NFL playoff races and other musings http://files.nfl-forecast.com This is a blog that supplements nfl-forecast.com Mon, 31 Dec 2012 04:48:26 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 2012 Playoff Outcome Forecasts http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/139 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/139#comments Mon, 31 Dec 2012 04:46:51 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/139 Below are screenshots from my software that show the odds of each team advancing to the Super Bowl.

Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats. I am using the team efficiency ratings going into week 17.

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]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/139/feed 1 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 16 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/138 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/138#comments Wed, 26 Dec 2012 21:09:10 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/138 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miami 0.0 72.58 27.42 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 27.42 72.58 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Washington 64.794 35.206 0.0 0.0
Dallas 35.206 20.876 43.918 0.0
NY Giants 0.0 43.918 56.082 0.0
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 77.136 22.864 0.0
Chicago 0.0 22.864 77.136 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 46.158 53.842 0.0
Carolina 0.0 53.842 0.0 46.158
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 46.158 53.842

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 89.106 10.894 0.0 0.0
Seattle 10.894 89.106 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

Generated: Wed Dec 26 16:06:37 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 58.654 16.28 25.066 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Denver 37.902 54.144 7.954 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
New England 3.444 29.576 53.834 13.146 0.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 13.146 86.854 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Green Bay 0.0 57.83 42.17 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
San Francisco 0.0 37.32 51.786 0.0 10.894 0.0 100.0
Seattle 0.0 4.85 6.044 0.0 89.106 0.0 100.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 64.794 0.0 11.522 76.316
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.206 0.0 0.0 35.206
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.054 51.054
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.864 22.864
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.56 14.56
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 26 16:06:37 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/138/feed 0 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 15 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/137 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/137#comments Wed, 19 Dec 2012 17:24:37 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/137 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 53.788 43.492 2.72
Miami 0.0 23.956 45.632 30.412
Buffalo 0.0 22.256 10.876 66.868

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 75.692 24.308 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 12.276 40.996 46.728 0.0
Pittsburgh 12.032 34.696 50.866 2.406
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 2.406 97.594

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 91.816 8.184 0.0
Oakland 0.0 8.184 91.816 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Washington 54.692 25.292 20.016 0.0
Dallas 29.97 34.12 35.91 0.0
NY Giants 15.338 40.588 44.074 0.0
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 60.304 39.696 0.0
Chicago 0.0 39.696 60.304 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 45.88 30.002 24.118
Tampa Bay 0.0 29.206 45.88 24.914
Carolina 0.0 24.914 24.118 50.968

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 94.108 5.892 0.0 0.0
Seattle 5.892 94.108 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 97.3 2.7
Arizona 0.0 0.0 2.7 97.3

Generated: Wed Dec 19 12:21:39 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 90.676 5.464 3.86 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Denver 7.808 77.942 14.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
New England 1.516 16.594 67.512 14.378 0.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 14.378 61.314 6.474 17.834 100.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.276 3.82 37.296 53.392
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.032 7.352 26.224 45.608
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.354 17.526 99.88
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.12 1.12
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 90.386 7.304 2.31 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
San Francisco 5.924 65.124 23.06 0.0 5.892 0.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.69 23.922 67.896 4.492 0.0 0.0 100.0
Seattle 0.0 3.65 2.242 0.0 73.582 15.75 95.224
Washington 0.0 0.0 2.488 52.204 2.074 14.966 71.732
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 2.004 13.334 13.984 21.738 51.06
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.97 0.0 4.0 33.97
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.446 21.218 23.664
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.022 22.03 24.052
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.196 0.196
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.102 0.102
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 19 12:21:39 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/137/feed 0 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 14 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/136 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/136#comments Fri, 14 Dec 2012 12:26:44 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/136 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 64.284 32.108 3.608
Miami 0.0 16.114 42.872 41.014
Buffalo 0.0 19.602 25.02 55.378

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 87.96 12.04 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 5.206 36.378 55.376 3.04
Pittsburgh 6.834 50.784 36.132 6.25
Cleveland 0.0 0.798 8.492 90.71

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 92.982 7.018 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 7.018 92.982 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 94.524 5.476
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 5.476 94.524

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 97.266 2.734 0.0
Oakland 0.0 2.734 76.274 20.992
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 20.992 79.008

