The good news is that these predictions incorporate Brian Burke’s individual game odds. You can (and should) read more about Brian’s work here. The plan is to use Brian’s game forecasts from here forward. The bad news is that in the process of converting over to Brian’s game predictions, I’ve mucked something up in the code. It only effects the Java Webstart version of the code (it runs fine when I compile and run it on my machine). I should have that fixed within a day or so.
Here are this week’s predictions.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 99.42 | 0.58 | 0.0 |
NY Jets | 0.0 | 0.42 | 76.34 | 23.24 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.16 | 23.08 | 76.76 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 90.28 | 9.7 | 0.02 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 9.72 | 87.78 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 2.52 | 91.64 | 5.84 |
Baltimore | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.84 | 94.16 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 97.54 | 2.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 2.46 | 92.64 | 4.88 | 0.02 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 4.66 | 82.64 | 12.7 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.24 | 12.48 | 87.28 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 77.74 | 19.24 | 3.02 | 0.0 |
Denver | 19.88 | 65.8 | 13.96 | 0.36 |
Kansas City | 2.38 | 14.92 | 79.42 | 3.28 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.04 | 3.6 | 96.36 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Dallas | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NY Giants | 0.0 | 75.86 | 14.14 | 10.0 |
Philadelphia | 0.0 | 10.82 | 48.6 | 40.58 |
Washington | 0.0 | 13.32 | 37.26 | 49.42 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Green Bay | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Minnesota | 0.0 | 73.96 | 21.26 | 4.78 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 23.14 | 67.56 | 9.3 |
Chicago | 0.0 | 2.9 | 11.18 | 85.92 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Tampa Bay | 99.78 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
New Orleans | 0.22 | 78.82 | 15.64 | 5.32 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 10.62 | 60.16 | 29.22 |
Atlanta | 0.0 | 10.34 | 24.2 | 65.46 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Seattle | 94.28 | 5.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Arizona | 5.72 | 92.04 | 2.02 | 0.22 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 1.46 | 83.1 | 15.44 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.78 | 14.88 | 84.34 |
Generated: Wed Nov 28 00:01:58 EST 2007
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New England | 99.66 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Indianapolis | 0.3 | 91.92 | 5.26 | 0.06 | 2.32 | 0.14 | 100.0 |
Pittsburgh | 0.04 | 6.02 | 73.86 | 10.36 | 1.78 | 6.78 | 98.84 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.66 | 0.0 | 81.9 | 13.16 | 97.52 |
San Diego | 0.0 | 0.02 | 10.36 | 67.36 | 0.08 | 2.78 | 80.6 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.06 | 8.82 | 0.84 | 10.72 | 52.92 | 73.36 |
Denver | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.88 | 19.0 | 0.12 | 4.84 | 24.84 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.38 | 0.0 | 0.16 | 2.54 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 14.78 | 17.68 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 2.96 | 3.04 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 1.02 | 1.06 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.46 | 0.52 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NY Jets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Dallas | 73.18 | 25.12 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Green Bay | 26.72 | 68.96 | 3.6 | 0.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.04 | 4.5 | 56.68 | 38.56 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 99.92 |
Seattle | 0.06 | 1.42 | 38.26 | 54.54 | 1.18 | 1.86 | 97.32 |
Arizona | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 5.68 | 1.06 | 6.06 | 12.84 |
NY Giants | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.84 | 23.82 | 77.66 |
Minnesota | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.86 | 23.84 | 46.7 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.68 | 13.4 | 22.08 |
New Orleans | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 10.78 | 15.3 |
Philadelphia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.04 | 15.36 | 22.4 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.54 | 4.14 |
Chicago | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.38 | 0.94 | 1.32 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.18 |
Atlanta | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Wed Nov 28 00:01:58 EST 2007