Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 15

Thursday, December 19th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

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Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 95.968 4.032 0.0 0.0
Miami 4.032 91.4 4.568 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 4.568 60.7 34.732
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 34.732 65.268

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 91.016 8.984 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 8.984 79.02 11.996 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 11.996 88.004 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 83.866 16.134 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 16.134 83.866 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 89.014 10.986 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 10.986 89.014 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 76.18 23.82 0.0 0.0
Dallas 23.82 76.18 0.0 0.0
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 48.912 25.886 25.202 0.0
Green Bay 30.954 34.132 34.914 0.0
Detroit 20.134 39.982 39.884 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 69.562 30.438 0.0 0.0
Carolina 30.438 69.562 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 74.374 25.626
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 25.626 74.374

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 99.296 0.704 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.704 97.248 2.048 0.0
Arizona 0.0 2.048 97.952 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

Generated: Wed Dec 18 21:07:20 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 73.926 13.552 0.726 0.81 10.986 0.0 100.0
New England 15.496 39.28 24.804 16.388 0.0 3.534 99.502
Kansas City 9.714 1.272 0.0 0.0 89.014 0.0 100.0
Cincinnati 0.102 26.004 55.5 9.41 0.0 4.176 95.192
Indianapolis 0.762 18.214 12.764 68.26 0.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 0.0 0.83 4.24 3.914 0.0 15.434 24.418
Miami 0.0 0.848 1.966 1.218 0.0 73.526 77.558
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.09 3.09
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.24 0.24
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 99.296 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.704 0.0 100.0
New Orleans 0.376 69.186 0.0 0.0 16.314 13.606 99.482
Carolina 0.178 30.26 0.0 0.0 31.622 26.8 88.86
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 52.404 23.776 0.0 0.0 76.18
Chicago 0.0 0.0 28.122 20.79 0.0 0.0 48.912
San Francisco 0.15 0.554 0.0 0.0 49.846 47.402 97.952
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 14.61 16.344 0.0 0.0 30.954
Detroit 0.0 0.0 3.828 16.306 0.0 0.0 20.134
Dallas 0.0 0.0 1.036 22.784 0.0 0.0 23.82
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.514 12.192 13.706
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 18 21:07:20 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 14

Wednesday, December 11th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 98.092 1.908 0.0 0.0
Miami 1.908 83.402 13.524 1.166
NY Jets 0.0 14.124 67.27 18.606
Buffalo 0.0 0.566 19.206 80.228

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 98.892 1.108 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 1.108 73.036 24.992 0.864
Pittsburgh 0.0 20.98 51.968 27.052
Cleveland 0.0 4.876 23.04 72.084

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 80.26 18.866 0.874
Jacksonville 0.0 19.74 79.048 1.212
Houston 0.0 0.0 2.086 97.914

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 98.054 1.946 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 1.946 98.054 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.0 94.918 5.082
Oakland 0.0 0.0 5.082 94.918

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 81.982 17.78 0.238 0.0
Dallas 18.018 80.568 1.414 0.0
NY Giants 0.0 1.652 96.27 2.078
Washington 0.0 0.0 2.078 97.922

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 70.856 23.542 5.602 0.0
Chicago 12.71 44.658 42.632 0.0
Green Bay 16.434 31.8 51.766 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 94.596 5.404 0.0 0.0
Carolina 5.404 94.596 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 51.102 48.898
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 48.898 51.102

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 97.572 2.428 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 2.428 91.628 5.944 0.0
Arizona 0.0 5.944 93.972 0.084
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.084 99.916

Generated: Wed Dec 11 22:10:26 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 78.992 15.408 3.41 0.244 1.946 0.0 100.0
New England 15.61 38.088 36.556 7.838 0.246 1.602 99.94
Cincinnati 4.114 41.944 49.656 3.178 0.068 0.618 99.578
Kansas City 1.242 0.564 0.14 0.0 95.598 2.432 99.976
Indianapolis 0.042 3.712 8.322 87.924 0.0 0.0 100.0
Miami 0.0 0.22 1.314 0.374 2.082 62.408 66.398
Baltimore 0.0 0.064 0.602 0.442 0.06 22.636 23.804
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.51 4.51
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.122 4.122
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.828 0.828
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.76 0.76
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.042 0.042
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.024 0.024
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.016 0.016
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 94.01 3.512 0.05 0.0 2.384 0.044 100.0
New Orleans 5.756 86.954 1.886 0.0 3.862 1.48 99.938
Philadelphia 0.008 2.348 71.062 8.564 0.332 1.892 84.206
Carolina 0.092 4.982 0.33 0.0 52.058 28.612 86.074
San Francisco 0.134 2.202 0.092 0.0 37.516 53.0 92.944
Detroit 0.0 0.0 12.352 58.504 0.002 0.18 71.038
Chicago 0.0 0.0 6.74 5.97 0.006 0.116 12.832
Dallas 0.0 0.002 5.1 12.916 0.012 0.826 18.856
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 2.388 14.046 0.0 0.216 16.65
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.828 13.634 17.462
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 11 22:10:26 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 13

