Archive for November, 2009

2009 AFC Wildcard Race

Monday, November 30th, 2009

With 5 weeks remaining in the season, there are clear leaders in seven of the eight divisions. The NFC East division champ is very much up for grabs but in each of the other divisions there is one team that has an 80% chance or better of winning the division. The Cowboys have the inside track to the NFC East title, and even if the Eagles or Giants ultimately win that division, the Cowboys are likely to claim one of the wildcard spots. For the moment, if we designate the Patriots, Bengals, Colts, Chargers, Cowboys, Vikings, Saints, and Cardinals as division champs, we can focus on the wild card races. In this article, I will focus on the AFC wild card race.

Denver Broncos. Overall, Denver currently has a 75% chance of making the playoffs. The Broncos have games remaining against the Chiefs (twice), Raiders, Colts and Eagles. If the Broncos can reach 11 or 12 wins, they will certainly have a playoff spot as either the division champ or a wild card. At the moment, 10 wins seems very achievable by beating the Chiefs twice and the Raiders. In this case, they would have an 80% chance of making the playoffs, depending on the outcome of other games and the tiebreakers. If the Broncos only manage two more victories to finish 9 and 7 their odds of making the playoffs drop to 22%.

Pittsburgh Steelers. Overall, the Steelers currently have a 70% chance of making the playoffs. The Steelers have remaining games against Oakland, Cleveland, Green Bay, Baltimore, and Miami. If they run the table to get to 11 wins, they are in. If they lose one game, things get a little dicey depending on whom the lose to. Losing to Baltimore again drops their odds to 63%, losing only to Miami gives them an 83% chance, while a sole loss to Green Bay gives them an 87% chance. Two losses would drop their playoff odds to around 13%.

Baltimore Ravens. Overall, the Ravens currently have a 38% chance of making the playoffs. However, in terms of controlling their own destiny, the Ravens are in a slightly better situation. They have games remaining against Green Bay, Detroit, Chicago, Pittsburgh, and Oakland. Victories in all of those games gets them to 11 wins and a certain playoff birth. Ten wins with a sole loss to the Steelers gives them a 69% chance of making the playoffs while a single loss to Green Bay or Chicago would give them a 97% chance to make the playoffs. The winner of the second Pittsburg Ravens game will likely make the playoffs. Should be a great game. Two losses would drop the Ravens chances of making the playoffs to around 18%.

Jacksonville Jaguars.  Overall, the Jaguars currently have a 16% chance of making the playoffs, yet they still control their own destiny, since victories in their remaining games against Houston, Miami, Indianapolis, New England and Cleveland would give them 11 wins. Their problem is that they have games against two of the best teams in the league. If they can split those two games, and finish with 10 wins, they have a 90% chance of making the playoffs. However if they drop both of those games and finish 9-7, their odds drop to 22% and they need a lot of help.

Intermission. There is a non-zero probability that three of the above four teams could all finish with 11 wins or more (Baltimore and Pittsburgh cannot both finish with 11 wins, since they play each other). If the division leaders don’t falter, this would mean that an 11-win team would miss the playoffs. While mathematically possible, the chances of this happening are extremely low. Surprisingly, Jacksonville would have the inside track in this situation, while Denver and Pittsburgh or Baltimore would be sweating out the tiebreakers.

Houston Texans. Overall, the Texans currently have a 3.7% chance of making the playoffs. Winning the rest of their games against Jacksonville, Seattle, St. Louis, Miami and New England would give them 10 wins, but even then their odds of making the playoffs are only 59%. Dropping even one game to finish 9-7 would drop their playoff odds to around 3%.

New York Jets. Overall, the Jets currently have a 2.5% chance of making the playoffs. If the win all of their remaining games against Buffalo, Tampa, Atlanta, Indianapolis, and Cincinnati would give them a 10-6 record and a 64% chance of making the playoffs. A single loss to Tampa would leave them with a 13% chance to make the playoffs, but a single loss within the conference would drop their odds to 5%.

Miami Dolphins. Overall, the Dolphins have a 1.5% chance of making the playoffs. If Miami were to win all of their remaining games, against New England, Jacksonville, Tennessee, Houston and Pittsburgh, they would have a 10-6 record and a 94% chance of making the playoffs. A 9-7 record would drop their odds to around 15%. While these odds seem quite promising, according to Burke Team efficiency ratings, they will have a difficult time winning enough games to be a significant player in the wild card race.

Tennessee Titans. Overall, the Titans have only a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. Even if they win all of their remaining games against the Colts, Rams, Dolphins, Chargers, and Seahawks to finish 10-6, their playoff odds are only 34%. This scenario has become a dark horse story within the media over the last couple of weeks; however, the tiebreakers are working strongly against them, even if they can deliver on the field. With a 9-7 record, their chances of making the playoffs drop below 2%.

