Archive for October, 2012

2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 8

Tuesday, October 30th, 2012

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 51.386 33.704 12.11 2.8
Miami 42.472 38.388 14.576 4.564
NY Jets 4.038 19.386 48.312 28.264
Buffalo 2.104 8.522 25.002 64.372

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 52.88 34.17 10.268 2.682
Baltimore 41.362 42.256 13.09 3.292
Cincinnati 4.884 18.812 53.746 22.558
Cleveland 0.874 4.762 22.896 71.468

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 97.83 2.082 0.086 0.002
Indianapolis 1.996 70.786 23.438 3.78
Tennessee 0.162 22.942 56.642 20.254
Jacksonville 0.012 4.19 19.834 75.964

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 95.044 4.522 0.434 0.0
Oakland 3.476 58.048 37.076 1.4
San Diego 1.472 37.088 58.66 2.78
Kansas City 0.008 0.342 3.83 95.82

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 80.442 15.738 3.304 0.516
Dallas 11.276 44.42 28.608 15.696
Philadelphia 5.612 23.966 37.35 33.072
Washington 2.67 15.876 30.738 50.716

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 50.442 27.722 14.948 6.888
Green Bay 27.692 31.552 23.852 16.904
Minnesota 14.708 24.502 33.17 27.62
Detroit 7.158 16.224 28.03 48.588

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 98.652 1.262 0.082 0.004
Tampa Bay 1.1 49.964 36.234 12.702
Carolina 0.23 41.51 43.55 14.71
New Orleans 0.018 7.264 20.134 72.584

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 93.45 5.6 0.83 0.12
Seattle 4.692 61.754 23.502 10.052
St Louis 1.232 16.062 38.628 44.078
Arizona 0.626 16.584 37.04 45.75

Generated: Tue Oct 30 22:40:09 EDT 2012

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 77.476 13.836 5.164 1.354 1.526 0.376 99.732
Denver 12.106 44.136 25.052 13.75 1.474 1.346 97.864
New England 5.382 12.618 18.55 14.836 15.378 11.548 78.312
Miami 2.14 12.876 17.974 9.482 20.122 12.418 75.012
Baltimore 1.144 7.944 13.1 19.174 11.138 10.408 62.908
Pittsburgh 1.064 5.806 14.682 31.328 6.812 8.918 68.61
Indianapolis 0.452 0.55 0.53 0.464 12.022 10.554 24.572
Oakland 0.122 0.964 1.288 1.102 12.352 14.446 30.274
Cincinnati 0.038 0.532 1.158 3.156 3.02 5.302 13.206
Buffalo 0.036 0.192 0.688 1.188 2.422 3.842 8.368
San Diego 0.022 0.318 0.516 0.616 6.156 8.36 15.988
NY Jets 0.012 0.184 1.154 2.688 5.516 8.672 18.226
Tennessee 0.006 0.038 0.064 0.054 1.832 2.972 4.966
Cleveland 0.0 0.006 0.076 0.792 0.16 0.602 1.636
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.008 0.07 0.222 0.304
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.008 0.0 0.014 0.022

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 49.144 23.496 14.97 11.042 0.29 0.288 99.23
San Francisco 23.682 31.328 23.02 15.42 2.294 1.678 97.422
NY Giants 16.768 22.966 23.74 16.968 7.418 4.642 92.502
Chicago 7.648 12.322 15.774 14.698 16.278 11.228 77.948
Green Bay 1.46 3.9 9.18 13.152 13.926 13.474 55.092
Minnesota 0.4 1.77 4.202 8.336 8.068 10.52 33.296
Dallas 0.328 1.206 2.788 6.954 8.602 11.952 31.83
Seattle 0.28 1.396 1.708 1.308 22.67 15.87 43.232
Detroit 0.208 0.954 2.342 3.654 8.46 9.794 25.412
Philadelphia 0.032 0.234 0.872 4.474 2.208 4.096 11.916
Washington 0.008 0.17 0.668 1.824 3.068 4.544 10.282
Arizona 0.02 0.088 0.172 0.346 2.766 3.882 7.274
Tampa Bay 0.016 0.09 0.27 0.724 1.946 3.53 6.576
St Louis 0.006 0.08 0.274 0.872 1.674 3.382 6.288
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.016 0.214 0.282 0.982 1.494
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.004 0.014 0.05 0.138 0.206