Thursday, December 5th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 96.62 3.38 0.0 0.0
Miami 3.362 76.408 14.92 5.31
NY Jets 0.018 10.7 45.678 43.604
Buffalo 0.0 9.512 39.402 51.086

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 98.238 1.568 0.19 0.004
Baltimore 1.474 45.62 46.2 6.706
Pittsburgh 0.284 39.122 31.892 28.702
Cleveland 0.004 13.69 21.718 64.588

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.932 0.068 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.068 87.758 10.39 1.784
Jacksonville 0.0 7.478 45.34 47.182
Houston 0.0 4.696 44.27 51.034

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 98.178 1.822 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 1.822 97.392 0.786 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.786 84.476 14.738
Oakland 0.0 0.0 14.738 85.262

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 65.516 31.67 2.814 0.0
Dallas 34.29 61.988 3.722 0.0
NY Giants 0.194 6.342 88.32 5.144
Washington 0.0 0.0 5.144 94.856

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 84.684 13.302 1.996 0.018
Green Bay 9.994 41.53 48.214 0.262
Chicago 5.32 45.132 48.816 0.732
Minnesota 0.002 0.036 0.974 98.988

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 79.762 20.238 0.0 0.0
Carolina 20.238 79.762 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 57.446 42.554
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 42.554 57.446

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 99.134 0.866 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.866 83.316 15.818 0.0
Arizona 0.0 15.818 81.022 3.16
St Louis 0.0 0.0 3.16 96.84

Generated: Wed Dec 04 23:14:18 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 76.95 15.276 5.27 0.682 1.804 0.018 100.0
New England 13.534 29.842 36.4 16.844 0.922 2.178 99.72
Cincinnati 7.106 40.348 34.914 15.87 0.218 0.91 99.366
Indianapolis 1.338 13.608 20.96 64.026 0.0 0.004 99.936
Kansas City 1.072 0.562 0.172 0.016 90.442 6.882 99.146
Miami 0.0 0.268 1.888 1.206 5.336 45.746 54.444
Baltimore 0.0 0.096 0.388 0.99 0.636 17.688 19.798
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.28 0.204 11.56 12.048
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.064 0.024 4.522 4.614
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.414 4.94 5.354
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.018 0.0 2.272 2.29
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.646 1.646
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.0 0.91 0.914
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.696 0.696
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.028 0.028
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 98.254 0.862 0.018 0.0 0.852 0.014 100.0
New Orleans 1.346 77.162 1.254 0.0 16.508 3.416 99.686
Carolina 0.334 19.388 0.512 0.004 59.658 15.484 95.38
Philadelphia 0.0 1.652 42.69 21.174 0.856 4.516 70.888
Detroit 0.0 0.108 42.27 42.306 0.016 0.382 85.082
San Francisco 0.066 0.758 0.04 0.002 16.386 60.16 77.412
Dallas 0.0 0.07 8.386 25.834 0.224 2.436 36.95
Chicago 0.0 0.0 2.872 2.448 0.008 0.272 5.6
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 1.882 8.112 0.02 0.788 10.802
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.076 0.118 0.0 0.172 0.366
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.472 12.36 17.832
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.002
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 04 23:14:18 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 12

Wednesday, November 27th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 97.344 2.466 0.19 0.0
NY Jets 0.47 37.698 33.94 27.892
Miami 1.586 39.964 29.384 29.066
Buffalo 0.6 19.872 36.486 43.042

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 92.982 6.06 0.872 0.086
Pittsburgh 5.126 57.326 20.654 16.894
Baltimore 1.712 21.092 42.426 34.77
Cleveland 0.18 15.522 36.048 48.25

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 97.22 2.75 0.03 0.0
Tennessee 2.756 88.634 7.908 0.702
Houston 0.02 6.71 56.552 36.718
Jacksonville 0.004 1.906 35.51 62.58

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 89.98 9.89 0.13 0.0
Kansas City 10.008 87.496 2.494 0.002
San Diego 0.012 2.592 85.92 11.476
Oakland 0.0 0.022 11.456 88.522

