.12
1.76
10.92
87.2


NFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Green Bay
73.06
25.9
0.98
0.06


Detroit
26.82
69.78
3.28
0.12


Minnesota
0.1
3.72
61.5
34.68


Chicago
0.02
0.6
34.24
65.14


NFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Tampa Bay
57.88
26.88
13.2
2.04


New Orleans
22.76
34.56
35.66
7.02


Carolina
18.1
34.8
38.66
8.44


Atlanta
1.26
3.76
12.48
82.5


NFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Seattle
63.08
28.2
8.58
0.14


Arizona
28.08
43.6
28.0
0.32


San Francisco
8.82
28.0
61.04
2.14


St Louis
0.02
0.2
2.38
97.4


Generated: Mon Nov 05 23:24:33 EST 2007


AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


New England
74.94
16.62
7.88
0.2
0.22
0.1
99.96


Indianapolis
9.84
37.96
20.12
2.24
17.3
6.84
94.3


Pittsburgh
10.86
22.48
42.16
5.84
3.82
5.76
90.92


Tennessee
3.36
15.38
5.56
0.5
42.66
16.64
84.1


Jacksonville
0.52
2.62
1.64
0.2
16.44
25.66
47.08


Cleveland
0.2
2.08
10.68
1.94
8.92
20.48
44.3


Kansas City
0.14
1.36
5.42
48.1
0.46
1.4
56.88


San Diego
0.06
0.76
3.32
32.1
0.8
2.36
39.4


Baltimore
0.06
0.68
2.68
0.32
4.5
9.38
17.62


Buffalo
0.02
0.06
0.22
0.06
4.1
7.84
12.3


Denver
0.0
0.0
0.26
8.18
0.04
0.6
9.08


Houston
0.0
0.0
0.06
0.0
0.66
2.78
3.5


Oakland
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.04
0.34


Cincinnati
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.08
0.12
0.22


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


Green Bay
46.3
23.76
2.86
0.14
18.5
5.6
97.16


Dallas
31.56
28.06
5.46
0.34
13.92
11.68
91.02


Detroit
12.48
11.98
2.2
0.16
25.6
19.82
72.24


NY Giants
5.6
14.8
2.7
0.28
23.46
22.96
69.8


Washington
1.84
6.92
2.08
0.24
12.14
19.38
42.6


Tampa Bay
1.12
7.04
36.18
13.54
1.1
3.7
62.68


Carolina
0.46
2.14
12.4
3.1
1.44
5.0
24.54


New Orleans
0.3
3.28
16.98
2.2
2.52
7.06
32.34


Seattle
0.28
1.8
15.78
45.22
0.08
0.36
63.52


Arizona
0.04
0.1
1.76
26.18
0.0
0.26
28.34


Chicago
0.02
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.06
0.56
0.64


San Francisco
0.0
0.0
0.66
8.16
0.0
0.02
8.84


Atlanta
0.0
0.04
0.84
0.38
0.0
0.1
1.36


Minnesota
0.0
0.04
0.06
0.0
0.52
1.82
2.44


Philadelphia
0.0
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.66
1.68
2.46


