Here are this week’s playoff predictions. If you’re a fan of one of the five 7-5 AFC teams or one of the four 6-6 NFC teams, you’ll want to try out the software this week if you haven’t already done so. There are lots and lots of scenarios to analyze and my software automatically analyzes all the tiebreakers for you. It’s playoff madness!
Tomorrow, I’ll post a graphical week-by-week comparison of my forecasts and the DVOA forecasts, starting from week 9 until now.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 85.82 | 14.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NY Jets | 14.18 | 79.94 | 5.72 | 0.16 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 4.2 | 52.86 | 42.94 |
Miami | 0.0 | 1.68 | 41.42 | 56.9 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Baltimore | 90.06 | 9.8 | 0.14 | 0.0 |
Cincinnati | 9.82 | 86.7 | 3.46 | 0.02 |
Pittsburgh | 0.12 | 3.38 | 73.04 | 23.46 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.12 | 23.36 | 76.52 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 99.38 | 0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 0.62 | 80.26 | 18.08 | 1.04 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 17.48 | 59.12 | 23.4 |
Houston | 0.0 | 1.64 | 22.8 | 75.56 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 94.58 | 4.54 | 0.88 | 0.0 |
Denver | 3.16 | 51.08 | 45.76 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 2.26 | 44.38 | 53.36 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Dallas | 87.18 | 10.88 | 1.9 | 0.04 |
NY Giants | 5.82 | 58.76 | 31.64 | 3.78 |
Philadelphia | 6.98 | 27.56 | 48.72 | 16.74 |
Washington | 0.02 | 2.8 | 17.74 | 79.44 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Chicago | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Minnesota | 0.0 | 68.6 | 30.24 | 1.16 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 31.14 | 65.96 | 2.9 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.26 | 3.8 | 95.94 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 86.5 | 11.12 | 2.38 | 0.0 |
Atlanta | 3.74 | 53.52 | 42.54 | 0.2 |
Carolina | 9.76 | 35.36 | 54.82 | 0.06 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.26 | 99.74 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Seattle | 97.98 | 1.9 | 0.12 | 0.0 |
St Louis | 0.22 | 38.86 | 57.48 | 3.44 |
San Francisco | 1.8 | 57.32 | 35.14 | 5.74 |
Arizona | 0.0 | 1.92 | 7.26 | 90.82 |
Generated: Tue Dec 05 00:20:05 EST 2006
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Indianapolis | 47.86 | 34.56 | 11.76 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 0.22 | 99.9 |
San Diego | 41.5 | 30.56 | 17.6 | 4.92 | 4.22 | 0.98 | 99.78 |
Baltimore | 7.3 | 21.14 | 37.78 | 23.84 | 3.8 | 2.74 | 96.6 |
New England | 3.2 | 11.9 | 26.52 | 44.2 | 6.36 | 3.76 | 95.94 |
Denver | 0.08 | 0.82 | 1.4 | 0.86 | 29.22 | 18.36 | 50.74 |
Cincinnati | 0.04 | 0.56 | 1.72 | 7.5 | 22.3 | 20.68 | 52.8 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.32 | 0.94 | 1.0 | 8.92 | 14.42 | 25.6 |
NY Jets | 0.0 | 0.04 | 2.0 | 12.14 | 14.38 | 22.02 | 50.58 |
Jacksonville | 0.02 | 0.1 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 10.36 | 15.6 | 26.58 |
Pittsburgh | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.28 | 0.4 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.52 | 0.58 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.3 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Chicago | 96.22 | 3.46 | 0.3 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
New Orleans | 2.8 | 35.54 | 25.2 | 22.96 | 6.9 | 3.88 | 97.28 |
Dallas | 0.46 | 30.94 | 29.46 | 26.32 | 6.92 | 3.62 | 97.72 |
Seattle | 0.52 | 28.6 | 38.08 | 30.78 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 99.04 |
NY Giants | 0.0 | 0.78 | 1.46 | 3.58 | 25.82 | 18.54 | 50.18 |
Philadelphia | 0.0 | 0.26 | 2.32 | 4.4 | 15.22 | 18.2 | 40.4 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.18 | 1.68 | 7.9 | 12.48 | 15.04 | 37.28 |
Atlanta | 0.0 | 0.24 | 1.32 | 2.18 | 23.36 | 17.06 | 44.16 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.16 | 1.64 | 1.16 | 4.42 | 7.38 |
Minnesota | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.12 | 12.22 | 18.34 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.2 | 1.08 | 4.48 | 5.78 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.34 | 1.52 | 1.88 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.54 | 0.56 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Arizona | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Tue Dec 05 00:20:05 EST 2006