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 65.508 31.982 2.5 0.01
Dallas 34.154 59.686 6.03 0.13
NY Giants 0.332 7.194 71.646 20.828
Washington 0.006 1.138 19.824 79.032

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 47.344 35.304 17.116 0.236
Green Bay 35.756 30.682 33.486 0.076
Chicago 16.9 33.96 48.438 0.702
Minnesota 0.0 0.054 0.96 98.986

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 90.152 9.848 0.0 0.0
Carolina 9.848 90.15 0.002 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.002 61.824 38.174
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 38.174 61.826

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 97.57 2.284 0.146 0.0
San Francisco 2.14 69.118 27.622 1.12
Arizona 0.29 28.206 68.236 3.268
St Louis 0.0 0.392 3.996 95.612

Generated: Wed Nov 27 19:38:59 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 72.016 14.238 3.3 0.426 9.794 0.196 99.97
New England 13.67 32.83 33.058 17.786 0.224 1.436 99.004
Cincinnati 4.94 34.808 36.788 16.446 0.37 2.884 96.236
Kansas City 7.646 1.95 0.356 0.056 85.092 3.998 99.098
Indianapolis 1.722 15.558 23.378 56.562 0.01 0.372 97.602
Miami 0.002 0.282 0.858 0.444 1.408 21.784 24.778
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.096 1.134 3.896 0.646 19.068 24.84
Baltimore 0.0 0.154 0.506 1.052 0.184 7.714 9.61
Tennessee 0.002 0.062 0.43 2.262 0.216 11.092 14.064
NY Jets 0.0 0.016 0.106 0.348 0.066 8.584 9.12
San Diego 0.002 0.004 0.004 0.002 1.934 15.23 17.176
Buffalo 0.0 0.002 0.048 0.55 0.0 2.414 3.014
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.034 0.146 0.042 4.332 4.554
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.014 0.034
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.88 0.894
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.0 0.002 0.006

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 65.284 31.958 0.328 0.0 1.962 0.402 99.934
New Orleans 34.022 55.498 0.63 0.002 8.55 1.19 99.892
Carolina 0.62 8.984 0.242 0.002 51.172 25.406 86.426
Philadelphia 0.0 1.138 40.986 23.384 0.908 3.552 69.968
Detroit 0.0 0.092 23.454 23.798 0.194 1.598 49.136
San Francisco 0.06 1.98 0.094 0.006 20.122 44.68 66.942
Green Bay 0.0 0.012 15.162 20.582 0.07 0.948 36.774
Dallas 0.0 0.072 10.276 23.806 0.298 2.438 36.89
Chicago 0.0 0.002 8.754 8.144 0.096 0.774 17.77
Arizona 0.014 0.264 0.012 0.0 16.608 18.716 35.614
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.062 0.27 0.006 0.152 0.49
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.0 0.0 0.006
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.142 0.156
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 27 19:38:59 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 11

Thursday, November 21st, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 87.916 9.72 2.09 0.274
NY Jets 5.824 47.378 28.684 18.114
Miami 4.224 26.922 30.748 38.106
Buffalo 2.036 15.98 38.478 43.506

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 96.35 3.332 0.284 0.034
Cleveland 1.408 43.5 35.31 19.782
Pittsburgh 1.656 39.032 28.03 31.282
Baltimore 0.586 14.136 36.376 48.902

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 98.17 1.752 0.078 0.0
Tennessee 1.456 70.264 27.664 0.616
Houston 0.374 27.63 66.746 5.25
Jacksonville 0.0 0.354 5.512 94.134

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 87.214 12.764 0.022 0.0
Kansas City 12.786 86.422 0.786 0.006
San Diego 0.0 0.774 76.65 22.576
Oakland 0.0 0.04 22.542 77.418

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 74.438 21.83 3.688 0.044
Dallas 21.718 46.36 27.882 4.04
NY Giants 3.706 26.96 49.434 19.9
Washington 0.138 4.85 18.996 76.016

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 57.596 29.402 12.988 0.014
Green Bay 26.348 33.588 39.792 0.272
Chicago 16.056 36.992 46.752 0.2
Minnesota 0.0 0.018 0.468 99.514

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 88.582 11.418 0.0 0.0
Carolina 11.418 88.554 0.028 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 0.02 58.46 41.52
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.008 41.512 58.48

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 99.196 0.774 0.03 0.0
San Francisco 0.63 58.91 37.892 2.568
Arizona 0.174 39.586 56.666 3.574
St Louis 0.0 0.73 5.412 93.858