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 48.846 35.5 15.654 0.0
Washington 30.556 35.358 33.1 0.986
Dallas 20.598 29.142 50.26 0.0
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.986 99.014

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 86.278 10.734 2.988 0.0
Chicago 11.53 69.882 18.588 0.0
Minnesota 2.192 19.384 78.424 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 61.252 28.756 9.992
New Orleans 0.0 28.756 33.294 37.95
Carolina 0.0 9.992 37.95 52.058

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 87.496 12.302 0.202 0.0
Seattle 12.37 77.43 10.2 0.0
St Louis 0.134 10.268 89.314 0.284
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.284 99.716

Generated: Wed Dec 12 01:10:07 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 69.83 17.998 5.154 0.0 7.018 0.0 100.0
New England 20.52 30.164 38.144 11.172 0.0 0.0 100.0
Denver 8.464 43.308 38.734 9.494 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 0.878 2.772 3.006 0.362 78.048 12.7 97.766
Baltimore 0.308 5.758 14.962 66.932 2.442 9.598 100.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.834 5.884 40.942 53.66
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.206 5.24 29.142 39.588
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.368 3.818 5.186
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.086 1.086
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.054 1.054
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.034 1.034
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.626 0.626
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 80.506 12.76 5.168 1.566 0.0 0.0 100.0
San Francisco 12.31 54.352 18.664 2.17 10.164 1.944 99.604
Green Bay 5.962 18.26 42.636 19.42 2.556 5.672 94.506
NY Giants 0.73 5.206 17.448 25.462 12.316 13.95 75.112
Seattle 0.414 7.658 3.608 0.69 49.546 20.06 81.976
Chicago 0.078 1.71 6.904 2.838 16.866 30.26 58.656
Washington 0.0 0.052 3.876 26.628 3.818 12.45 46.824
Dallas 0.0 0.002 1.148 19.448 0.65 4.424 25.672
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.506 1.686 1.032 5.19 8.414
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.042 0.092 3.018 5.346 8.498
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.034 0.68 0.714
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.024 0.024
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 12 01:10:07 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/136/feed 2 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 13 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/135 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/135#comments Wed, 05 Dec 2012 07:30:14 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/135 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 45.956 35.908 18.136
Miami 0.0 26.752 36.808 36.44
Buffalo 0.0 27.292 27.284 45.424

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 75.058 22.092 2.85 0.0
Cincinnati 12.314 35.182 51.614 0.89
Pittsburgh 12.628 42.608 42.494 2.27
Cleveland 0.0 0.118 3.042 96.84

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 97.026 2.974 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 2.974 96.344 0.682 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.682 89.864 9.454
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 9.454 90.546

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 82.026 17.636 0.338
Oakland 0.0 17.416 63.462 19.122
Kansas City 0.0 0.558 18.902 80.54

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 54.648 32.796 12.462 0.094
Washington 30.482 39.022 29.812 0.684
Dallas 14.87 28.124 56.884 0.122
Philadelphia 0.0 0.058 0.842 99.1

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 67.378 27.954 4.668 0.0
Chicago 30.582 59.418 9.456 0.544
Minnesota 2.04 12.454 77.92 7.586
Detroit 0.0 0.174 7.956 91.87

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 71.084 26.474 2.442
New Orleans 0.0 26.56 42.328 31.112
Carolina 0.0 2.356 31.198 66.446

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 85.582 13.968 0.45 0.0
Seattle 14.082 76.162 9.27 0.486
St Louis 0.336 9.634 85.168 4.862
Arizona 0.0 0.236 5.112 94.652

