2009 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 8

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 85.62 12.12 2.12 0.14
NY Jets 10.96 59.4 23.52 6.12
Miami 3.2 21.92 54.72 20.16
Buffalo 0.22 6.56 19.64 73.58

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 57.48 31.08 11.44 0.0
Cincinnati 34.98 49.28 15.74 0.0
Baltimore 7.54 19.64 72.8 0.02
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.02 99.98

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.36 0.64 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.64 70.96 26.44 1.96
Jacksonville 0.0 27.44 64.92 7.64
Tennessee 0.0 0.96 8.64 90.4

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 92.66 7.34 0.0 0.0
San Diego 7.34 92.66 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 82.32 17.68
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 17.68 82.32

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 44.48 30.84 24.44 0.24
Philadelphia 35.8 33.72 30.36 0.12
NY Giants 19.7 35.36 44.52 0.42
Washington 0.02 0.08 0.68 99.22

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 92.06 6.76 1.18 0.0
Green Bay 5.06 72.22 22.72 0.0
Chicago 2.88 21.02 75.8 0.3
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.7

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 99.86 0.14 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.14 93.14 6.68 0.04
Carolina 0.0 6.72 92.64 0.64
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.68 99.32

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 45.9 39.06 14.58 0.46
Arizona 46.96 37.96 14.08 1.0
Seattle 7.0 22.22 64.72 6.06
St Louis 0.14 0.76 6.62 92.48

Generated: Wed Nov 04 09:42:57 EST 2009

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 72.66 17.92 6.46 2.32 0.28 0.16 99.8
Denver 18.52 44.88 24.02 5.24 4.16 1.98 98.8
Pittsburgh 6.36 21.12 22.86 7.14 23.26 9.76 90.5
New England 1.46 7.2 21.16 55.8 1.26 2.56 89.44
Cincinnati 0.56 5.54 17.48 11.4 18.9 19.14 73.02
Baltimore 0.22 1.32 2.8 3.2 10.42 15.1 33.06
San Diego 0.1 1.68 3.54 2.02 27.24 25.36 59.94
Houston 0.12 0.2 0.14 0.18 10.46 14.48 25.58
NY Jets 0.0 0.06 1.32 9.58 2.58 6.82 20.36
Miami 0.0 0.08 0.22 2.9 0.26 1.2 4.66
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.22 0.0 0.06 0.28
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.18 3.34 4.52
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.04
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 84.96 13.36 1.52 0.02 0.04 0.1 100.0
Minnesota 13.42 59.6 17.32 1.72 3.78 2.08 97.92
Dallas 1.08 9.02 31.86 2.52 13.32 14.12 71.92
Philadelphia 0.3 8.12 25.12 2.26 10.92 13.6 60.32
NY Giants 0.04 3.64 13.22 2.8 7.78 15.76 43.24
Green Bay 0.2 3.2 1.42 0.24 40.54 20.26 65.86
Arizona 0.0 1.28 5.24 40.44 0.38 1.3 48.64
Chicago 0.0 1.5 1.16 0.22 6.38 10.52 19.78
San Francisco 0.0 0.18 3.06 42.66 0.3 0.84 47.04
Atlanta 0.0 0.1 0.02 0.02 16.44 20.66 37.24
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.04 6.96 0.02 0.26 7.28
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.04
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.14 0.0 0.0 0.14
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.48 0.58
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 04 09:42:57 EST 2009

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