Generated: Wed Nov 20 23:45:37 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 80.896 5.0 1.202 0.116 12.662 0.118 99.994
Kansas City 11.708 0.902 0.162 0.014 85.02 1.858 99.664
Cincinnati 2.468 52.468 28.43 12.984 0.082 1.98 98.412
New England 3.404 17.256 32.842 34.414 0.278 5.824 94.018
Indianapolis 1.518 22.936 32.336 41.38 0.004 0.262 98.436
Miami 0.006 0.908 1.938 1.372 0.818 18.982 24.024
NY Jets 0.0 0.214 1.574 4.036 0.264 25.516 31.604
Cleveland 0.0 0.166 0.448 0.794 0.102 13.132 14.642
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.054 0.34 1.262 0.098 8.478 10.232
Tennessee 0.0 0.042 0.37 1.044 0.066 7.69 9.212
Baltimore 0.0 0.048 0.19 0.348 0.024 3.432 4.042
Buffalo 0.0 0.006 0.162 1.868 0.0 4.218 6.254
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.368 0.0 0.518 0.892
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.544 6.268 6.812
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.038 1.724 1.762
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 72.714 25.59 0.858 0.034 0.67 0.102 99.968
New Orleans 26.916 59.394 2.182 0.09 10.074 1.086 99.742
Carolina 0.264 9.636 1.424 0.094 47.182 23.638 82.238
Philadelphia 0.01 2.57 37.302 34.556 1.448 3.784 79.67
Detroit 0.048 1.876 33.552 22.12 3.478 7.356 68.43
Green Bay 0.0 0.078 11.162 15.108 0.99 5.45 32.788
Chicago 0.002 0.176 9.528 6.35 2.438 7.454 25.948
San Francisco 0.026 0.474 0.104 0.026 14.464 28.576 43.67
Dallas 0.0 0.074 3.198 18.446 0.738 3.334 25.79
Arizona 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.004 18.348 17.822 36.344
NY Giants 0.0 0.002 0.67 3.034 0.152 1.22 5.078
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.138 0.002 0.056 0.196
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.016 0.118 0.134
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.004
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 20 23:45:37 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 10

Thursday, November 14th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 84.118 14.326 1.458 0.098
NY Jets 12.734 59.258 20.612 7.396
Miami 2.316 17.396 39.786 40.502
Buffalo 0.832 9.02 38.144 52.004

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 91.932 6.872 1.066 0.13
Cleveland 5.59 48.274 29.426 16.71
Baltimore 1.258 18.054 40.454 40.234
Pittsburgh 1.22 26.8 29.054 42.926

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 84.36 13.6 2.028 0.012
Tennessee 13.008 54.808 31.27 0.914
Houston 2.622 31.06 61.03 5.288
Jacksonville 0.01 0.532 5.672 93.786

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 73.472 26.378 0.15 0.0
Kansas City 26.5 72.288 1.212 0.0
San Diego 0.028 1.326 87.472 11.174
Oakland 0.0 0.008 11.166 88.826

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 67.786 26.17 5.468 0.576
Dallas 27.596 46.202 22.41 3.792
NY Giants 3.484 20.774 46.986 28.756
Washington 1.134 6.854 25.136 66.876

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Detroit 61.092 31.722 7.182 0.004
Green Bay 32.162 39.75 27.894 0.194
Chicago 6.746 28.494 64.084 0.676
Minnesota 0.0 0.034 0.84 99.126

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 81.064 18.932 0.004 0.0
Carolina 18.936 80.868 0.194 0.002
Atlanta 0.0 0.196 81.198 18.606
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.004 18.604 81.392

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 96.322 3.592 0.086 0.0
San Francisco 3.556 79.766 15.798 0.88
Arizona 0.12 16.006 74.884 8.99
St Louis 0.002 0.636 9.232 90.13

Generated: Wed Nov 13 23:43:22 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 67.278 5.174 0.922 0.098 25.858 0.57 99.9
Kansas City 24.892 1.46 0.138 0.01 71.052 2.084 99.636
New England 4.716 25.452 31.738 22.212 0.524 8.274 92.916
Cincinnati 2.056 46.818 29.356 13.702 0.162 3.528 95.622
Indianapolis 1.014 16.778 25.036 41.532 0.076 2.806 87.242
NY Jets 0.018 1.746 5.458 5.512 0.758 29.916 43.408
Tennessee 0.01 0.848 3.278 8.872 0.092 8.176 21.276
Cleveland 0.002 0.952 1.89 2.746 0.078 11.46 17.128
Miami 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.716 0.22 9.604 12.14
Baltimore 0.0 0.196 0.378 0.684 0.028 3.912 5.198
San Diego 0.014 0.008 0.004 0.002 1.11 12.238 13.376
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.05 0.326 0.844 0.032 3.176 4.428
Houston 0.0 0.018 0.256 2.348 0.0 2.174 4.796
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.12 0.712 0.002 1.656 2.49
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.01 0.0 0.0 0.01
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.008 0.426 0.434