St Louis
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.0
0.0
0.02


Generated: [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p> Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division </p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.64</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>97.64</td>
<td>1.74</td>
<td>0.26</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.06</td>
<td>66.42</td>
<td>32.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.94</td>
<td>31.84</td>
<td>67.22</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>81.34</td>
<td>15.92</td>
<td>2.74</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>14.9</td>
<td>58.08</td>
<td>25.24</td>
<td>1.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>3.74</td>
<td>25.16</td>
<td>63.4</td>
<td>7.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>8.62</td>
<td>90.52</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>70.16</td>
<td>24.18</td>
<td>5.46</td>
<td>0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>24.8</td>
<td>53.2</td>
<td>19.98</td>
<td>2.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>4.98</td>
<td>21.34</td>
<td>62.46</td>
<td>11.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.28</td>
<td>12.1</td>
<td>86.56</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>55.02</td>
<td>31.46</td>
<td>12.48</td>
<td>1.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>36.24</td>
<td>47.02</td>
<td>15.16</td>
<td>1.58</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>8.44</td>
<td>19.68</td>
<td>57.18</td>
<td>14.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>1.84</td>
<td>15.18</td>
<td>82.68</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>65.42</td>
<td>24.56</td>
<td>9.5</td>
<td>0.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>23.38</td>
<td>48.16</td>
<td>25.24</td>
<td>3.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>11.08</td>
<td>25.52</td>
<td>54.34</td>
<td>9.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>1.76</td>
<td>10.92</td>
<td>87.2</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>73.06</td>
<td>25.9</td>
<td>0.98</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>26.82</td>
<td>69.78</td>
<td>3.28</td>
<td>0.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>3.72</td>
<td>61.5</td>
<td>34.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>34.24</td>
<td>65.14</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>57.88</td>
<td>26.88</td>
<td>13.2</td>
<td>2.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>22.76</td>
<td>34.56</td>
<td>35.66</td>
<td>7.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>18.1</td>
<td>34.8</td>
<td>38.66</td>
<td>8.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>1.26</td>
<td>3.76</td>
<td>12.48</td>
<td>82.5</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>63.08</td>
<td>28.2</td>
<td>8.58</td>
<td>0.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>28.08</td>
<td>43.6</td>
<td>28.0</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>8.82</td>
<td>28.0</td>
<td>61.04</td>
<td>2.14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>2.38</td>
<td>97.4</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Nov 05 23:24:33 EST 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>74.94</td>
<td>16.62</td>
<td>7.88</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>99.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>9.84</td>
<td>37.96</td>
<td>20.12</td>
<td>2.24</td>
<td>17.3</td>
<td>6.84</td>
<td>94.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>10.86</td>
<td>22.48</td>
<td>42.16</td>
<td>5.84</td>
<td>3.82</td>
<td>5.76</td>
<td>90.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>3.36</td>
<td>15.38</td>
<td>5.56</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>42.66</td>
<td>16.64</td>
<td>84.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>0.52</td>
<td>2.62</td>
<td>1.64</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>16.44</td>
<td>25.66</td>
<td>47.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>2.08</td>
<td>10.68</td>
<td>1.94</td>
<td>8.92</td>
<td>20.48</td>
<td>44.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>1.36</td>
<td>5.42</td>
<td>48.1</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>1.4</td>
<td>56.88</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.76</td>
<td>3.32</td>
<td>32.1</td>
<td>0.8</td>
<td>2.36</td>
<td>39.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.68</td>
<td>2.68</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>4.5</td>
<td>9.38</td>
<td>17.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>4.1</td>
<td>7.84</td>
<td>12.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.26</td>
<td>8.18</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>9.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.66</td>
<td>2.78</td>
<td>3.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>46.3</td>
<td>23.76</td>
<td>2.86</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>18.5</td>
<td>5.6</td>
<td>97.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>31.56</td>
<td>28.06</td>
<td>5.46</td>
<td>0.34</td>
<td>13.92</td>
<td>11.68</td>
<td>91.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>12.48</td>
<td>11.98</td>
<td>2.2</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>25.6</td>
<td>19.82</td>
<td>72.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>5.6</td>
<td>14.8</td>
<td>2.7</td>
<td>0.28</td>
<td>23.46</td>
<td>22.96</td>
<td>69.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>1.84</td>
<td>6.92</td>
<td>2.08</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>12.14</td>
<td>19.38</td>
<td>42.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>1.12</td>
<td>7.04</td>
<td>36.18</td>
<td>13.54</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>3.7</td>
<td>62.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>2.14</td>
<td>12.4</td>
<td>3.1</td>
<td>1.44</td>
<td>5.0</td>
<td>24.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>3.28</td>
<td>16.98</td>
<td>2.2</td>
<td>2.52</td>
<td>7.06</td>
<td>32.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>0.28</td>
<td>1.8</td>
<td>15.78</td>
<td>45.22</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>63.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>1.76</td>
<td>26.18</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.26</td>
<td>28.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.56</td>
<td>0.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.66</td>
<td>8.16</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>8.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>0.38</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>1.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.52</td>
<td>1.82</td>
<td>2.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.66</td>
<td>1.68</td>
<td>2.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Nov 05 23:24:33 EST 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/60/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 playoff predictions after week 8</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/59</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/59#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 04:05:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/59</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
 Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division 
AFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


New England
99.98
0.02
0.0
0.0


Buffalo
0.02
89.68
8.54
1.76


NY Jets
0.0
6.02
56.96
37.02


Miami
0.0
4.28
34.5
61.22


AFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Pittsburgh
78.84
16.68
3.94
0.54