Generated: Tue Oct 30 22:40:09 EDT 2012

2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 7

Wednesday, October 24th, 2012

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 80.404 12.566 3.924 1.05 1.442 0.364 99.75
Denver 11.078 43.68 23.666 14.97 1.986 1.598 96.978
Miami 2.174 13.532 18.566 11.186 13.84 10.734 70.032
New England 2.704 7.362 12.468 12.834 13.436 12.656 61.46
Baltimore 1.932 11.856 16.824 19.132 10.652 8.862 69.258
Pittsburgh 0.798 5.636 13.426 22.876 8.5 9.012 60.248
Indianapolis 0.324 0.386 0.374 0.292 8.33 7.744 17.45
NY Jets 0.132 1.642 5.414 8.898 8.554 10.9 35.54
San Diego 0.174 1.052 0.988 1.096 11.27 10.26 24.84
Cincinnati 0.09 0.9 1.844 3.924 4.42 6.41 17.588
Oakland 0.07 0.906 1.182 1.084 9.334 9.89 22.466
Tennessee 0.078 0.188 0.214 0.192 5.708 6.822 13.202
Buffalo 0.042 0.278 1.02 1.748 2.238 3.842 9.168
Cleveland 0.0 0.01 0.072 0.68 0.192 0.584 1.538
Kansas City 0.0 0.004 0.016 0.034 0.022 0.084 0.16
Jacksonville 0.0 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.076 0.238 0.322

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 35.658 22.432 18.084 20.46 0.256 0.352 97.242
San Francisco 23.334 22.896 17.99 13.284 5.598 4.458 87.56
Chicago 13.702 13.452 12.166 7.282 14.972 10.112 71.686
NY Giants 12.82 13.972 13.776 10.454 12.01 9.36 72.392
Green Bay 4.374 7.566 9.894 8.616 12.516 12.126 55.092
Dallas 2.528 5.052 7.06 11.466 6.492 9.178 41.776
Minnesota 2.58 4.46 5.572 5.304 8.892 10.002 36.81
Seattle 2.46 3.678 3.17 1.834 19.026 12.95 43.118
Philadelphia 1.042 2.19 4.118 7.914 3.142 5.45 23.856
St Louis 0.422 1.38 2.572 3.536 4.132 6.882 18.924
Detroit 0.458 1.1 1.708 1.766 5.202 6.704 16.938
Washington 0.266 1.066 2.246 4.03 3.45 5.714 16.772
Arizona 0.32 0.618 1.04 1.466 3.086 4.18 10.71
Tampa Bay 0.022 0.082 0.344 1.324 0.54 1.146 3.458
Carolina 0.012 0.052 0.222 1.094 0.612 1.246 3.238
New Orleans 0.002 0.004 0.038 0.17 0.074 0.14 0.428

Generated: Wed Oct 24 00:23:53 EDT 2012

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Miami 45.458 28.708 18.266 7.568
New England 35.368 33.656 23.042 7.934
NY Jets 16.086 28.418 36.93 18.566
Buffalo 3.088 9.218 21.762 65.932

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 49.744 35.694 12.248 2.314
Pittsburgh 42.736 37.61 15.326 4.328
Cincinnati 6.758 22.346 54.268 16.628
Cleveland 0.762 4.35 18.158 76.73

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 97.944 1.922 0.134 0.0
Indianapolis 1.376 48.912 40.62 9.092
Tennessee 0.672 44.382 42.134 12.812
Jacksonville 0.008 4.784 17.112 78.096

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 93.394 5.838 0.75 0.018
San Diego 3.31 48.834 43.912 3.944
Oakland 3.242 43.722 46.494 6.542
Kansas City 0.054 1.606 8.844 89.496

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 51.022 28.792 14.696 5.49
Dallas 26.106 30.872 25.532 17.49
Philadelphia 15.264 23.512 31.672 29.552
Washington 7.608 16.824 28.1 47.468

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 46.602 29.294 16.874 7.23
Green Bay 30.45 32.318 23.208 14.024
Minnesota 17.916 25.926 34.428 21.73
Detroit 5.032 12.462 25.49 57.016

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 96.634 2.934 0.39 0.042
Carolina 1.38 47.244 35.488 15.888
Tampa Bay 1.772 37.744 37.394 23.09
New Orleans 0.214 12.078 26.728 60.98

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 77.504 15.16 5.548 1.788
Seattle 11.142 44.204 28.132 16.522
St Louis 7.91 25.718 36.918 29.454
Arizona 3.444 14.918 29.402 52.236

