Comments for NFL playoff races and other musings

Comment on 2012 Playoff Outcome Forecasts by Nicolas Zubiaur

Nicolas Zubiaur — Mon, 31 Dec 2012 05:12:06 +0000

This is very interesting. As a business analytics specialist and NFL fan, I enjoy your work.
It would be really good if you can do this for every week/team so we can understand the momentum of the teams going into playoffs.
Keep up the good work Brian!

Comment on 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 14 by admin

admin — Sun, 16 Dec 2012 01:00:36 +0000

This is correct. My software does not include the possibility of of future ties in making forecasts.

Comment on 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 14 by Coronel Chorizo

Coronel Chorizo — Sat, 15 Dec 2012 14:16:46 +0000

Baltimore has not a 100% playoff chance. A tie on Cin-Pit, while Bal lose out and both Pitt and winning out would eliminate them.

Comment on 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 10 by admin

admin — Sat, 17 Nov 2012 05:59:08 +0000

Thanks, I’ve updated the tables and software to fix this error. Sorry about that.

Comment on 2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 10 by Anonymous

Anonymous — Sat, 17 Nov 2012 04:38:59 +0000

I think you may have incorrectly recorded Denver as having lost to Carolina last week. The “Predicted Wins” section of your program currently has Denver as winning at most 12 games, even though they’ve only lost 3 so far. Also, it shows that Carolina could win 10 games, even though they’ve already lost 7.

Comment on 2011 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 13 by admin

admin — Wed, 07 Dec 2011 22:54:24 +0000

Yes, they incorporate rules through strength of schedule, for Division and Wildcard, and for both two and multi-way ties. The tie-breaking procedures have been tested against actual division finishes over many seasons, so should handle all situations accurately.

Comment on 2011 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 13 by Anon

Anon — Wed, 07 Dec 2011 20:57:05 +0000

Do these numbers incorporate full tie breaker rules?

Comment on 2011 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 9 by Myster D

Myster D — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 22:40:07 +0000

Then shouldnt Houston be listed ahead of Baltimore.

Comment on 2011 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 9 by admin

admin — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 21:38:21 +0000

The order of listing is based on weighted seed position. Teams listed at the top have the best odds for the top seeds.

Comment on 2011 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 8 by ampron

ampron — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 18:06:17 +0000

Ok, thanks for that clarification. And yes of course, the draft odds are great for watching the “Suck for Luck” sweepstakes. I agree that no one is concerned for the Packers draft position, I was just curious about that discrepancy in the odds.