Cleveland
16.4
59.56
19.64
4.4


Baltimore
4.44
18.84
53.62
23.1


Cincinnati
0.32
4.92
22.8
71.96


AFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Indianapolis
81.76
14.76
3.42
0.06


Tennessee
10.34
48.08
40.24
1.34


Jacksonville
7.9
36.92
52.42
2.76


Houston
0.0
0.24
3.92
95.84


AFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


San Diego
38.2
39.86
18.52
3.42


Kansas City
46.28
31.24
18.96
3.52


Denver
14.62
24.24
44.98
16.16


Oakland
0.9
4.66
17.54
76.9


NFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Dallas
55.94
28.56
12.84
2.66


NY Giants
31.56
44.2
20.96
3.28


Washington
11.72
23.4
50.64
14.24


Philadelphia
0.78
3.84
15.56
79.82


NFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Green Bay
71.78
26.16
1.88
0.18


Detroit
27.62
65.74
6.14
0.5


Chicago
0.4
4.34
53.18
42.08


Minnesota
0.2
3.76
38.8
57.24


NFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Carolina
43.06
32.34
22.2
2.4


Tampa Bay
34.14
33.12
27.68
5.06


New Orleans
22.2
31.68
40.44
5.68


Atlanta
0.6
2.86
9.68
86.86


NFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Seattle
52.42
38.5
9.06
0.02


