To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 85.62 | 12.12 | 2.12 | 0.14 |
NY Jets | 10.96 | 59.4 | 23.52 | 6.12 |
Miami | 3.2 | 21.92 | 54.72 | 20.16 |
Buffalo | 0.22 | 6.56 | 19.64 | 73.58 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 57.48 | 31.08 | 11.44 | 0.0 |
Cincinnati | 34.98 | 49.28 | 15.74 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 7.54 | 19.64 | 72.8 | 0.02 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 99.98 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 99.36 | 0.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Houston | 0.64 | 70.96 | 26.44 | 1.96 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 27.44 | 64.92 | 7.64 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.96 | 8.64 | 90.4 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Denver | 92.66 | 7.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego | 7.34 | 92.66 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.32 | 17.68 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.68 | 82.32 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Dallas | 44.48 | 30.84 | 24.44 | 0.24 |
Philadelphia | 35.8 | 33.72 | 30.36 | 0.12 |
NY Giants | 19.7 | 35.36 | 44.52 | 0.42 |
Washington | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.68 | 99.22 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Minnesota | 92.06 | 6.76 | 1.18 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 5.06 | 72.22 | 22.72 | 0.0 |
Chicago | 2.88 | 21.02 | 75.8 | 0.3 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 99.7 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 99.86 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Atlanta | 0.14 | 93.14 | 6.68 | 0.04 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 6.72 | 92.64 | 0.64 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 99.32 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Francisco | 45.9 | 39.06 | 14.58 | 0.46 |
Arizona | 46.96 | 37.96 | 14.08 | 1.0 |
Seattle | 7.0 | 22.22 | 64.72 | 6.06 |
St Louis | 0.14 | 0.76 | 6.62 | 92.48 |
Generated: Wed Nov 04 09:42:57 EST 2009
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Indianapolis | 72.66 | 17.92 | 6.46 | 2.32 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 99.8 |
Denver | 18.52 | 44.88 | 24.02 | 5.24 | 4.16 | 1.98 | 98.8 |
Pittsburgh | 6.36 | 21.12 | 22.86 | 7.14 | 23.26 | 9.76 | 90.5 |
New England | 1.46 | 7.2 | 21.16 | 55.8 | 1.26 | 2.56 | 89.44 |
Cincinnati | 0.56 | 5.54 | 17.48 | 11.4 | 18.9 | 19.14 | 73.02 |
Baltimore | 0.22 | 1.32 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 10.42 | 15.1 | 33.06 |
San Diego | 0.1 | 1.68 | 3.54 | 2.02 | 27.24 | 25.36 | 59.94 |
Houston | 0.12 | 0.2 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 10.46 | 14.48 | 25.58 |
NY Jets | 0.0 | 0.06 | 1.32 | 9.58 | 2.58 | 6.82 | 20.36 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 2.9 | 0.26 | 1.2 | 4.66 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.28 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.18 | 3.34 | 4.52 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New Orleans | 84.96 | 13.36 | 1.52 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.1 | 100.0 |
Minnesota | 13.42 | 59.6 | 17.32 | 1.72 | 3.78 | 2.08 | 97.92 |
Dallas | 1.08 | 9.02 | 31.86 | 2.52 | 13.32 | 14.12 | 71.92 |
Philadelphia | 0.3 | 8.12 | 25.12 | 2.26 | 10.92 | 13.6 | 60.32 |
NY Giants | 0.04 | 3.64 | 13.22 | 2.8 | 7.78 | 15.76 | 43.24 |
Green Bay | 0.2 | 3.2 | 1.42 | 0.24 | 40.54 | 20.26 | 65.86 |
Arizona | 0.0 | 1.28 | 5.24 | 40.44 | 0.38 | 1.3 | 48.64 |
Chicago | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 0.22 | 6.38 | 10.52 | 19.78 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.18 | 3.06 | 42.66 | 0.3 | 0.84 | 47.04 |
Atlanta | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 16.44 | 20.66 | 37.24 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 6.96 | 0.02 | 0.26 | 7.28 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.14 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.48 | 0.58 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Wed Nov 04 09:42:57 EST 2009