NFL playoff races and other musings

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New England	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NY Jets	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	52.938	47.062
Miami	0.0	0.0	47.062	52.938

AFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Baltimore	60.844	39.156	0.0	0.0
Pittsburgh	39.156	60.844	0.0	0.0
Cincinnati	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Houston	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tennessee	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Jacksonville	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Indianapolis	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

AFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Denver	78.548	21.452	0.0	0.0
Oakland	21.452	32.812	45.736	0.0
San Diego	0.0	45.736	32.812	21.452
Kansas City	0.0	0.0	21.452	78.548

NFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Philadelphia	0.0	78.988	21.012	0.0
NY Giants	63.79	7.648	28.562	0.0
Dallas	36.21	13.364	50.426	0.0
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Green Bay	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Detroit	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Chicago	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Minnesota	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New Orleans	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Atlanta	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Carolina	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Tampa Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
San Francisco	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Arizona	0.0	61.192	38.808	0.0
Seattle	0.0	38.808	61.192	0.0
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

Generated: Wed Dec 28 14:55:49 EST 2011

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
New England	78.074	21.926	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
Baltimore	12.346	48.498	0.0	0.0	39.156	0.0	100.0
Pittsburgh	9.58	29.576	0.0	0.0	60.844	0.0	100.0
Houston	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
Denver	0.0	0.0	0.0	78.548	0.0	0.0	78.548
Oakland	0.0	0.0	0.0	21.452	0.0	14.818	36.27
Cincinnati	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	70.266	70.266
NY Jets	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.454	10.454
Tennessee	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.462	4.462
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Miami	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Indianapolis	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jacksonville	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kansas City	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
San Diego	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
Green Bay	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
San Francisco	0.0	69.808	30.192	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
New Orleans	0.0	30.192	69.808	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
NY Giants	0.0	0.0	0.0	63.79	0.0	0.0	63.79
Dallas	0.0	0.0	0.0	36.21	0.0	0.0	36.21
Atlanta	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	54.25	45.75	100.0
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	45.75	54.25	100.0
Philadelphia	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Chicago	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Minnesota	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Carolina	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tampa Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Arizona	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Seattle	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 28 14:55:48 EST 2011

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