Arizona
42.56
44.58
12.8
0.06


San Francisco
5.02
16.92
76.36
1.7


St Louis
0.0
0.0
1.78
98.22


Generated: Mon Oct 29 22:48:34 EDT 2007


AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


New England
56.18
34.16
8.8
0.84
0.02
0.0
100.0


Indianapolis
35.82
34.42
9.78
1.74
13.04
3.42
98.22


Pittsburgh
4.36
14.86
41.46
18.16
2.18
5.1
86.12


Tennessee
2.18
6.76
1.04
0.36
41.4
24.3
76.04


Jacksonville
1.1
5.02
1.58
0.2
32.44
30.42
70.76


Kansas City
0.18
1.78
11.88
32.44
1.16
5.08
52.52


San Diego
0.1
1.66
10.28
26.16
1.92
5.76
45.88


Cleveland
0.06
1.02
9.98
5.34
4.9
14.3
35.6


Baltimore
0.02
0.26
2.1
2.06
1.0
3.46
8.9


Denver
0.0
0.06
2.94
11.62
0.88
3.44
18.94


Oakland
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.8
0.06
0.5
1.46


Cincinnati
0.0
0.0
0.04
0.28
0.2
0.7
1.22


Buffalo
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.0
0.58
2.52
3.12


Houston
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.22
0.96
1.18


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.04
0.04


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


Green Bay
38.8
24.84
6.64
1.5
13.7
7.94
93.42


Dallas
31.18
19.62
4.38
0.76
19.44
10.92
86.3


NY Giants
12.06
15.28
3.74
0.48
27.3
17.74
76.6


Detroit
9.58
11.46
5.12
1.46
14.96
17.16
59.74


Carolina
2.48
6.42
18.62
15.54
2.3
5.46
50.82


Washington
2.62
6.68
1.94
0.48
14.34
19.78
45.84


Seattle
1.54
6.12
20.88
23.88
1.0
2.82
56.24


Tampa Bay
0.66
3.0
11.5
18.98
1.1
3.34
38.58


New Orleans
0.54
3.1
10.96
7.6
1.92
5.96
30.08


Arizona
0.4
2.86
14.4
24.9
0.88
2.38
45.82


Philadelphia
0.1
0.4
0.18
0.1
1.76
3.44
5.98


Chicago
0.04
0.1
0.1
0.16
0.86
1.6
2.86


San Francisco
0.0
0.06
1.24
3.72
0.02
0.32
5.36


Minnesota
0.0
0.06
0.06
0.08
0.4
1.04
1.64


Atlanta
0.0
0.0
0.24
0.36
0.02
0.1
0.72


St Louis
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0


Generated: [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p> Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division </p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.98</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>89.68</td>
<td>8.54</td>
<td>1.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>6.02</td>
<td>56.96</td>
<td>37.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>4.28</td>
<td>34.5</td>
<td>61.22</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>78.84</td>
<td>16.68</td>
<td>3.94</td>
<td>0.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>16.4</td>
<td>59.56</td>
<td>19.64</td>
<td>4.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>4.44</td>
<td>18.84</td>
<td>53.62</td>
<td>23.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>4.92</td>
<td>22.8</td>
<td>71.96</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>81.76</td>
<td>14.76</td>
<td>3.42</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>10.34</td>
<td>48.08</td>
<td>40.24</td>
<td>1.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>7.9</td>
<td>36.92</td>
<td>52.42</td>
<td>2.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>3.92</td>
<td>95.84</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>38.2</td>
<td>39.86</td>
<td>18.52</td>
<td>3.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>46.28</td>
<td>31.24</td>
<td>18.96</td>
<td>3.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>14.62</td>
<td>24.24</td>
<td>44.98</td>
<td>16.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>4.66</td>
<td>17.54</td>
<td>76.9</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>55.94</td>
<td>28.56</td>
<td>12.84</td>
<td>2.66</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>31.56</td>
<td>44.2</td>
<td>20.96</td>
<td>3.28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>11.72</td>
<td>23.4</td>
<td>50.64</td>
<td>14.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.78</td>
<td>3.84</td>
<td>15.56</td>
<td>79.82</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>71.78</td>
<td>26.16</td>
<td>1.88</td>
<td>0.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>27.62</td>
<td>65.74</td>
<td>6.14</td>
<td>0.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td>4.34</td>
<td>53.18</td>
<td>42.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>3.76</td>
<td>38.8</td>
<td>57.24</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>43.06</td>
<td>32.34</td>
<td>22.2</td>
<td>2.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>34.14</td>
<td>33.12</td>
<td>27.68</td>
<td>5.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>22.2</td>
<td>31.68</td>
<td>40.44</td>
<td>5.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td>2.86</td>
<td>9.68</td>
<td>86.86</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>52.42</td>
<td>38.5</td>
<td>9.06</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>42.56</td>
<td>44.58</td>
<td>12.8</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>5.02</td>
<td>16.92</td>
<td>76.36</td>
<td>1.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>1.78</td>
<td>98.22</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Oct 29 22:48:34 EDT 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
<p><html><head></head><body></p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>56.18</td>
<td>34.16</td>
<td>8.8</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>100.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>35.82</td>
<td>34.42</td>
<td>9.78</td>
<td>1.74</td>
<td>13.04</td>
<td>3.42</td>
<td>98.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>4.36</td>
<td>14.86</td>
<td>41.46</td>
<td>18.16</td>
<td>2.18</td>
<td>5.1</td>
<td>86.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>2.18</td>
<td>6.76</td>
<td>1.04</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>41.4</td>
<td>24.3</td>
<td>76.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>5.02</td>
<td>1.58</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>32.44</td>
<td>30.42</td>
<td>70.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>1.78</td>
<td>11.88</td>
<td>32.44</td>
<td>1.16</td>
<td>5.08</td>
<td>52.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>1.66</td>
<td>10.28</td>
<td>26.16</td>
<td>1.92</td>
<td>5.76</td>
<td>45.88</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.02</td>
<td>9.98</td>
<td>5.34</td>
<td>4.9</td>
<td>14.3</td>
<td>35.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.26</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>2.06</td>
<td>1.0</td>
<td>3.46</td>
<td>8.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>2.94</td>
<td>11.62</td>
<td>0.88</td>
<td>3.44</td>
<td>18.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.8</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>1.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.28</td>
<td>0.2</td>
<td>0.7</td>
<td>1.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>2.52</td>
<td>3.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.22</td>
<td>0.96</td>
<td>1.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>38.8</td>
<td>24.84</td>
<td>6.64</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>13.7</td>
<td>7.94</td>
<td>93.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>31.18</td>
<td>19.62</td>
<td>4.38</td>
<td>0.76</td>
<td>19.44</td>
<td>10.92</td>
<td>86.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>12.06</td>
<td>15.28</td>
<td>3.74</td>
<td>0.48</td>
<td>27.3</td>
<td>17.74</td>
<td>76.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>9.58</td>
<td>11.46</td>
<td>5.12</td>
<td>1.46</td>
<td>14.96</td>
<td>17.16</td>
<td>59.74</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>2.48</td>
<td>6.42</td>
<td>18.62</td>
<td>15.54</td>
<td>2.3</td>
<td>5.46</td>
<td>50.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>2.62</td>
<td>6.68</td>
<td>1.94</td>
<td>0.48</td>
<td>14.34</td>
<td>19.78</td>
<td>45.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>1.54</td>
<td>6.12</td>
<td>20.88</td>
<td>23.88</td>
<td>1.0</td>
<td>2.82</td>
<td>56.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>0.66</td>
<td>3.0</td>
<td>11.5</td>
<td>18.98</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>3.34</td>
<td>38.58</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.54</td>
<td>3.1</td>
<td>10.96</td>
<td>7.6</td>
<td>1.92</td>
<td>5.96</td>
<td>30.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td>2.86</td>
<td>14.4</td>
<td>24.9</td>
<td>0.88</td>
<td>2.38</td>
<td>45.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>1.76</td>
<td>3.44</td>
<td>5.98</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>1.6</td>
<td>2.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>1.24</td>
<td>3.72</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>5.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td>1.04</td>
<td>1.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>0.36</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Mon Oct 29 22:48:34 EDT 2007</p>
<p></body></html></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/59/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2007 Playoff Predictions after week 6</title>
		<link>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/58</link>
		<comments>http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/58#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2007 04:10:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/58</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


