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Playoff predictions, 2006 after week 13

Here are this week’s playoff predictions. If you’re a fan of one of the five 7-5 AFC teams or one of the four 6-6 NFC teams, you’ll want to try out the software this week if you haven’t already done so. There are lots and lots of scenarios to analyze and my software automatically analyzes all the tiebreakers for you. It’s playoff madness!

Tomorrow, I’ll post a graphical week-by-week comparison of my forecasts and the DVOA forecasts, starting from week 9 until now.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 85.82 14.18 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 14.18 79.94 5.72 0.16
Buffalo 0.0 4.2 52.86 42.94
Miami 0.0 1.68 41.42 56.9

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 90.06 9.8 0.14 0.0
Cincinnati 9.82 86.7 3.46 0.02
Pittsburgh 0.12 3.38 73.04 23.46
Cleveland 0.0 0.12 23.36 76.52

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.38 0.62 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.62 80.26 18.08 1.04
Tennessee 0.0 17.48 59.12 23.4
Houston 0.0 1.64 22.8 75.56

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 94.58 4.54 0.88 0.0
Denver 3.16 51.08 45.76 0.0
Kansas City 2.26 44.38 53.36 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 87.18 10.88 1.9 0.04
NY Giants 5.82 58.76 31.64 3.78
Philadelphia 6.98 27.56 48.72 16.74
Washington 0.02 2.8 17.74 79.44

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 68.6 30.24 1.16
Green Bay 0.0 31.14 65.96 2.9
Detroit 0.0 0.26 3.8 95.94

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 86.5 11.12 2.38 0.0
Atlanta 3.74 53.52 42.54 0.2
Carolina 9.76 35.36 54.82 0.06
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.26 99.74

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 97.98 1.9 0.12 0.0
St Louis 0.22 38.86 57.48 3.44
San Francisco 1.8 57.32 35.14 5.74
Arizona 0.0 1.92 7.26 90.82

Generated: Tue Dec 05 00:20:05 EST 2006

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 47.86 34.56 11.76 5.2 0.3 0.22 99.9
San Diego 41.5 30.56 17.6 4.92 4.22 0.98 99.78
Baltimore 7.3 21.14 37.78 23.84 3.8 2.74 96.6
New England 3.2 11.9 26.52 44.2 6.36 3.76 95.94
Denver 0.08 0.82 1.4 0.86 29.22 18.36 50.74
Cincinnati 0.04 0.56 1.72 7.5 22.3 20.68 52.8
Kansas City 0.0 0.32 0.94 1.0 8.92 14.42 25.6
NY Jets 0.0 0.04 2.0 12.14 14.38 22.02 50.58
Jacksonville 0.02 0.1 0.28 0.22 10.36 15.6 26.58
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.12 0.0 0.28 0.4
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.52 0.58
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.24 0.3
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.12 0.14
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.04
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.02
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Chicago 96.22 3.46 0.3 0.02 0.0 0.0 100.0
New Orleans 2.8 35.54 25.2 22.96 6.9 3.88 97.28
Dallas 0.46 30.94 29.46 26.32 6.92 3.62 97.72
Seattle 0.52 28.6 38.08 30.78 0.58 0.48 99.04
NY Giants 0.0 0.78 1.46 3.58 25.82 18.54 50.18
Philadelphia 0.0 0.26 2.32 4.4 15.22 18.2 40.4
Carolina 0.0 0.18 1.68 7.9 12.48 15.04 37.28
Atlanta 0.0 0.24 1.32 2.18 23.36 17.06 44.16
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.16 1.64 1.16 4.42 7.38
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.12 12.22 18.34
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.2 1.08 4.48 5.78
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.34 1.52 1.88
Green Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.54 0.56
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Dec 05 00:20:05 EST 2006

This entry was posted on Tuesday, December 5th, 2006 at 1:36 am and is filed under Articles, Weeky Predictions. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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