Buffalo Bills. Overall, the Bills have only a 0.04% chance of making the playoffs. If they win the rest of their games to finish 9-7, their best chance of making the playoffs is if the Patriots falter and the Bills win the division (about 12% chance). The chances of the Bills making a wild card slot at 9-7 are less than 2%.

The Chiefs and Raiders are not yet mathematically eliminated. However, even if they win all of their remaining games to finish 8-8, their chances of making the playoffs are 1.5% and 0.5%, respectively. The Browns are the only team in the AFC that has been mathematically eliminated at this stage of the season.

2009 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 11

Tuesday, November 24th, 2009

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 98.16 1.76 0.08 0.0
Miami 1.7 50.62 40.46 7.22
NY Jets 0.14 41.4 45.32 13.14
Buffalo 0.0 6.22 14.14 79.64

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 70.42 28.6 0.98 0.0
Pittsburgh 27.78 53.52 18.7 0.0
Baltimore 1.8 17.88 80.32 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.98 0.0 0.02 0.0
Jacksonville 0.02 65.32 25.08 9.58
Houston 0.0 28.86 44.32 26.82
Tennessee 0.0 5.82 30.58 63.6

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 85.58 14.42 0.0 0.0
Denver 14.42 85.34 0.24 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.22 56.64 43.14
Oakland 0.0 0.02 43.12 56.86

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 40.54 32.42 26.88 0.16
NY Giants 31.08 32.58 35.98 0.36
Philadelphia 28.38 34.98 36.0 0.64
Washington 0.0 0.02 1.14 98.84

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 98.76 1.18 0.06 0.0
Green Bay 1.14 93.24 5.62 0.0
Chicago 0.1 5.58 93.4 0.92
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.92 99.08

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 99.98 0.02 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.02 87.1 12.72 0.16
Carolina 0.0 12.8 86.38 0.82
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.08 0.9 99.02

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 94.46 5.52 0.02 0.0
San Francisco 5.52 79.46 14.8 0.22
Seattle 0.02 14.88 78.22 6.88
St Louis 0.0 0.14 6.96 92.9

Generated: Tue Nov 24 22:37:47 EST 2009

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 98.66 0.98 0.22 0.12 0.0 0.0 99.98
San Diego 0.56 38.58 27.04 19.4 5.26 6.32 97.16
New England 0.22 27.28 32.42 38.24 0.14 0.18 98.48
Cincinnati 0.28 17.5 23.94 28.7 9.44 11.88 91.74
Pittsburgh 0.12 11.86 10.42 5.38 40.76 13.32 81.86
Denver 0.16 3.7 5.42 5.14 22.2 34.02 70.64
Baltimore 0.0 0.06 0.34 1.4 9.04 9.74 20.58
Miami 0.0 0.02 0.16 1.52 0.54 1.24 3.48
Jacksonville 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 9.24 14.82 24.08
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.1 0.3 1.36 1.8
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.08 6.92 10.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 80.42 18.56 0.92 0.08 0.0 0.02 100.0
Minnesota 18.94 64.3 11.38 4.14 0.58 0.46 99.8
Arizona 0.34 8.62 30.86 54.64 0.12 0.9 95.48
Dallas 0.3 2.26 23.94 14.04 14.38 21.6 76.52
Philadelphia 0.0 3.12 19.16 6.1 19.72 19.56 67.66
NY Giants 0.0 2.6 12.94 15.54 14.22 19.52 64.82
Green Bay 0.0 0.54 0.48 0.12 46.32 25.98 73.44
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.22 0.76 2.78 9.06
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 3.64 7.92 11.58
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.14 0.94 1.18
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.14 0.16
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.12 0.18 0.3
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Nov 24 22:37:47 EST 2009

2009 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 10

Wednesday, November 18th, 2009

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 93.48 5.62 0.84 0.06
NY Jets 5.18 59.24 27.56 8.02
Miami 1.26 26.66 51.66 20.42
Buffalo 0.08 8.48 19.94 71.5

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Cincinnati 72.56 27.16 0.28 0.0
Pittsburgh 26.96 63.64 9.4 0.0
Baltimore 0.48 9.2 90.32 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.82 0.18 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.1 49.66 45.16 5.08
Houston 0.08 48.4 42.82 8.7
Tennessee 0.0 1.76 12.02 86.22

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 58.42 41.58 0.0 0.0
San Diego 41.58 58.42 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 55.88 44.12
Oakland 0.0 0.0 44.12 55.88

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 53.94 29.26 16.2 0.6
Philadelphia 25.38 39.72 33.74 1.16
NY Giants 20.56 30.68 47.18 1.58
Washington 0.12 0.34 2.88 96.66