Generated: Wed Oct 24 00:23:53 EDT 2012

2012 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 6

Wednesday, October 17th, 2012

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 61.606 20.044 9.87 5.306 1.46 0.686 98.972
Denver 14.882 31.152 23.752 21.878 2.086 1.876 95.626
Baltimore 14.094 19.134 19.132 17.718 8.58 5.802 84.46
Miami 3.562 11.686 16.032 11.15 16.262 11.66 70.352
New England 3.074 6.77 9.87 10.516 13.212 12.528 55.97
NY Jets 0.692 3.282 7.05 9.828 9.262 11.112 41.226
Cincinnati 0.662 2.512 3.838 6.338 9.624 9.85 32.824
Pittsburgh 0.38 1.668 4.284 8.776 6.658 8.242 30.008
Buffalo 0.326 1.132 2.446 2.584 5.842 7.562 19.892
San Diego 0.242 0.918 1.148 1.598 9.558 9.312 22.776
Oakland 0.206 0.962 1.394 1.76 8.296 9.268 21.886
Indianapolis 0.224 0.48 0.656 0.974 5.14 5.674 13.148
Tennessee 0.034 0.134 0.188 0.352 2.422 3.336 6.466
Cleveland 0.014 0.106 0.296 1.048 1.12 2.092 4.676
Jacksonville 0.002 0.02 0.034 0.076 0.438 0.87 1.44
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.01 0.098 0.04 0.13 0.278

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 38.74 23.062 16.65 15.146 1.132 1.108 95.838
San Francisco 22.764 22.448 15.828 10.682 8.646 5.508 85.876
Chicago 14.744 15.348 13.528 8.524 12.094 8.34 72.578
NY Giants 9.964 12.442 14.682 12.558 8.658 8.544 66.848
Seattle 3.502 4.79 4.102 2.284 18.306 12.852 45.836
Minnesota 3.036 5.188 6.274 6.552 9.302 9.288 39.64
Green Bay 1.7 3.906 6.662 6.898 8.368 9.344 36.878
St Louis 1.352 2.81 3.556 3.088 9.526 10.278 30.61
Dallas 1.166 2.65 5.13 10.796 3.55 6.08 29.372
Philadelphia 0.91 2.364 4.598 9.95 2.786 5.014 25.622
Detroit 0.816 1.684 2.678 2.462 5.678 6.668 19.986
Washington 0.65 1.79 3.782 6.568 3.466 5.522 21.778
Arizona 0.348 0.676 0.84 0.93 3.65 4.46 10.904
Tampa Bay 0.172 0.408 0.774 1.858 1.986 2.828 8.026
Carolina 0.136 0.432 0.91 1.652 2.832 4.134 10.096
New Orleans 0.0 0.002 0.006 0.052 0.02 0.032 0.112

Generated: Wed Oct 17 01:28:42 EDT 2012

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Miami 42.43 29.376 18.408 9.786
New England 30.23 29.5 25.286 14.984
NY Jets 20.852 27.044 29.826 22.278
Buffalo 6.488 14.08 26.48 52.952

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 70.078 21.15 7.19 1.582
Cincinnati 13.35 37.366 35.076 14.208
Pittsburgh 15.108 32.198 31.808 20.886
Cleveland 1.464 9.286 25.926 63.324

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 96.826 2.94 0.228 0.006
Indianapolis 2.334 48.634 33.026 16.006
Tennessee 0.708 34.908 37.818 26.566
Jacksonville 0.132 13.518 28.928 57.422

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 91.664 7.198 1.084 0.054
San Diego 3.906 46.538 44.632 4.924
Oakland 4.322 44.006 43.92 7.752
Kansas City 0.108 2.258 10.364 87.27

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 49.646 26.848 15.87 7.636
Dallas 19.742 27.446 27.898 24.914
Philadelphia 17.822 25.852 29.054 27.272
Washington 12.79 19.854 27.178 40.178

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 52.144 25.496 14.81 7.55
Minnesota 21.05 29.01 30.39 19.55
Green Bay 19.166 29.886 28.536 22.412
Detroit 7.64 15.608 26.264 50.488

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 93.598 5.564 0.816 0.022
Carolina 3.13 51.024 40.678 5.168
Tampa Bay 3.212 40.924 46.942 8.922
New Orleans 0.06 2.488 11.564 85.888

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 71.722 18.614 7.292 2.372
Seattle 14.678 38.054 30.194 17.074
St Louis 10.806 30.44 35.678 23.076
Arizona 2.794 12.892 26.836 57.478