Generated: Wed Dec 05 02:27:07 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 84.994 9.726 2.284 0.022 2.974 0.0 100.0
New England 10.058 23.218 36.842 29.882 0.0 0.0 100.0
Denver 3.954 52.852 30.25 12.944 0.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 0.432 12.97 26.65 35.006 12.29 10.894 98.242
Indianapolis 0.562 1.184 0.996 0.232 54.944 25.492 83.41
Cincinnati 0.0 0.032 1.692 10.59 12.854 26.318 51.486
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.018 1.286 11.324 15.834 30.712 59.174
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.652 2.73 3.382
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.232 1.616 1.848
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.188 1.596 1.784
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.31 0.33
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.008 0.236 0.244
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.096 0.1
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 87.682 8.762 2.96 0.596 0.0 0.0 100.0
San Francisco 6.804 52.29 23.23 3.258 8.71 4.304 98.596
Green Bay 3.008 16.818 32.624 14.928 9.438 12.288 89.104
Chicago 1.718 9.226 14.522 5.116 25.032 23.236 78.85
NY Giants 0.484 5.028 17.342 31.794 8.262 11.378 74.288
Seattle 0.304 7.706 4.534 1.538 39.654 20.994 74.73
Washington 0.0 0.152 3.714 26.616 3.558 8.972 43.012
Dallas 0.0 0.004 0.436 14.43 0.542 3.306 18.718
Minnesota 0.0 0.01 0.494 1.536 0.828 3.462 6.33
St Louis 0.0 0.004 0.144 0.188 1.834 4.29 6.46
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.91 6.634 8.544
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.226 1.026 1.252
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.08 0.084
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.03 0.032
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 05 02:27:07 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/135/feed 0 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 12 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/134 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/134#comments Wed, 28 Nov 2012 06:02:33 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/134 Edit: I had an error in the week 11 NO Oakland game. It is now corrected. Sorry for the error.

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 95.064 4.826 0.11 0.0
Miami 4.838 40.784 31.606 22.772
NY Jets 0.032 29.804 40.84 29.324
Buffalo 0.066 24.586 27.444 47.904

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 91.848 7.538 0.614 0.0
Cincinnati 3.704 46.152 48.864 1.28
Pittsburgh 4.448 46.028 46.218 3.306
Cleveland 0.0 0.282 4.304 95.414

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 98.15 1.85 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 1.85 91.584 6.56 0.006
Tennessee 0.0 6.548 82.25 11.202
Jacksonville 0.0 0.018 11.19 88.792

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 78.884 21.018 0.098
Oakland 0.0 21.048 73.606 5.346
Kansas City 0.0 0.068 5.376 94.556

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 72.054 21.504 6.292 0.15
Washington 18.78 45.492 31.838 3.89
Dallas 9.064 31.908 53.58 5.448
Philadelphia 0.102 1.096 8.29 90.512

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 48.018 42.642 8.296 1.044
Green Bay 46.428 37.44 14.462 1.67
Minnesota 5.554 18.616 60.484 15.346
Detroit 0.0 1.302 16.758 81.94

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 99.276 0.72 0.004 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.692 68.936 26.212 4.16
New Orleans 0.032 25.854 35.326 38.788
Carolina 0.0 4.49 38.458 57.052

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 96.234 3.68 0.086 0.0
Seattle 3.652 84.432 9.798 2.118
St Louis 0.114 9.494 69.736 20.656
Arizona 0.0 2.394 20.38 77.226

Generated: Sat Dec 01 15:10:56 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 82.098 10.934 4.35 0.768 1.836 0.014 100.0
Denver 7.232 50.29 26.254 16.224 0.0 0.0 100.0
New England 7.036 14.374 25.63 48.024 1.742 1.736 98.542
Baltimore 3.446 23.85 40.902 23.65 5.93 1.99 99.768
Indianapolis 0.188 0.512 0.642 0.508 46.138 26.678 74.666
Cincinnati 0.0 0.016 1.112 2.576 20.176 24.474 48.354
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.024 0.97 3.454 17.538 23.784 45.77
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.14 4.698 1.92 6.81 13.568
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.032 1.522 4.448 6.002
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.818 4.492 6.31
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.066 0.596 2.76 3.422
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.74 2.508 3.248
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.028 0.166 0.194
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.016 0.138 0.154
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 66.04 21.01 9.062 3.164 0.342 0.292 99.91
San Francisco 25.342 49.92 17.066 3.906 2.31 1.002 99.546
Chicago 4.814 12.2 21.79 9.214 25.736 13.364 87.118
NY Giants 2.074 7.616 24.266 38.098 5.912 7.626 85.592
Green Bay 1.546 7.282 22.274 15.326 19.662 14.046 80.136
Seattle 0.166 1.672 1.23 0.584 31.02 22.096 56.768
Minnesota 0.008 0.176 1.664 3.706 3.876 7.364 16.794
Washington 0.002 0.062 2.114 16.602 3.156 9.88 31.816
Tampa Bay 0.008 0.06 0.266 0.358 4.908 11.986 17.586
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.212 8.852 0.954 4.61 14.628
New Orleans 0.0 0.002 0.022 0.008 0.936 2.958 3.926
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.034 0.08 0.684 2.568 3.366
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.102 0.0 0.0 0.102
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.482 2.06 2.542
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.022 0.128 0.15
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.02