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 74.138 19.494 2.5 0.19 3.192 0.35 99.864
New Orleans 22.566 50.676 7.056 0.766 10.558 6.162 97.784
Carolina 0.812 13.364 4.164 0.596 34.414 22.616 75.966
Detroit 0.678 8.526 39.156 12.732 4.12 9.01 74.222
San Francisco 1.656 1.54 0.33 0.03 34.842 30.092 68.49
Philadelphia 0.034 3.644 20.708 43.4 0.968 3.05 71.804
Green Bay 0.088 2.162 19.274 10.638 2.816 9.106 44.084
Chicago 0.0 0.302 4.314 2.13 1.876 6.328 14.95
Dallas 0.008 0.212 2.1 25.276 0.304 1.914 29.814
Arizona 0.02 0.076 0.022 0.002 6.822 10.646 17.588
NY Giants 0.0 0.002 0.36 3.122 0.054 0.494 4.032
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.016 1.118 0.008 0.112 1.254
St Louis 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.024 0.112 0.138
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.008 0.01
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 13 23:43:22 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 9

Wednesday, November 6th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 81.744 15.18 2.722 0.354
NY Jets 11.138 49.164 27.928 11.77
Miami 5.524 24.45 36.874 33.152
Buffalo 1.594 11.206 32.476 54.724

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 96.714 3.118 0.162 0.006
Cleveland 2.974 76.32 16.63 4.076
Baltimore 0.24 7.95 47.238 44.572
Pittsburgh 0.072 12.612 35.97 51.346

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 86.748 11.536 1.716 0.0
Tennessee 10.882 57.082 31.868 0.168
Houston 2.37 31.34 65.344 0.946
Jacksonville 0.0 0.042 1.072 98.886

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 54.46 43.694 1.836 0.01
Kansas City 45.236 53.228 1.534 0.002
San Diego 0.304 3.064 87.604 9.028
Oakland 0.0 0.014 9.026 90.96

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 53.044 32.46 12.198 2.298
Philadelphia 40.726 43.798 12.986 2.49
NY Giants 2.894 12.486 38.926 45.694
Washington 3.336 11.256 35.89 49.518

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 44.868 32.824 22.276 0.032
Detroit 36.48 37.736 25.742 0.042
Chicago 18.652 29.436 51.736 0.176
Minnesota 0.0 0.004 0.246 99.75

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 82.352 17.552 0.096 0.0
Carolina 17.626 79.938 2.43 0.006
Atlanta 0.022 2.506 91.552 5.92
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.004 5.922 94.074

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 81.626 18.232 0.142 0.0
San Francisco 18.334 78.952 2.672 0.042
Arizona 0.04 2.76 86.32 10.88
St Louis 0.0 0.056 10.866 89.078

Generated: Wed Nov 06 20:39:23 EST 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 38.526 11.122 3.8 1.012 40.544 3.324 98.328
Kansas City 37.064 6.404 1.54 0.228 51.776 2.346 99.358
Cincinnati 13.82 48.026 23.218 11.65 0.144 1.354 98.212
Indianapolis 5.252 16.886 29.038 35.572 0.364 3.074 90.186
New England 5.1 14.226 30.87 31.548 0.836 7.398 89.978
Tennessee 0.064 1.122 3.642 6.054 0.906 16.154 27.942
Miami 0.054 0.924 2.3 2.246 1.332 13.678 20.534
San Diego 0.11 0.102 0.076 0.016 2.16 10.938 13.402
NY Jets 0.004 0.584 3.724 6.826 1.342 21.684 34.164
Cleveland 0.006 0.534 0.938 1.496 0.43 11.668 15.072
Houston 0.0 0.044 0.514 1.812 0.116 4.534 7.02
Buffalo 0.0 0.006 0.272 1.316 0.038 2.65 4.282
Baltimore 0.0 0.02 0.054 0.166 0.006 0.656 0.902
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.058 0.002 0.35 0.424
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.192 0.196
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 65.814 12.77 2.912 0.13 16.452 1.436 99.514
New Orleans 17.534 44.084 16.45 4.284 3.83 6.922 93.104
San Francisco 13.054 4.572 0.654 0.054 61.06 11.89 91.284
Green Bay 1.782 11.622 24.898 6.566 2.772 15.886 63.526
Detroit 0.826 9.716 21.06 4.878 4.45 17.9 58.83
Carolina 0.58 7.604 6.982 2.46 7.336 19.374 44.336
Dallas 0.196 3.314 7.24 42.294 0.19 2.126 55.36
Chicago 0.174 3.274 11.118 4.086 1.684 12.114 32.45
Philadelphia 0.036 2.996 8.414 29.28 0.844 5.614 47.184
Arizona 0.004 0.028 0.006 0.002 1.298 6.048 7.386
Washington 0.0 0.008 0.118 3.21 0.048 0.298 3.682
NY Giants 0.0 0.008 0.142 2.744 0.018 0.268 3.18
Atlanta 0.0 0.004 0.006 0.012 0.016 0.11 0.148
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.014 0.016
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 06 20:39:23 EST 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 8