Generated: Wed Oct 17 01:28:42 EDT 2012

2012 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 5

Tuesday, October 9th, 2012

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 43.228 31.64 18.706 6.426
Miami 39.314 33.752 19.146 7.788
NY Jets 14.354 24.904 37.456 23.286
Buffalo 3.104 9.704 24.692 62.5

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 66.568 24.056 8.384 0.992
Cincinnati 21.03 43.816 28.326 6.828
Pittsburgh 11.674 26.748 43.05 18.528
Cleveland 0.728 5.38 20.24 73.652

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 98.952 1.02 0.026 0.0020
Indianapolis 0.848 52.144 31.674 15.334
Tennessee 0.174 33.544 38.04 28.242
Jacksonville 0.026 13.292 30.26 56.422

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 73.798 20.89 4.596 0.716
San Diego 21.692 53.022 20.668 4.618
Oakland 3.506 19.552 48.91 28.032
Kansas City 1.004 6.536 25.826 66.634

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 50.58 26.662 15.72 7.038
Dallas 26.588 30.56 26.562 16.29
NY Giants 15.842 28.358 33.404 22.396
Washington 6.99 14.42 24.314 54.276

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 51.136 32.612 12.394 3.858
Minnesota 39.39 39.026 16.734 4.85
Green Bay 6.074 17.37 39.648 36.908
Detroit 3.4 10.992 31.224 54.384

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 99.114 0.84 0.044 0.0020
Carolina 0.724 71.23 22.24 5.806
Tampa Bay 0.12 18.296 44.616 36.968
New Orleans 0.042 9.634 33.1 57.224

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 87.168 9.512 2.638 0.682
St Louis 5.592 37.878 31.57 24.96
Arizona 4.722 32.666 34.702 27.91
Seattle 2.518 19.944 31.09 46.448

Generated: Tue Oct 09 19:04:09 EDT 2012

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 83.25 11.152 3.394 1.156 0.67 0.232 99.854
Baltimore 7.436 24.294 18.764 16.074 10.052 6.892 83.512
Denver 2.938 24.476 22.47 23.914 6.062 5.608 85.468
New England 2.994 10.844 15.546 13.844 11.618 11.212 66.058
Miami 1.068 11.738 15.4 11.108 13.954 12.16 65.428
San Diego 0.986 6.6 6.458 7.648 15.65 12.526 49.868
Cincinnati 0.658 5.472 6.61 8.29 12.588 11.454 45.072
Pittsburgh 0.238 1.984 3.614 5.838 6.54 8.02 26.234
NY Jets 0.11 2.042 4.87 7.332 5.97 8.252 28.576
Indianapolis 0.206 0.244 0.22 0.178 6.958 7.164 14.97
Oakland 0.038 0.626 1.086 1.756 3.742 5.466 12.714
Buffalo 0.048 0.388 1.134 1.534 2.644 4.358 10.106
Tennessee 0.022 0.042 0.044 0.066 1.968 3.316 5.458
Kansas City 0.0080 0.048 0.198 0.75 0.554 1.124 2.682
Cleveland 0.0 0.048 0.19 0.49 0.642 1.236 2.606
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0020 0.0020 0.022 0.388 0.98 1.394

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 47.412 29.542 14.264 7.896 0.19 0.14 99.444
San Francisco 35.144 30.49 16.066 5.468 6.03 3.08 96.278
Chicago 7.008 13.778 20.232 10.118 16.632 9.732 77.5
Minnesota 4.916 10.28 15.536 8.658 16.636 11.518 67.544
Philadelphia 2.658 6.62 13.808 27.494 4.298 6.426 61.304
Arizona 0.692 1.558 1.62 0.852 12.51 11.336 28.568
NY Giants 0.578 1.886 4.394 8.984 5.892 8.488 30.222
St Louis 0.592 1.64 2.094 1.266 13.362 13.43 32.384
Dallas 0.472 1.984 5.39 18.742 3.328 6.678 36.594
Seattle 0.306 0.888 0.826 0.498 9.02 9.49 21.028
Green Bay 0.082 0.558 2.62 2.814 4.436 6.796 17.306
Detroit 0.084 0.346 1.38 1.59 3.206 4.792 11.398
Washington 0.044 0.294 1.506 5.146 1.574 3.44 12.004
Carolina 0.012 0.124 0.226 0.362 2.64 4.104 7.468
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.012 0.034 0.074 0.208 0.402 0.73
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0040 0.038 0.038 0.148 0.228