Generated: Sat Dec 01 15:10:56 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/134/feed 0 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 11 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/133 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/133#comments Wed, 21 Nov 2012 03:58:18 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/133 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 91.874 6.114 1.78 0.232
NY Jets 3.634 47.61 32.11 16.646
Buffalo 1.148 29.298 32.228 37.326
Miami 3.344 16.978 33.882 45.796

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 80.232 16.908 2.86 0.0
Pittsburgh 15.798 54.984 27.696 1.522
Cincinnati 3.97 27.814 66.146 2.07
Cleveland 0.0 0.294 3.298 96.408

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 98.114 1.87 0.016 0.0
Indianapolis 1.856 80.756 17.344 0.044
Tennessee 0.03 17.292 77.002 5.676
Jacksonville 0.0 0.082 5.638 94.28

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 99.946 0.054 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.024 70.354 29.528 0.094
Oakland 0.03 29.564 68.454 1.952
Kansas City 0.0 0.028 2.018 97.954

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 55.13 32.6 10.882 1.388
Dallas 31.556 40.42 24.082 3.942
Washington 12.466 23.982 47.316 16.236
Philadelphia 0.848 2.998 17.72 78.434

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 60.648 27.232 10.116 2.004
Chicago 27.426 46.028 20.188 6.358
Minnesota 11.694 23.472 48.45 16.384
Detroit 0.232 3.268 21.246 75.254

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 94.304 5.642 0.054 0.0
Tampa Bay 5.64 79.778 13.41 1.172
New Orleans 0.056 12.942 43.41 43.592
Carolina 0.0 1.638 43.126 55.236

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 84.592 15.14 0.264 0.004
Seattle 15.266 78.514 5.566 0.654
Arizona 0.054 3.936 46.922 49.088
St Louis 0.088 2.41 47.248 50.254

Generated: Tue Nov 20 19:44:18 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 77.796 14.028 5.168 1.122 1.754 0.12 99.988
Denver 13.156 54.442 21.886 10.462 0.008 0.02 99.974
New England 5.8 12.002 23.664 50.408 1.384 2.244 95.502
Baltimore 2.984 18.146 40.136 18.966 11.988 4.908 97.128
Indianapolis 0.204 0.504 0.638 0.51 25.588 21.126 48.57
Pittsburgh 0.058 0.8 6.568 8.372 27.154 19.762 62.714
Cincinnati 0.002 0.062 1.474 2.432 12.07 15.684 31.724
NY Jets 0.0 0.01 0.176 3.448 4.432 9.718 17.784
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.176 3.168 0.744 2.266 6.354
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.09 1.058 3.476 6.56 11.184
San Diego 0.0 0.006 0.014 0.004 7.49 9.422 16.936
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.008 0.022 2.712 5.11 7.852
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.028 1.188 2.964 4.182
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.012 0.096 0.108
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 54.204 22.866 13.956 3.278 2.268 1.85 98.422
San Francisco 28.154 36.03 17.742 2.666 9.662 3.624 97.878
Green Bay 8.684 16.35 26.922 8.692 11.386 11.994 84.028
Chicago 4.186 8.508 11.372 3.36 22.864 17.982 68.272
Seattle 2.234 7.47 4.388 1.174 35.006 20.14 70.412
NY Giants 1.934 6.09 14.782 32.324 4.664 8.028 67.822
Tampa Bay 0.364 1.264 2.346 1.666 6.932 14.654 27.226
Minnesota 0.218 1.1 5.204 5.172 3.522 8.958 24.174
Dallas 0.018 0.228 2.278 29.032 1.15 4.31 37.016
Washington 0.0 0.066 0.838 11.562 0.634 2.722 15.822
Detroit 0.0 0.02 0.098 0.114 1.116 2.942 4.29
New Orleans 0.002 0.006 0.028 0.02 0.47 1.502 2.028
Arizona 0.002 0.002 0.02 0.03 0.162 0.598 0.814
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.848 0.004 0.022 0.874
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.026 0.062 0.16 0.674 0.922
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Nov 20 19:44:18 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/133/feed 0 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 10 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/132 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/132#comments Wed, 14 Nov 2012 01:07:56 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/132 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 80.06 12.238 3.716 0.798 2.854 0.28 99.946
Denver 12.844 57.746 20.18 8.42 0.3 0.26 99.75
New England 3.628 9.768 20.84 49.054 1.982 3.464 88.736
Baltimore 2.036 14.054 30.908 11.13 19.88 11.754 89.762
Pittsburgh 0.546 4.728 20.182 14.5 20.198 17.49 77.644
Indianapolis 0.876 1.066 0.752 0.434 32.772 24.01 59.91
Miami 0.0 0.146 2.088 10.524 2.332 6.384 21.474
San Diego 0.006 0.2 0.292 0.238 8.704 11.448 20.888
Cincinnati 0.004 0.044 0.796 1.066 4.334 8.708 14.952
NY Jets 0.0 0.004 0.138 2.55 1.584 4.644 8.92
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.076 1.184 1.288 3.152 5.7
Tennessee 0.0 0.006 0.018 0.036 2.994 6.102 9.156
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.06 0.746 2.114 2.934
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.032 0.18 0.218
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.008 0.008
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 48.508 24.262 15.724 5.47 1.428 1.728 97.12
San Francisco 22.872 27.972 19.114 4.746 11.51 6.634 92.848
Chicago 13.132 14.292 12.788 4.18 19.656 12.872 76.92
Green Bay 7.106 11.366 15.602 6.008 14.214 14.288 68.584
Seattle 3.78 9.486 7.472 2.92 28.912 17.358 69.928
NY Giants 3.516 8.128 15.046 28.994 5.94 8.142 69.766
Minnesota 0.386 1.408 4.428 4.88 4.19 9.294 24.586
Tampa Bay 0.314 0.992 1.956 2.122 3.824 8.192 17.4
Detroit 0.252 0.904 2.038 1.23 5.016 7.308 16.748
Dallas 0.088 0.858 4.346 30.358 1.77 5.058 42.478
New Orleans 0.032 0.09 0.222 0.21 1.124 2.576 4.254
St Louis 0.008 0.138 0.666 0.452 1.472 3.34 6.076
Washington 0.0 0.048 0.392 4.844 0.246 1.114 6.644
Arizona 0.006 0.056 0.138 0.174 0.67 1.616 2.66
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.054 3.328 0.004 0.14 3.526
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.084 0.024 0.34 0.462

