2012 Playoff Predictions after Week 16

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miami 0.0 72.58 27.42 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 27.42 72.58 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Washington 64.794 35.206 0.0 0.0
Dallas 35.206 20.876 43.918 0.0
NY Giants 0.0 43.918 56.082 0.0
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 77.136 22.864 0.0
Chicago 0.0 22.864 77.136 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 46.158 53.842 0.0
Carolina 0.0 53.842 0.0 46.158
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 46.158 53.842

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 89.106 10.894 0.0 0.0
Seattle 10.894 89.106 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

Generated: Wed Dec 26 16:06:37 EST 2012

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Houston 58.654 16.28 25.066 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Denver 37.902 54.144 7.954 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
New England 3.444 29.576 53.834 13.146 0.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 13.146 86.854 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Green Bay 0.0 57.83 42.17 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
San Francisco 0.0 37.32 51.786 0.0 10.894 0.0 100.0
Seattle 0.0 4.85 6.044 0.0 89.106 0.0 100.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 64.794 0.0 11.522 76.316
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.206 0.0 0.0 35.206
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.054 51.054
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.864 22.864
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.56 14.56
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 26 16:06:37 EST 2012

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