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 97.68 2.1 0.22 0.0
Green Bay 1.82 86.62 11.56 0.0
Chicago 0.5 11.28 88.0 0.22
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.22 99.78

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 99.94 0.06 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.06 76.38 23.38 0.18
Carolina 0.0 23.5 75.82 0.68
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.06 0.8 99.14

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 87.8 11.92 0.24 0.04
San Francisco 11.84 71.06 16.48 0.62
Seattle 0.32 16.2 72.98 10.5
St Louis 0.04 0.82 10.3 88.84

Generated: Wed Nov 18 22:20:23 EST 2009

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 89.26 7.62 2.44 0.5 0.02 0.14 99.98
Cincinnati 4.96 40.74 19.34 7.52 16.34 7.74 96.64
Pittsburgh 3.08 20.76 2.66 0.46 56.86 9.7 93.52
Denver 1.8 11.16 30.78 14.68 4.44 19.12 81.98
New England 0.46 10.42 26.18 56.42 0.08 0.66 94.22
San Diego 0.4 8.98 18.08 14.12 6.96 21.68 70.22
Baltimore 0.02 0.2 0.18 0.08 5.94 11.18 17.6
Jacksonville 0.02 0.06 0.02 0.0 3.84 13.62 17.56
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.88 0.04 1.0 6.22
Houston 0.0 0.06 0.02 0.0 5.42 14.76 20.26
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.26 0.04 0.16 1.46
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08 0.0 0.04 0.12
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.2 0.22
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 83.14 15.3 1.42 0.08 0.04 0.02 100.0
Minnesota 15.82 62.82 13.56 5.48 0.9 0.68 99.26
Dallas 0.76 6.28 32.88 14.02 12.5 16.24 82.68
Arizona 0.26 8.24 24.86 54.44 1.0 1.3 90.1
Philadelphia 0.0 3.94 16.66 4.78 17.28 19.18 61.84
NY Giants 0.02 2.1 9.02 9.42 10.64 16.14 47.34
Green Bay 0.0 1.08 0.64 0.1 43.68 22.28 67.78
San Francisco 0.0 0.12 0.72 11.0 1.68 3.8 17.32
Chicago 0.0 0.1 0.18 0.22 1.66 2.82 4.98
Atlanta 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 9.94 14.48 24.48
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.08 0.02 0.06 0.2
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.32 0.1 0.28 0.7
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.56 2.72 3.28
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.0 0.0 0.04
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 18 22:20:23 EST 2009

2009 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 9

Tuesday, November 10th, 2009

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 88.46 10.66 0.84 0.04
NY Jets 10.44 66.22 19.1 4.24
Miami 0.82 15.32 54.66 29.2
Buffalo 0.28 7.8 25.4 66.52

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 70.14 27.5 2.36 0.0
Cincinnati 29.4 68.4 2.2 0.0
Baltimore 0.46 4.1 95.4 0.04
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.04 99.96

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.72 0.28 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.26 68.32 26.58 4.84
Jacksonville 0.02 29.16 58.96 11.86
Tennessee 0.0 2.24 14.46 83.3

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 88.72 11.28 0.0 0.0
San Diego 11.28 88.72 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 83.52 16.48
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 16.48 83.52

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 69.72 21.84 8.42 0.02
Philadelphia 17.08 43.88 38.86 0.18
NY Giants 13.2 34.26 52.2 0.34
Washington 0.0 0.02 0.52 99.46

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 95.58 3.82 0.6 0.0
Green Bay 1.74 68.24 30.0 0.02
Chicago 2.68 27.9 69.12 0.3
Detroit 0.0 0.04 0.28 99.68

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 99.88 0.12 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.12 91.7 8.08 0.1
Carolina 0.0 8.12 89.82 2.06
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.06 2.1 97.84

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 82.74 13.44 3.78 0.04
San Francisco 11.06 51.42 36.14 1.38
Seattle 6.12 34.72 55.88 3.28
St Louis 0.08 0.42 4.2 95.3