Thursday, October 31st, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 75.988 18.872 4.524 0.616
NY Jets 15.612 47.114 24.782 12.492
Buffalo 5.806 21.912 44.728 27.554
Miami 2.594 12.102 25.966 59.338

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 99.056 0.902 0.038 0.004
Cleveland 0.752 58.488 28.388 12.372
Pittsburgh 0.104 27.626 39.016 33.254
Baltimore 0.088 12.984 32.558 54.37

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 91.034 7.496 1.464 0.006
Tennessee 4.638 46.032 47.278 2.052
Houston 4.326 45.914 47.122 2.638
Jacksonville 0.002 0.558 4.136 95.304

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 70.278 28.132 1.584 0.006
Kansas City 28.972 65.114 5.836 0.078
San Diego 0.748 6.644 80.918 11.69
Oakland 0.002 0.11 11.662 88.226

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 65.81 23.486 9.354 1.35
Philadelphia 26.758 47.164 21.258 4.82
NY Giants 5.456 21.548 45.334 27.662
Washington 1.976 7.802 24.054 66.168

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 65.564 28.524 5.908 0.004
Detroit 30.728 57.916 11.334 0.022
Chicago 3.708 13.55 81.45 1.292
Minnesota 0.0 0.01 1.308 98.682

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 84.148 15.776 0.076 0.0
Carolina 15.82 81.318 2.842 0.02
Atlanta 0.032 2.896 89.94 7.132
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.01 7.142 92.848

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 74.874 24.89 0.236 0.0
San Francisco 25.066 72.716 2.198 0.02
Arizona 0.06 2.322 85.79 11.828
St Louis 0.0 0.072 11.776 88.152

Generated: Thu Oct 31 00:26:12 EDT 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 41.302 24.1 4.272 0.604 27.548 1.766 99.592
Cincinnati 36.568 47.356 12.992 2.14 0.096 0.518 99.67
Kansas City 17.114 9.934 1.73 0.194 63.514 5.506 97.992
Indianapolis 3.884 13.68 44.478 28.992 0.174 1.814 93.022
New England 0.868 4.048 26.522 44.55 0.524 6.246 82.758
San Diego 0.248 0.264 0.188 0.048 5.602 21.55 27.9
NY Jets 0.002 0.122 3.91 11.578 0.73 14.664 31.006
Tennessee 0.006 0.116 1.958 2.558 0.29 9.266 14.194
Cleveland 0.0 0.212 0.302 0.238 0.492 15.392 16.636
Houston 0.002 0.04 1.482 2.802 0.124 5.632 10.082
Miami 0.006 0.07 0.692 1.826 0.192 3.73 6.516
Buffalo 0.0 0.028 1.376 4.402 0.394 5.374 11.574
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.018 0.052 0.034 0.176 4.622 4.902
Baltimore 0.0 0.012 0.044 0.032 0.048 2.24 2.376
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.096 1.674 1.772
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.006 0.008

