To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 93.48 | 5.62 | 0.84 | 0.06 |
NY Jets | 5.18 | 59.24 | 27.56 | 8.02 |
Miami | 1.26 | 26.66 | 51.66 | 20.42 |
Buffalo | 0.08 | 8.48 | 19.94 | 71.5 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Cincinnati | 72.56 | 27.16 | 0.28 | 0.0 |
Pittsburgh | 26.96 | 63.64 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 0.48 | 9.2 | 90.32 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 99.82 | 0.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 0.1 | 49.66 | 45.16 | 5.08 |
Houston | 0.08 | 48.4 | 42.82 | 8.7 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 1.76 | 12.02 | 86.22 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Denver | 58.42 | 41.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego | 41.58 | 58.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.88 | 44.12 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.12 | 55.88 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Dallas | 53.94 | 29.26 | 16.2 | 0.6 |
Philadelphia | 25.38 | 39.72 | 33.74 | 1.16 |
NY Giants | 20.56 | 30.68 | 47.18 | 1.58 |
Washington | 0.12 | 0.34 | 2.88 | 96.66 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Minnesota | 97.68 | 2.1 | 0.22 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 1.82 | 86.62 | 11.56 | 0.0 |
Chicago | 0.5 | 11.28 | 88.0 | 0.22 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 | 99.78 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 99.94 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Atlanta | 0.06 | 76.38 | 23.38 | 0.18 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 23.5 | 75.82 | 0.68 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.8 | 99.14 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 87.8 | 11.92 | 0.24 | 0.04 |
San Francisco | 11.84 | 71.06 | 16.48 | 0.62 |
Seattle | 0.32 | 16.2 | 72.98 | 10.5 |
St Louis | 0.04 | 0.82 | 10.3 | 88.84 |
Generated: Wed Nov 18 22:20:23 EST 2009
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Indianapolis | 89.26 | 7.62 | 2.44 | 0.5 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 99.98 |
Cincinnati | 4.96 | 40.74 | 19.34 | 7.52 | 16.34 | 7.74 | 96.64 |
Pittsburgh | 3.08 | 20.76 | 2.66 | 0.46 | 56.86 | 9.7 | 93.52 |
Denver | 1.8 | 11.16 | 30.78 | 14.68 | 4.44 | 19.12 | 81.98 |
New England | 0.46 | 10.42 | 26.18 | 56.42 | 0.08 | 0.66 | 94.22 |
San Diego | 0.4 | 8.98 | 18.08 | 14.12 | 6.96 | 21.68 | 70.22 |
Baltimore | 0.02 | 0.2 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 5.94 | 11.18 | 17.6 |
Jacksonville | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 3.84 | 13.62 | 17.56 |
NY Jets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.88 | 0.04 | 1.0 | 6.22 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 5.42 | 14.76 | 20.26 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 1.46 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.12 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.2 | 0.22 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New Orleans | 83.14 | 15.3 | 1.42 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 100.0 |
Minnesota | 15.82 | 62.82 | 13.56 | 5.48 | 0.9 | 0.68 | 99.26 |
Dallas | 0.76 | 6.28 | 32.88 | 14.02 | 12.5 | 16.24 | 82.68 |
Arizona | 0.26 | 8.24 | 24.86 | 54.44 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 90.1 |
Philadelphia | 0.0 | 3.94 | 16.66 | 4.78 | 17.28 | 19.18 | 61.84 |
NY Giants | 0.02 | 2.1 | 9.02 | 9.42 | 10.64 | 16.14 | 47.34 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 1.08 | 0.64 | 0.1 | 43.68 | 22.28 | 67.78 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.12 | 0.72 | 11.0 | 1.68 | 3.8 | 17.32 |
Chicago | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 1.66 | 2.82 | 4.98 |
Atlanta | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9.94 | 14.48 | 24.48 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.2 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.32 | 0.1 | 0.28 | 0.7 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.56 | 2.72 | 3.28 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Wed Nov 18 22:20:23 EST 2009