Generated: Sat Nov 17 00:44:56 EST 2012

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 83.29 12.918 3.412 0.38
Miami 12.758 41.202 28.528 17.512
NY Jets 2.692 27.094 40.114 30.1
Buffalo 1.26 18.786 27.946 52.008

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 58.128 36.598 5.254 0.02
Pittsburgh 39.956 47.978 11.004 1.062
Cincinnati 1.91 14.724 72.93 10.436
Cleveland 0.006 0.7 10.812 88.482

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 96.812 3.13 0.058 0.0
Indianapolis 3.128 80.604 16.228 0.04
Tennessee 0.06 16.194 78.42 5.326
Jacksonville 0.0 0.072 5.294 94.634

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 99.19 0.794 0.016 0.0
San Diego 0.736 75.108 23.932 0.224
Oakland 0.074 23.99 70.858 5.078
Kansas City 0.0 0.108 5.194 94.698

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 55.684 34.276 8.554 1.486
Dallas 35.65 43.098 16.566 4.686
Washington 5.284 13.644 36.762 44.31
Philadelphia 3.382 8.982 38.118 49.518

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 44.392 34.436 14.376 6.796
Green Bay 40.082 32.022 17.172 10.724
Minnesota 11.102 22.004 41.038 25.856
Detroit 4.424 11.538 27.414 56.624

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 93.964 5.63 0.382 0.024
Tampa Bay 5.384 53.638 27.304 13.674
New Orleans 0.554 22.198 35.292 41.956
Carolina 0.098 18.534 37.022 44.346

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 74.704 22.366 2.674 0.256
Seattle 23.658 63.422 10.76 2.16
St Louis 1.264 8.484 52.126 38.126
Arizona 0.374 5.728 34.44 59.458

Generated: Sat Nov 17 00:44:56 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/132/feed 2 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 9 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/131 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/131#comments Wed, 07 Nov 2012 06:44:50 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/131 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 63.066 24.714 9.862 2.358
Miami 28.648 40.452 21.914 8.986
NY Jets 5.796 24.028 44.362 25.814
Buffalo 2.49 10.806 23.862 62.842

