Archive for December, 2008

2008 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 16

Tuesday, December 23rd, 2008

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 24.1 60.86 15.04 0.0
Miami 60.86 15.04 24.1 0.0
NY Jets 15.04 24.1 60.86 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 53.7 46.3
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 46.3 53.7

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tennessee 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 77.74 22.26 0.0 0.0
Denver 22.26 77.74 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Philadelphia 0.0 74.56 6.84 18.6
Washington 0.0 0.0 72.58 27.42
Dallas 0.0 25.44 20.58 53.98

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 65.62 34.38 0.0 0.0
Chicago 34.38 65.62 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 54.5 45.5 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 45.5 54.5 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

Generated: Tue Dec 23 16:15:33 EST 2008

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Tennessee 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Miami 0.0 0.0 60.86 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.86
New England 0.0 0.0 24.1 0.0 0.0 6.86 30.96
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 15.04 0.0 0.0 3.74 18.78
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.74 0.0 0.0 77.74
Denver 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.26 0.0 0.0 22.26
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.4 89.4
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
NY Giants 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Carolina 0.0 54.5 0.0 0.0 45.5 0.0 100.0
Atlanta 0.0 45.5 0.0 0.0 53.52 0.98 100.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 65.62 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.62
Chicago 0.0 0.0 34.38 0.0 0.0 3.12 37.5
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 62.9 62.9
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.98 24.46 25.44
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.54 8.54
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Dec 23 16:15:33 EST 2008

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2008 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 15

Tuesday, December 16th, 2008

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Miami 56.4 18.9 24.7 0.0
New England 8.5 55.28 36.22 0.0
NY Jets 35.1 25.82 39.08 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 77.78 22.22
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 22.22 77.78

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tennessee 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 98.18 1.82
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 1.82 98.18

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 90.46 9.54 0.0 0.0
San Diego 9.54 90.46 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 93.2 6.8
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 6.8 93.2

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dallas 0.0 49.8 40.62 9.58
Philadelphia 0.0 50.2 39.72 10.08
Washington 0.0 0.0 19.66 80.34

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 83.86 16.14 0.0 0.0
Chicago 16.14 83.86 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 79.68 12.38 7.94 0.0
Tampa Bay 10.66 48.8 40.54 0.0
Atlanta 9.66 38.82 51.52 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 97.58 2.42 0.0
Seattle 0.0 2.42 96.96 0.62
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.62 99.38

Generated: Tue Dec 16 20:43:49 EST 2008

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Tennessee 52.0 48.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Pittsburgh 48.0 52.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Miami 0.0 0.0 56.4 0.0 0.0 2.08 58.48
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 32.86 2.24 0.14 4.9 40.14
Denver 0.0 0.0 2.24 88.22 0.0 0.0 90.46
New England 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.0 2.24 15.78 26.52
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.54 0.0 0.0 9.54
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.0 7.12 99.12
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.62 70.12 75.74
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
NY Giants 49.76 44.1 6.14 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Carolina 50.24 27.48 1.96 0.0 9.98 8.86 98.52
Minnesota 0.0 8.1 64.84 10.92 0.0 0.0 83.86
Tampa Bay 0.0 10.66 0.0 0.0 31.36 23.22 65.24
Atlanta 0.0 9.66 0.0 0.0 30.02 29.42 69.1
Arizona 0.0 0.0 10.92 89.08 0.0 0.0 100.0
Chicago 0.0 0.0 16.14 0.0 0.0 0.24 16.38
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.0 18.3 41.3
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.64 19.96 25.6
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Dec 16 20:43:48 EST 2008

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2008 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 14

Wednesday, December 10th, 2008

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats 

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

 AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Miami 60.64 21.9 17.38 0.08
New England 9.18 50.82 38.9 1.1
NY Jets 30.18 26.86 41.2 1.76
Buffalo 0.0 0.42 2.52 97.06

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 86.56 13.44 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 13.44 86.56 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 97.16 2.84
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 2.84 97.16

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tennessee 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 95.1 4.9
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 4.9 95.1

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 91.7 8.3 0.0 0.0
San Diego 8.3 91.66 0.04 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.04 86.14 13.82
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 13.82 86.18

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Philadelphia 0.0 48.46 31.4 20.14
Washington 0.0 30.18 30.18 39.64
Dallas 0.0 21.36 38.42 40.22

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 62.22 35.66 2.12 0.0
Chicago 33.34 52.54 14.12 0.0
Green Bay 4.44 11.8 83.76 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 63.62 27.06 9.32 0.0
Tampa Bay 24.14 41.16 33.72 0.98
Atlanta 12.24 31.6 42.52 13.64
New Orleans 0.0 0.18 14.44 85.38

