NFL playoff races and other musings

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Miami	56.4	18.9	24.7	0.0
New England	8.5	55.28	36.22	0.0
NY Jets	35.1	25.82	39.08	0.0
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

AFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Pittsburgh	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Baltimore	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	77.78	22.22
Cincinnati	0.0	0.0	22.22	77.78

AFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Tennessee	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Indianapolis	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Houston	0.0	0.0	98.18	1.82
Jacksonville	0.0	0.0	1.82	98.18

AFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Denver	90.46	9.54	0.0	0.0
San Diego	9.54	90.46	0.0	0.0
Oakland	0.0	0.0	93.2	6.8
Kansas City	0.0	0.0	6.8	93.2

NFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
NY Giants	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Dallas	0.0	49.8	40.62	9.58
Philadelphia	0.0	50.2	39.72	10.08
Washington	0.0	0.0	19.66	80.34

NFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Minnesota	83.86	16.14	0.0	0.0
Chicago	16.14	83.86	0.0	0.0
Green Bay	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Carolina	79.68	12.38	7.94	0.0
Tampa Bay	10.66	48.8	40.54	0.0
Atlanta	9.66	38.82	51.52	0.0
New Orleans	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Arizona	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
San Francisco	0.0	97.58	2.42	0.0
Seattle	0.0	2.42	96.96	0.62
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.62	99.38

Generated: Tue Dec 16 20:43:49 EST 2008

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
Tennessee	52.0	48.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
Pittsburgh	48.0	52.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
Miami	0.0	0.0	56.4	0.0	0.0	2.08	58.48
NY Jets	0.0	0.0	32.86	2.24	0.14	4.9	40.14
Denver	0.0	0.0	2.24	88.22	0.0	0.0	90.46
New England	0.0	0.0	8.5	0.0	2.24	15.78	26.52
San Diego	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.54	0.0	0.0	9.54
Indianapolis	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	92.0	7.12	99.12
Baltimore	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.62	70.12	75.74
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Cincinnati	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Houston	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jacksonville	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kansas City	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Oakland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
NY Giants	49.76	44.1	6.14	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
Carolina	50.24	27.48	1.96	0.0	9.98	8.86	98.52
Minnesota	0.0	8.1	64.84	10.92	0.0	0.0	83.86
Tampa Bay	0.0	10.66	0.0	0.0	31.36	23.22	65.24
Atlanta	0.0	9.66	0.0	0.0	30.02	29.42	69.1
Arizona	0.0	0.0	10.92	89.08	0.0	0.0	100.0
Chicago	0.0	0.0	16.14	0.0	0.0	0.24	16.38
Dallas	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	23.0	18.3	41.3
Philadelphia	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.64	19.96	25.6
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Green Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
New Orleans	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
San Francisco	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Seattle	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Generated: Tue Dec 16 20:43:48 EST 2008

This entry was posted on Tuesday, December 16th, 2008 at 9:54 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.