Generated: Tue Nov 10 21:23:49 EST 2009

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 64.62 19.08 11.2 4.82 0.04 0.1 99.86
Pittsburgh 20.8 37.5 10.02 1.82 24.76 3.42 98.32
Denver 10.5 24.44 42.36 11.42 4.76 4.74 98.22
New England 2.34 8.26 16.66 61.2 0.78 2.16 91.4
Cincinnati 1.5 8.66 12.94 6.3 32.88 21.68 83.96
San Diego 0.2 1.76 5.7 3.62 23.76 30.18 65.22
NY Jets 0.04 0.18 0.8 9.42 2.08 7.92 20.44
Houston 0.0 0.08 0.1 0.08 7.34 16.06 23.66
Baltimore 0.0 0.04 0.22 0.2 2.24 8.36 11.06
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.82 0.06 0.54 1.42
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.28 0.02 0.12 0.42
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 1.28 4.6 5.9
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.12 0.12
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 89.14 9.04 1.56 0.14 0.12 0.0 100.0
Minnesota 7.76 55.74 23.48 8.6 1.16 1.5 98.24
Dallas 2.94 20.22 38.86 7.7 14.32 8.44 92.48
Arizona 0.04 7.04 17.52 58.14 0.48 1.26 84.48
Philadelphia 0.06 4.34 10.48 2.2 22.9 19.38 59.36
NY Giants 0.02 2.58 5.66 4.94 15.7 17.5 46.4
Green Bay 0.0 0.78 0.58 0.38 18.04 18.72 38.5
Atlanta 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.0 21.96 21.4 43.48
Chicago 0.0 0.22 1.24 1.22 4.2 8.02 14.9
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.38 10.68 0.58 2.0 13.64
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.92 0.3 0.92 7.34
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08 0.0 0.0 0.08
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.22 0.86 1.08
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.02
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Nov 10 21:23:49 EST 2009

2009 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 8

Wednesday, November 4th, 2009

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 85.62 12.12 2.12 0.14
NY Jets 10.96 59.4 23.52 6.12
Miami 3.2 21.92 54.72 20.16
Buffalo 0.22 6.56 19.64 73.58

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 57.48 31.08 11.44 0.0
Cincinnati 34.98 49.28 15.74 0.0
Baltimore 7.54 19.64 72.8 0.02
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.02 99.98

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.36 0.64 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.64 70.96 26.44 1.96
Jacksonville 0.0 27.44 64.92 7.64
Tennessee 0.0 0.96 8.64 90.4

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 92.66 7.34 0.0 0.0
San Diego 7.34 92.66 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 82.32 17.68
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 17.68 82.32

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 44.48 30.84 24.44 0.24
Philadelphia 35.8 33.72 30.36 0.12
NY Giants 19.7 35.36 44.52 0.42
Washington 0.02 0.08 0.68 99.22

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 92.06 6.76 1.18 0.0
Green Bay 5.06 72.22 22.72 0.0
Chicago 2.88 21.02 75.8 0.3
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.7

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 99.86 0.14 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.14 93.14 6.68 0.04
Carolina 0.0 6.72 92.64 0.64
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.68 99.32

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 45.9 39.06 14.58 0.46
Arizona 46.96 37.96 14.08 1.0
Seattle 7.0 22.22 64.72 6.06
St Louis 0.14 0.76 6.62 92.48

Generated: Wed Nov 04 09:42:57 EST 2009

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 72.66 17.92 6.46 2.32 0.28 0.16 99.8
Denver 18.52 44.88 24.02 5.24 4.16 1.98 98.8
Pittsburgh 6.36 21.12 22.86 7.14 23.26 9.76 90.5
New England 1.46 7.2 21.16 55.8 1.26 2.56 89.44
Cincinnati 0.56 5.54 17.48 11.4 18.9 19.14 73.02
Baltimore 0.22 1.32 2.8 3.2 10.42 15.1 33.06
San Diego 0.1 1.68 3.54 2.02 27.24 25.36 59.94
Houston 0.12 0.2 0.14 0.18 10.46 14.48 25.58
NY Jets 0.0 0.06 1.32 9.58 2.58 6.82 20.36
Miami 0.0 0.08 0.22 2.9 0.26 1.2 4.66
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.22 0.0 0.06 0.28
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.18 3.34 4.52
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.04
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 84.96 13.36 1.52 0.02 0.04 0.1 100.0
Minnesota 13.42 59.6 17.32 1.72 3.78 2.08 97.92
Dallas 1.08 9.02 31.86 2.52 13.32 14.12 71.92
Philadelphia 0.3 8.12 25.12 2.26 10.92 13.6 60.32
NY Giants 0.04 3.64 13.22 2.8 7.78 15.76 43.24
Green Bay 0.2 3.2 1.42 0.24 40.54 20.26 65.86
Arizona 0.0 1.28 5.24 40.44 0.38 1.3 48.64
Chicago 0.0 1.5 1.16 0.22 6.38 10.52 19.78
San Francisco 0.0 0.18 3.06 42.66 0.3 0.84 47.04
Atlanta 0.0 0.1 0.02 0.02 16.44 20.66 37.24
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.04 6.96 0.02 0.26 7.28
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.04
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.14 0.0 0.0 0.14
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.48 0.58
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 04 09:42:57 EST 2009