To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 98.16 | 1.76 | 0.08 | 0.0 |
Miami | 1.7 | 50.62 | 40.46 | 7.22 |
NY Jets | 0.14 | 41.4 | 45.32 | 13.14 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 6.22 | 14.14 | 79.64 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Cincinnati | 70.42 | 28.6 | 0.98 | 0.0 |
Pittsburgh | 27.78 | 53.52 | 18.7 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 1.8 | 17.88 | 80.32 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 99.98 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 0.02 | 65.32 | 25.08 | 9.58 |
Houston | 0.0 | 28.86 | 44.32 | 26.82 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 5.82 | 30.58 | 63.6 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 85.58 | 14.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Denver | 14.42 | 85.34 | 0.24 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.22 | 56.64 | 43.14 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.02 | 43.12 | 56.86 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Dallas | 40.54 | 32.42 | 26.88 | 0.16 |
NY Giants | 31.08 | 32.58 | 35.98 | 0.36 |
Philadelphia | 28.38 | 34.98 | 36.0 | 0.64 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.02 | 1.14 | 98.84 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Minnesota | 98.76 | 1.18 | 0.06 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 1.14 | 93.24 | 5.62 | 0.0 |
Chicago | 0.1 | 5.58 | 93.4 | 0.92 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.92 | 99.08 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 99.98 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Atlanta | 0.02 | 87.1 | 12.72 | 0.16 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 12.8 | 86.38 | 0.82 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.9 | 99.02 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 94.46 | 5.52 | 0.02 | 0.0 |
San Francisco | 5.52 | 79.46 | 14.8 | 0.22 |
Seattle | 0.02 | 14.88 | 78.22 | 6.88 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.14 | 6.96 | 92.9 |
Generated: Tue Nov 24 22:37:47 EST 2009
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Indianapolis | 98.66 | 0.98 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.98 |
San Diego | 0.56 | 38.58 | 27.04 | 19.4 | 5.26 | 6.32 | 97.16 |
New England | 0.22 | 27.28 | 32.42 | 38.24 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 98.48 |
Cincinnati | 0.28 | 17.5 | 23.94 | 28.7 | 9.44 | 11.88 | 91.74 |
Pittsburgh | 0.12 | 11.86 | 10.42 | 5.38 | 40.76 | 13.32 | 81.86 |
Denver | 0.16 | 3.7 | 5.42 | 5.14 | 22.2 | 34.02 | 70.64 |
Baltimore | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.34 | 1.4 | 9.04 | 9.74 | 20.58 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 1.52 | 0.54 | 1.24 | 3.48 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.24 | 14.82 | 24.08 |
NY Jets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.36 | 1.8 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.08 | 6.92 | 10.0 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New Orleans | 80.42 | 18.56 | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 100.0 |
Minnesota | 18.94 | 64.3 | 11.38 | 4.14 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 99.8 |
Arizona | 0.34 | 8.62 | 30.86 | 54.64 | 0.12 | 0.9 | 95.48 |
Dallas | 0.3 | 2.26 | 23.94 | 14.04 | 14.38 | 21.6 | 76.52 |
Philadelphia | 0.0 | 3.12 | 19.16 | 6.1 | 19.72 | 19.56 | 67.66 |
NY Giants | 0.0 | 2.6 | 12.94 | 15.54 | 14.22 | 19.52 | 64.82 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.12 | 46.32 | 25.98 | 73.44 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.22 | 0.76 | 2.78 | 9.06 |
Atlanta | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 3.64 | 7.92 | 11.58 |
Chicago | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.14 | 0.94 | 1.18 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.3 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Tue Nov 24 22:37:47 EST 2009