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 98.36 1.64 0.0
Seattle 0.0 1.26 76.34 22.4
St Louis 0.0 0.38 22.02 77.6

Generated: Wed Dec 10 11:31:27 EST 2008  AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Tennessee 80.86 19.14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Pittsburgh 19.14 67.42 0.0 0.0 1.98 11.42 99.96
Baltimore 0.0 13.34 0.1 0.0 13.4 66.7 93.54
Miami 0.0 0.04 59.98 0.62 0.02 0.98 61.64
NY Jets 0.0 0.06 24.72 5.4 0.1 1.78 32.06
Denver 0.0 0.0 6.06 85.64 0.0 0.0 91.7
New England 0.0 0.0 9.14 0.04 0.48 4.74 14.4
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.02 14.38 98.4
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3 0.0 0.0 8.3
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
NY Giants 72.16 27.42 0.42 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Carolina 27.06 36.22 0.34 0.0 23.76 9.06 96.44
Tampa Bay 0.48 20.14 3.44 0.08 28.44 19.08 71.66
Atlanta 0.22 11.56 0.46 0.0 28.42 16.2 56.86
Arizona 0.08 3.8 73.1 23.02 0.0 0.0 100.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.86 18.36 43.0 0.0 0.02 62.24
Chicago 0.0 0.0 3.88 29.46 0.0 0.1 33.44
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.44 0.0 0.0 4.44
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 12.9 20.8
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.42 22.4 28.82
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.06 18.34 23.4
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.9
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 10 11:31:27 EST 2008 

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2008 NFL Playoff Predictions after week 13

Thursday, December 4th, 2008

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Jets 54.12 27.38 16.6 1.9
Miami 37.0 32.06 27.9 3.04
New England 8.56 37.52 46.74 7.18
Buffalo 0.32 3.04 8.76 87.88

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 88.74 11.26 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 11.26 88.74 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 97.02 2.98
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 2.98 97.02

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tennessee 99.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.3 99.7 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 78.76 21.24
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 21.24 78.76

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 87.26 12.74 0.0 0.0
San Diego 12.72 86.06 1.06 0.16
Oakland 0.02 0.94 80.34 18.7
Kansas City 0.0 0.26 18.6 81.14

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 99.92 0.08 0.0 0.0
Washington 0.0 50.1 32.3 17.6
Dallas 0.08 31.62 41.16 27.14
Philadelphia 0.0 18.2 26.54 55.26

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 53.92 38.7 7.38 0.0
Chicago 28.46 36.48 35.06 0.0
Green Bay 17.62 24.82 57.56 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tampa Bay 33.9 28.42 37.22 0.46
Carolina 35.2 33.74 28.54 2.52
Atlanta 30.9 36.52 26.38 6.2
New Orleans 0.0 1.32 7.86 90.82

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 78.14 20.3 1.56
Seattle 0.0 15.62 64.7 19.68
St Louis 0.0 6.24 15.0 78.76

Generated: Thu Dec 04 14:02:59 EST 2008

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Tennessee 85.08 13.46 1.16 0.0 0.26 0.04 100.0
Pittsburgh 14.6 67.86 6.2 0.08 1.94 8.48 99.16
NY Jets 0.12 7.0 42.56 4.44 1.78 9.52 65.42
Baltimore 0.06 10.08 1.1 0.02 9.9 54.5 75.66
Miami 0.0 1.12 35.54 0.34 0.26 6.88 44.14
Indianapolis 0.14 0.16 0.0 0.0 84.8 11.4 96.5
Denver 0.0 0.1 5.02 82.14 0.0 0.0 87.26
New England 0.0 0.22 8.12 0.22 1.04 8.56 18.16
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.72 0.0 0.04 12.76
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.02 0.02 0.56 0.9
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.02
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.02
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
NY Giants 84.46 15.4 0.06 0.0 0.02 0.02 99.96
Carolina 11.9 23.1 0.2 0.0 27.04 17.82 80.06
Tampa Bay 2.56 29.84 1.48 0.02 17.78 20.86 72.54
Atlanta 1.04 28.32 1.54 0.0 27.22 16.16 74.28
Arizona 0.0 2.74 76.26 21.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.56 16.82 36.54 0.02 0.02 53.96
Chicago 0.0 0.0 3.4 25.06 0.0 0.18 28.64
Dallas 0.04 0.04 0.0 0.0 11.22 15.26 26.56
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 0.24 17.38 0.0 0.0 17.62
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.34 21.4 36.74
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.22 7.0 8.22
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.14 1.28 1.42
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Thu Dec 04 14:02:59 EST 2008

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