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 56.684 14.01 4.096 0.084 22.074 2.464 99.412
New Orleans 18.896 38.296 23.318 3.638 2.63 6.512 93.29
San Francisco 17.748 5.948 1.332 0.038 58.538 10.714 94.318
Green Bay 5.15 23.12 32.758 4.536 2.614 15.004 83.182
Detroit 0.916 9.852 18.264 1.696 6.948 28.014 65.69
Carolina 0.468 5.604 7.878 1.87 5.366 19.886 41.072
Dallas 0.118 2.164 6.646 56.882 0.034 0.756 66.6
Philadelphia 0.006 0.554 2.814 23.384 0.178 2.774 29.71
Chicago 0.002 0.422 2.662 0.622 0.362 5.132 9.202
Arizona 0.012 0.02 0.028 0.0 1.224 8.276 9.56
NY Giants 0.0 0.006 0.156 5.294 0.01 0.304 5.77
Washington 0.0 0.004 0.03 1.942 0.0 0.044 2.02
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.018 0.014 0.016 0.084 0.132
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.036 0.042
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Thu Oct 31 00:26:12 EDT 2013

2013 Playoff Predictions after Week 7

Wednesday, October 23rd, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 46.066 33.608 14.396 5.93
NY Jets 39.366 37.018 16.666 6.95
Buffalo 8.34 17.672 43.416 30.572
Miami 6.228 11.702 25.522 56.548

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 93.11 5.84 0.884 0.166
Cleveland 3.136 40.17 33.806 22.888
Pittsburgh 2.614 37.39 33.534 26.462
Baltimore 1.14 16.6 31.776 50.484

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 89.086 8.984 1.93 0.0
Tennessee 6.452 48.724 43.64 1.184
Houston 4.46 41.99 51.712 1.838
Jacksonville 0.002 0.302 2.718 96.978

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 56.468 36.744 6.762 0.026
Kansas City 40.082 49.41 10.478 0.03
San Diego 3.45 13.81 80.086 2.654
Oakland 0.0 0.036 2.674 97.29

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 62.52 33.914 3.354 0.212
Philadelphia 36.41 56.996 5.826 0.768
NY Giants 0.512 4.814 47.716 46.958
Washington 0.558 4.276 43.104 52.062

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 70.122 21.592 8.198 0.088
Detroit 20.008 50.364 29.276 0.352
Chicago 9.866 27.952 60.93 1.252
Minnesota 0.004 0.092 1.596 98.308

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 79.328 19.684 0.986 0.002
Carolina 19.9 68.686 11.258 0.156
Atlanta 0.772 11.56 83.674 3.994
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.07 4.082 95.848

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 86.006 13.976 0.016 0.002
San Francisco 13.992 85.042 0.934 0.032
Arizona 0.002 0.896 74.502 24.6
St Louis 0.0 0.086 24.548 75.366

Generated: Wed Oct 23 22:29:23 EDT 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 36.948 14.726 4.274 0.52 34.472 6.074 97.014
Kansas City 27.874 9.464 2.41 0.334 46.326 8.822 95.23
Cincinnati 20.704 37.162 25.47 9.774 0.484 2.078 95.672
Indianapolis 11.258 26.584 32.988 18.256 0.432 2.098 91.616
San Diego 1.744 1.094 0.5 0.112 11.21 25.36 40.02
New England 0.894 3.552 12.346 29.274 1.356 7.712 55.134
NY Jets 0.376 4.048 11.252 23.69 1.336 9.462 50.164
Tennessee 0.074 1.008 3.182 2.188 1.06 10.432 17.944
Cleveland 0.034 0.63 1.088 1.384 1.164 7.388 11.688
Miami 0.036 0.434 1.498 4.26 0.312 2.584 9.124
Pittsburgh 0.03 0.518 0.97 1.096 0.862 6.79 10.266
Houston 0.016 0.396 1.936 2.112 0.344 5.322 10.126
Buffalo 0.012 0.238 1.698 6.392 0.492 3.342 12.174
Baltimore 0.0 0.146 0.388 0.606 0.13 2.332 3.602
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.204 0.224
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.002

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 76.074 8.188 1.568 0.176 13.424 0.444 99.874
San Francisco 11.4 2.142 0.394 0.056 69.434 10.094 93.52
New Orleans 7.768 35.03 24.208 12.322 2.512 7.058 88.898
Green Bay 3.176 23.802 26.242 16.902 1.248 9.726 81.096
Dallas 0.994 12.426 16.392 32.708 1.264 7.492 71.276
Philadelphia 0.246 6.63 10.336 19.198 3.068 15.46 54.938
Carolina 0.19 5.256 7.904 6.55 4.532 16.112 40.544
Detroit 0.136 4.896 8.478 6.498 3.154 19.298 42.46
Chicago 0.016 1.548 4.182 4.12 0.814 9.726 20.406
Atlanta 0.0 0.068 0.226 0.478 0.172 1.226 2.17
Washington 0.0 0.008 0.042 0.508 0.03 0.188 0.776
NY Giants 0.0 0.004 0.028 0.48 0.022 0.264 0.798
Arizona 0.0 0.002 0.0 0.0 0.322 2.84 3.164
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.0 0.006 0.01
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.066 0.07
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Oct 23 22:29:23 EDT 2013