New England
99.88
0.12
0.0
0.0


Buffalo
0.08
51.12
30.08
18.72


NY Jets
0.04
32.88
42.12
24.96


Miami
0.0
15.88
27.8
56.32


AFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Pittsburgh
75.04
18.64
5.0
1.32


Baltimore
18.46
45.58
25.3
10.66


Cleveland
4.2
24.28
42.7
28.82


Cincinnati
2.3
11.5
27.0
59.2


AFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Indianapolis
69.74
24.0
5.5
0.76


Jacksonville
25.58
47.68
21.04
5.7


Tennessee
3.78
20.64
44.06
31.52


Houston
0.9
7.68
29.4
62.02


AFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


San Diego
40.46
31.98
20.24
7.32


Denver
27.26
29.8
30.38
12.56


Kansas City
28.1
28.24
27.54
16.12


Oakland
4.18
9.98
21.84
64.0


NFC EAST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Dallas
63.0
24.22
10.36
2.42


NY Giants
23.46
43.72
26.34
6.48


Washington
12.24
26.86
45.12
15.78


Philadelphia
1.3
5.2
18.18
75.32


NFC NORTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Green Bay
74.32
20.76
4.2
0.72


Detroit
21.52
50.78
20.68
7.02


Chicago
3.4
20.16
45.04
31.4


Minnesota
0.76
8.3
30.08
60.86


NFC SOUTH


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Carolina
46.96
50.18
2.66
0.2


Tampa Bay
52.38
43.66
3.64
0.32


New Orleans
0.34
2.46
49.8
47.4


Atlanta
0.32
3.7
43.9
52.08


NFC WEST


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th


Seattle
50.58
33.0
15.7
0.72


Arizona
33.74
37.58
27.72
0.96


San Francisco
15.62
28.92
52.9
2.56


St Louis
0.06
0.5
3.68
95.76


Generated: Tue Oct 16 00:01:00 EDT 2007
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