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 44.328 48.048 7.518 0.106
Pittsburgh 53.822 38.606 6.822 0.75
Cincinnati 1.836 12.576 70.33 15.258
Cleveland 0.014 0.77 15.33 83.886

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 97.196 2.77 0.034 0.0
Indianapolis 2.764 83.69 12.752 0.794
Tennessee 0.038 12.122 66.21 21.63
Jacksonville 0.002 1.418 21.004 77.576

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 97.938 1.924 0.138 0.0
San Diego 1.602 60.374 37.742 0.282
Oakland 0.46 37.6 59.514 2.426
Kansas City 0.0 0.102 2.606 97.292

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 75.69 19.922 3.834 0.554
Dallas 16.928 47.516 24.402 11.154
Philadelphia 4.39 18.166 38.6 38.844
Washington 2.992 14.396 33.164 49.448

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 56.176 30.04 10.334 3.45
Green Bay 32.014 37.464 20.43 10.092
Detroit 7.234 18.652 35.278 38.836
Minnesota 4.576 13.844 33.958 47.622

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 98.174 1.674 0.136 0.016
Tampa Bay 1.508 47.066 35.412 16.014
Carolina 0.236 40.528 41.442 17.794
New Orleans 0.082 10.732 23.01 66.176

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 91.786 7.114 0.986 0.114
Seattle 6.5 69.144 18.69 5.666
St Louis 1.434 14.464 46.718 37.384
Arizona 0.28 9.278 33.606 56.836

Generated: Wed Nov 07 01:42:20 EST 2012
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 78.554 13.306 4.064 1.272 2.358 0.324 99.878
Denver 13.05 51.968 21.318 11.602 0.698 0.626 99.262
New England 4.14 10.476 18.824 29.626 7.248 8.52 78.834
Baltimore 1.628 10.576 19.294 12.83 19.158 12.34 75.826
Pittsburgh 1.67 9.03 22.65 20.472 14.414 11.364 79.6
Indianapolis 0.718 0.838 0.788 0.42 21.534 17.024 41.322
Miami 0.2 3.116 10.532 14.8 10.754 13.536 52.938
San Diego 0.034 0.43 0.478 0.66 9.45 10.548 21.6
NY Jets 0.0 0.078 0.878 4.84 4.218 8.334 18.348
Cincinnati 0.004 0.068 0.51 1.254 2.762 5.158 9.756
Oakland 0.002 0.072 0.168 0.218 4.95 6.928 12.338
Buffalo 0.0 0.042 0.48 1.968 1.642 3.362 7.494
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.012 0.026 0.778 1.732 2.548
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.01 0.016 0.112 0.142
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.02 0.09 0.112
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 52.38 24.94 14.428 6.426 0.446 0.538 99.158
San Francisco 24.618 33.002 21.17 12.996 3.058 2.05 96.894
Chicago 12.822 17.316 17.47 8.568 20.14 10.668 86.984
NY Giants 6.55 13.562 22.26 33.318 4.396 5.658 85.744
Green Bay 2.658 6.716 14.208 8.432 21.08 16.244 69.338
Seattle 0.458 2.184 2.426 1.432 26.078 20.134 52.712
Detroit 0.362 1.256 3.266 2.35 11.674 12.754 31.662
Minnesota 0.056 0.52 1.472 2.528 3.724 7.118 15.418
Tampa Bay 0.058 0.17 0.478 0.802 3.184 6.362 11.054
Dallas 0.022 0.206 1.834 14.866 2.732 7.024 26.684
St Louis 0.004 0.068 0.528 0.834 1.156 3.766 6.356
Philadelphia 0.006 0.012 0.154 4.218 0.18 0.818 5.388
Arizona 0.004 0.012 0.086 0.178 0.768 1.986 3.034
Washington 0.0 0.014 0.162 2.816 0.506 1.618 5.116
New Orleans 0.002 0.02 0.024 0.036 0.29 0.784 1.156
Carolina 0.0 0.002 0.034 0.2 0.588 2.478 3.302

Generated: Wed Nov 07 01:42:20 EST 2012

]]> http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/131/feed 0 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 8 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/130 http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/130#comments Wed, 31 Oct 2012 02:48:44 +0000 admin http://files.nfl-forecast.com/archives/130 Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 51.386 33.704 12.11 2.8
Miami 42.472 38.388 14.576 4.564
NY Jets 4.038 19.386 48.312 28.264
Buffalo 2.104 8.522 25.002 64.372