2013 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 6

Wednesday, October 16th, 2013

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 57.308 27.09 12.722 2.88
NY Jets 20.08 35.228 31.758 12.934
Miami 20.194 28.612 31.906 19.288
Buffalo 2.418 9.07 23.614 64.898

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 77.728 16.688 4.436 1.148
Cleveland 13.084 40.998 29.652 16.266
Pittsburgh 4.926 24.11 32.706 38.258
Baltimore 4.262 18.204 33.206 44.328

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 89.004 9.244 1.744 0.008
Tennessee 7.534 54.848 35.982 1.636
Houston 3.456 35.292 57.442 3.81
Jacksonville 0.006 0.616 4.832 94.546

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 68.046 29.644 2.266 0.044
Kansas City 30.882 61.34 7.54 0.238
San Diego 1.064 8.776 77.344 12.816
Oakland 0.008 0.24 12.85 86.902

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 84.908 14.128 0.906 0.058
Dallas 14.512 69.45 13.724 2.314
NY Giants 0.298 9.818 48.494 41.39
Washington 0.282 6.604 36.876 56.238

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 45.082 30.484 23.226 1.208
Detroit 33.712 38.244 27.184 0.86
Chicago 21.148 30.772 45.92 2.16
Minnesota 0.058 0.5 3.67 95.772

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 87.676 12.106 0.218 0.0
Carolina 12.118 77.724 9.422 0.736
Atlanta 0.202 9.01 69.522 21.266
Tampa Bay 0.004 1.16 20.838 77.998

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 83.994 15.166 0.828 0.012
San Francisco 15.39 77.15 7.25 0.21
Arizona 0.612 7.484 80.15 11.754
St Louis 0.004 0.2 11.772 88.024

Generated: Wed Oct 16 19:16:04 EDT 2013

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Denver 55.662 9.834 2.178 0.372 27.872 2.78 98.698
Kansas City 23.996 5.242 1.348 0.296 55.414 7.556 93.852
Indianapolis 10.384 32.384 27.014 19.222 0.452 2.15 91.606
Cincinnati 6.378 28.338 24.964 18.048 1.248 5.682 84.658
New England 2.106 10.19 18.718 26.294 1.29 7.212 65.81
Miami 0.412 4.296 6.974 8.512 1.36 8.87 30.424
San Diego 0.584 0.308 0.118 0.054 6.214 16.376 23.654
Cleveland 0.184 2.614 3.986 6.3 1.804 10.14 25.028
NY Jets 0.124 2.808 6.614 10.534 1.076 9.082 30.238
Tennessee 0.104 1.922 3.226 2.282 1.454 13.4 22.388
Houston 0.038 0.66 1.246 1.512 0.656 5.294 9.406
Pittsburgh 0.016 0.734 1.66 2.516 0.524 5.086 10.536
Baltimore 0.01 0.578 1.406 2.268 0.322 3.798 8.382
Buffalo 0.0 0.09 0.544 1.784 0.182 1.44 4.04
Oakland 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.0 0.132 1.124 1.264
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.006 0.0 0.01 0.016

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Seattle 56.588 18.436 7.082 1.888 12.506 2.144 98.644
New Orleans 24.64 34.014 20.644 8.378 3.88 4.108 95.664
San Francisco 7.522 4.932 2.34 0.596 50.408 16.112 81.91
Philadelphia 5.776 17.77 21.862 39.5 1.352 2.702 88.962
Green Bay 2.766 9.508 18.036 14.772 4.582 13.446 63.11
Detroit 1.344 6.734 13.638 11.996 6.806 16.034 56.552
Carolina 0.598 3.442 4.636 3.442 10.172 16.59 38.88
Chicago 0.506 3.536 8.482 8.624 4.498 13.554 39.2
Dallas 0.184 1.374 2.986 9.968 2.36 6.822 23.694
Arizona 0.074 0.222 0.198 0.118 3.106 7.1 10.818
Atlanta 0.002 0.028 0.054 0.118 0.242 0.892 1.336
Washington 0.0 0.002 0.01 0.27 0.022 0.138 0.442
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.014 0.284 0.042 0.168 0.508
Minnesota 0.0 0.002 0.016 0.04 0.008 0.092 0.158
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.002 0.014 0.084 0.102
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.002 0.014 0.02

Generated: Wed Oct 16 19:16:04 EDT 2013