New England
51.76
29.36
16.22
2.54
0.0
0.04
99.92


Indianapolis
27.7
27.14
12.5
2.4
18.8
6.24
94.78


Pittsburgh
11.72
20.86
31.86
10.6
4.9
6.84
86.78


Jacksonville
6.44
12.38
5.56
1.2
38.54
16.0
80.12


Baltimore
1.52
3.84
8.78
4.32
9.14
14.52
42.12


San Diego
0.24
2.02
8.32
29.88
1.9
5.18
47.54


Tennessee
0.32
1.6
1.54
0.32
14.0
17.58
35.36


Kansas City
0.16
0.94
5.04
21.96
1.12
4.9
34.12


Denver
0.08
1.04
5.88
20.26
1.48
4.94
33.68


Houston
0.06
0.34
0.46
0.04
4.84
9.8
15.54


Cleveland
0.0
0.28
2.18
1.74
3.0
8.0
15.2


Oakland
0.0
0.12
0.58
3.48
0.56
1.7
6.44


Cincinnati
0.0
0.08
1.04
1.18
1.32
3.06
6.68


NY Jets
0.0
0.0
0.04
0.0
0.08
0.3
0.42


Buffalo
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.08
0.32
0.88
1.28


Miami
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.02
0.02


NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding


Team
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
Total


Dallas
32.86
17.34
9.82
2.98
14.82
9.22
87.04


Green Bay
26.88
22.68
17.18
7.58
7.78
5.9
88.0


Carolina
11.4
13.58
14.28
7.7
14.06
11.94
72.96


Tampa Bay
9.38
13.66
15.12
14.22
9.04
8.04
69.46


NY Giants
7.18
8.62
5.62
2.04
22.7
16.92
63.08


Detroit
3.98
5.74
6.88
4.92
6.9
9.34
37.76


Washington
3.42
4.28
3.42
1.12
14.18
15.62
42.04


Seattle
2.82
7.88
13.94
25.94
2.34
4.82
57.74


Arizona
1.02
3.6
7.38
21.74
1.88
4.64
40.26


San Francisco
0.76
1.5
3.88
9.48
1.78
4.08
21.48


Chicago
0.14
0.58
1.4
1.28
1.7
3.66
8.76


Philadelphia
0.14
0.42
0.5
0.24
1.76
3.76
6.82


New Orleans
0.02
0.02
0.18
0.12
0.16
0.42
0.92


Minnesota
0.0
0.1
0.34
0.32
0.84
1.34
2.94


Atlanta
0.0
0.0
0.06
0.26
0.06
0.3
0.68


St Louis
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.06
0.0
0.0
0.06


Generated: Tue Oct [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division</p>
<p>AFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>99.88</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>51.12</td>
<td>30.08</td>
<td>18.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>32.88</td>
<td>42.12</td>
<td>24.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>15.88</td>
<td>27.8</td>
<td>56.32</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>75.04</td>
<td>18.64</td>
<td>5.0</td>
<td>1.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>18.46</td>
<td>45.58</td>
<td>25.3</td>
<td>10.66</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>4.2</td>
<td>24.28</td>
<td>42.7</td>
<td>28.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>2.3</td>
<td>11.5</td>
<td>27.0</td>
<td>59.2</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>69.74</td>
<td>24.0</td>
<td>5.5</td>
<td>0.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>25.58</td>
<td>47.68</td>
<td>21.04</td>
<td>5.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>3.78</td>
<td>20.64</td>
<td>44.06</td>
<td>31.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>7.68</td>
<td>29.4</td>
<td>62.02</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>AFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>40.46</td>
<td>31.98</td>
<td>20.24</td>
<td>7.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>27.26</td>
<td>29.8</td>
<td>30.38</td>
<td>12.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>28.1</td>
<td>28.24</td>
<td>27.54</td>
<td>16.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>4.18</td>
<td>9.98</td>
<td>21.84</td>
<td>64.0</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC EAST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>63.0</td>
<td>24.22</td>
<td>10.36</td>
<td>2.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>23.46</td>
<td>43.72</td>
<td>26.34</td>
<td>6.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>12.24</td>
<td>26.86</td>
<td>45.12</td>
<td>15.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>1.3</td>
<td>5.2</td>
<td>18.18</td>
<td>75.32</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC NORTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>74.32</td>
<td>20.76</td>
<td>4.2</td>
<td>0.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>21.52</td>
<td>50.78</td>
<td>20.68</td>
<td>7.02</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>3.4</td>
<td>20.16</td>
<td>45.04</td>
<td>31.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.76</td>
<td>8.3</td>
<td>30.08</td>
<td>60.86</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC SOUTH</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>46.96</td>
<td>50.18</td>
<td>2.66</td>
<td>0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>52.38</td>
<td>43.66</td>
<td>3.64</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.34</td>
<td>2.46</td>
<td>49.8</td>
<td>47.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>3.7</td>
<td>43.9</td>
<td>52.08</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC WEST</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>50.58</td>
<td>33.0</td>
<td>15.7</td>
<td>0.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>33.74</td>
<td>37.58</td>
<td>27.72</td>
<td>0.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>15.62</td>
<td>28.92</td>
<td>52.9</td>
<td>2.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>3.68</td>
<td>95.76</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Oct 16 00:01:00 EDT 2007</p>
<p>AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New England</td>
<td>51.76</td>
<td>29.36</td>
<td>16.22</td>
<td>2.54</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>99.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indianapolis</td>
<td>27.7</td>
<td>27.14</td>