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 52.88 34.17 10.268 2.682
Baltimore 41.362 42.256 13.09 3.292
Cincinnati 4.884 18.812 53.746 22.558
Cleveland 0.874 4.762 22.896 71.468

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 97.83 2.082 0.086 0.002
Indianapolis 1.996 70.786 23.438 3.78
Tennessee 0.162 22.942 56.642 20.254
Jacksonville 0.012 4.19 19.834 75.964

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 95.044 4.522 0.434 0.0
Oakland 3.476 58.048 37.076 1.4
San Diego 1.472 37.088 58.66 2.78
Kansas City 0.008 0.342 3.83 95.82

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 80.442 15.738 3.304 0.516
Dallas 11.276 44.42 28.608 15.696
Philadelphia 5.612 23.966 37.35 33.072
Washington 2.67 15.876 30.738 50.716

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 50.442 27.722 14.948 6.888
Green Bay 27.692 31.552 23.852 16.904
Minnesota 14.708 24.502 33.17 27.62
Detroit 7.158 16.224 28.03 48.588

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 98.652 1.262 0.082 0.004
Tampa Bay 1.1 49.964 36.234 12.702
Carolina 0.23 41.51 43.55 14.71
New Orleans 0.018 7.264 20.134 72.584

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 93.45 5.6 0.83 0.12
Seattle 4.692 61.754 23.502 10.052
St Louis 1.232 16.062 38.628 44.078
Arizona 0.626 16.584 37.04 45.75

Generated: Tue Oct 30 22:40:09 EDT 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 77.476 13.836 5.164 1.354 1.526 0.376 99.732
Denver 12.106 44.136 25.052 13.75 1.474 1.346 97.864
New England 5.382 12.618 18.55 14.836 15.378 11.548 78.312
Miami 2.14 12.876 17.974 9.482 20.122 12.418 75.012
Baltimore 1.144 7.944 13.1 19.174 11.138 10.408 62.908
Pittsburgh 1.064 5.806 14.682 31.328 6.812 8.918 68.61
Indianapolis 0.452 0.55 0.53 0.464 12.022 10.554 24.572
Oakland 0.122 0.964 1.288 1.102 12.352 14.446 30.274
Cincinnati 0.038 0.532 1.158 3.156 3.02 5.302 13.206
Buffalo 0.036 0.192 0.688 1.188 2.422 3.842 8.368
San Diego 0.022 0.318 0.516 0.616 6.156 8.36 15.988
NY Jets 0.012 0.184 1.154 2.688 5.516 8.672 18.226
Tennessee 0.006 0.038 0.064 0.054 1.832 2.972 4.966
Cleveland 0.0 0.006 0.076 0.792 0.16 0.602 1.636
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.008 0.07 0.222 0.304
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.008 0.0 0.014 0.022

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 49.144 23.496 14.97 11.042 0.29 0.288 99.23
San Francisco 23.682 31.328 23.02 15.42 2.294 1.678 97.422
NY Giants 16.768 22.966 23.74 16.968 7.418 4.642 92.502
Chicago 7.648 12.322 15.774 14.698 16.278 11.228 77.948
Green Bay 1.46 3.9 9.18 13.152 13.926 13.474 55.092
Minnesota 0.4 1.77 4.202 8.336 8.068 10.52 33.296
Dallas 0.328 1.206 2.788 6.954 8.602 11.952 31.83
Seattle 0.28 1.396 1.708 1.308 22.67 15.87 43.232
Detroit 0.208 0.954 2.342 3.654 8.46 9.794 25.412
Philadelphia 0.032 0.234 0.872 4.474 2.208 4.096 11.916
Washington 0.008 0.17 0.668 1.824 3.068 4.544 10.282
Arizona 0.02 0.088 0.172 0.346 2.766 3.882 7.274
Tampa Bay 0.016 0.09 0.27 0.724 1.946 3.53 6.576
St Louis 0.006 0.08 0.274 0.872 1.674 3.382 6.288
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.016 0.214 0.282 0.982 1.494
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.014 0.05 0.138 0.206

Generated: Tue Oct 30 22:40:09 EDT 2012

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