Generated: Tue Oct 09 19:04:09 EDT 2012

2012 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 4

Wednesday, October 3rd, 2012

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 57.794 24.15 12.106 5.95
Miami 19.982 29.596 26.53 23.892
Buffalo 11.742 25.07 30.786 32.402
NY Jets 10.482 21.184 30.578 37.756

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 70.692 24.34 4.324 0.644
Cincinnati 25.404 54.918 15.622 4.056
Cleveland 1.314 9.434 42.058 47.194
Pittsburgh 2.59 11.308 37.996 48.106

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 99.194 0.78 0.026 0.0
Tennessee 0.618 60.976 25.232 13.174
Jacksonville 0.05 19.798 39.15 41.002
Indianapolis 0.138 18.446 35.592 45.824

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 70.21 25.376 3.89 0.524
San Diego 27.388 56.778 13.496 2.338
Oakland 1.606 12.716 52.852 32.826
Kansas City 0.796 5.13 29.762 64.312

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 73.424 18.546 6.878 1.152
NY Giants 13.624 42.404 33.846 10.126
Dallas 11.706 32.466 40.814 15.014
Washington 1.246 6.584 18.462 73.708

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 44.46 31.154 17.636 6.75
Minnesota 37.108 32.8 22.384 7.708
Green Bay 14.886 25.856 35.728 23.53
Detroit 3.546 10.19 24.252 62.012

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 96.192 3.72 0.082 0.0060
Carolina 3.706 87.45 8.304 0.54
Tampa Bay 0.096 7.704 69.972 22.228
New Orleans 0.0060 1.126 21.642 77.226

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 67.154 25.258 6.238 1.35
Arizona 26.882 49.54 18.27 5.308
St Louis 4.656 18.188 45.492 31.664
Seattle 1.308 7.014 30.0 61.678

Generated: Wed Oct 03 23:27:51 EDT 2012

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 78.692 14.006 4.798 1.698 0.406 0.2 99.8
Baltimore 9.966 27.274 21.348 12.104 11.65 6.64 88.982
Denver 3.976 25.248 23.148 17.838 9.846 6.826 86.882
New England 3.15 10.148 18.336 26.16 5.654 8.464 71.912
San Diego 1.854 8.672 9.13 7.732 19.934 14.21 61.532
Cincinnati 1.684 9.126 8.136 6.458 22.248 14.012 61.664
Miami 0.176 2.492 6.39 10.924 6.46 9.928 36.37
Buffalo 0.262 1.238 3.838 6.404 5.83 9.112 26.684
NY Jets 0.128 0.942 2.744 6.668 3.258 6.122 19.862
Pittsburgh 0.028 0.284 0.89 1.388 2.244 3.682 8.516
Tennessee 0.046 0.13 0.224 0.218 5.716 8.58 14.914
Oakland 0.01 0.162 0.414 1.02 2.492 3.918 8.016
Cleveland 0.0080 0.148 0.362 0.796 1.74 3.084 6.138
Indianapolis 0.014 0.04 0.04 0.044 1.188 2.178 3.504
Kansas City 0.0040 0.076 0.186 0.53 0.618 1.298 2.712
Jacksonville 0.0020 0.014 0.016 0.018 0.716 1.746 2.512

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 57.434 21.54 11.25 5.968 1.636 0.858 98.686
San Francisco 15.62 23.546 16.922 11.066 11.76 7.006 85.92
Philadelphia 11.828 17.876 21.998 21.722 4.396 5.014 82.834
Chicago 4.694 10.586 14.154 15.026 9.302 9.672 63.434
Arizona 4.02 8.918 7.842 6.102 16.994 13.056 56.932
Minnesota 3.468 8.886 11.312 13.442 9.356 9.474 55.938
NY Giants 1.156 2.972 4.626 4.87 12.454 12.486 38.564
Carolina 0.716 1.058 1.06 0.872 18.158 15.968 37.832
Green Bay 0.422 1.716 4.282 8.466 4.438 6.646 25.97
Dallas 0.352 1.358 3.306 6.69 3.908 6.76 22.374
St Louis 0.184 0.878 1.606 1.988 3.768 5.838 14.262
Detroit 0.046 0.296 0.81 2.394 1.432 2.632 7.61
Seattle 0.042 0.262 0.452 0.552 1.542 2.738 5.588
Washington 0.016 0.096 0.342 0.792 0.628 1.334 3.208
Tampa Bay 0.0020 0.012 0.038 0.044 0.226 0.488 0.81
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0060 0.0020 0.03 0.038

Generated: Wed Oct 03 23:27:51 EDT 2012