<td>12.5</td>
<td>2.4</td>
<td>18.8</td>
<td>6.24</td>
<td>94.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pittsburgh</td>
<td>11.72</td>
<td>20.86</td>
<td>31.86</td>
<td>10.6</td>
<td>4.9</td>
<td>6.84</td>
<td>86.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jacksonville</td>
<td>6.44</td>
<td>12.38</td>
<td>5.56</td>
<td>1.2</td>
<td>38.54</td>
<td>16.0</td>
<td>80.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Baltimore</td>
<td>1.52</td>
<td>3.84</td>
<td>8.78</td>
<td>4.32</td>
<td>9.14</td>
<td>14.52</td>
<td>42.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Diego</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>2.02</td>
<td>8.32</td>
<td>29.88</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>5.18</td>
<td>47.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tennessee</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>1.6</td>
<td>1.54</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>14.0</td>
<td>17.58</td>
<td>35.36</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kansas City</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.94</td>
<td>5.04</td>
<td>21.96</td>
<td>1.12</td>
<td>4.9</td>
<td>34.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denver</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>1.04</td>
<td>5.88</td>
<td>20.26</td>
<td>1.48</td>
<td>4.94</td>
<td>33.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Houston</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.34</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>4.84</td>
<td>9.8</td>
<td>15.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.28</td>
<td>2.18</td>
<td>1.74</td>
<td>3.0</td>
<td>8.0</td>
<td>15.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oakland</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>3.48</td>
<td>0.56</td>
<td>1.7</td>
<td>6.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cincinnati</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>1.04</td>
<td>1.18</td>
<td>1.32</td>
<td>3.06</td>
<td>6.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Jets</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.04</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>0.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buffalo</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.08</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>0.88</td>
<td>1.28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Miami</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.02</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td>Team</td>
<td>1st</td>
<td>2nd</td>
<td>3rd</td>
<td>4th</td>
<td>5th</td>
<td>6th</td>
<td>Total</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dallas</td>
<td>32.86</td>
<td>17.34</td>
<td>9.82</td>
<td>2.98</td>
<td>14.82</td>
<td>9.22</td>
<td>87.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Bay</td>
<td>26.88</td>
<td>22.68</td>
<td>17.18</td>
<td>7.58</td>
<td>7.78</td>
<td>5.9</td>
<td>88.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carolina</td>
<td>11.4</td>
<td>13.58</td>
<td>14.28</td>
<td>7.7</td>
<td>14.06</td>
<td>11.94</td>
<td>72.96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tampa Bay</td>
<td>9.38</td>
<td>13.66</td>
<td>15.12</td>
<td>14.22</td>
<td>9.04</td>
<td>8.04</td>
<td>69.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NY Giants</td>
<td>7.18</td>
<td>8.62</td>
<td>5.62</td>
<td>2.04</td>
<td>22.7</td>
<td>16.92</td>
<td>63.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Detroit</td>
<td>3.98</td>
<td>5.74</td>
<td>6.88</td>
<td>4.92</td>
<td>6.9</td>
<td>9.34</td>
<td>37.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Washington</td>
<td>3.42</td>
<td>4.28</td>
<td>3.42</td>
<td>1.12</td>
<td>14.18</td>
<td>15.62</td>
<td>42.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seattle</td>
<td>2.82</td>
<td>7.88</td>
<td>13.94</td>
<td>25.94</td>
<td>2.34</td>
<td>4.82</td>
<td>57.74</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Arizona</td>
<td>1.02</td>
<td>3.6</td>
<td>7.38</td>
<td>21.74</td>
<td>1.88</td>
<td>4.64</td>
<td>40.26</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Francisco</td>
<td>0.76</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>3.88</td>
<td>9.48</td>
<td>1.78</td>
<td>4.08</td>
<td>21.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chicago</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.58</td>
<td>1.4</td>
<td>1.28</td>
<td>1.7</td>
<td>3.66</td>
<td>8.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philadelphia</td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.42</td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td>0.24</td>
<td>1.76</td>
<td>3.76</td>
<td>6.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Orleans</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td>0.18</td>
<td>0.12</td>
<td>0.16</td>
<td>0.42</td>
<td>0.92</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Minnesota</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td>0.34</td>
<td>0.32</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>1.34</td>
<td>2.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlanta</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.26</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.3</td>
<td>0.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St Louis</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.0</td>
<td>0.06</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Generated: Tue Oct 16 00:01:00 EDT 2007</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
