2011 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 16

Here are this week’s predictions, with way too many significant figures! As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 52.938 47.062
Miami 0.0 0.0 47.062 52.938

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 60.844 39.156 0.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 39.156 60.844 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Houston 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 78.548 21.452 0.0 0.0
Oakland 21.452 32.812 45.736 0.0
San Diego 0.0 45.736 32.812 21.452
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 21.452 78.548

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 0.0 78.988 21.012 0.0
NY Giants 63.79 7.648 28.562 0.0
Dallas 36.21 13.364 50.426 0.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Chicago 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 61.192 38.808 0.0
Seattle 0.0 38.808 61.192 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

Generated: Wed Dec 28 14:55:49 EST 2011

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 78.074 21.926 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Baltimore 12.346 48.498 0.0 0.0 39.156 0.0 100.0
Pittsburgh 9.58 29.576 0.0 0.0 60.844 0.0 100.0
Houston 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Denver 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.548 0.0 0.0 78.548
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.452 0.0 14.818 36.27
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.266 70.266
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.454 10.454
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.462 4.462
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Green Bay 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
San Francisco 0.0 69.808 30.192 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
New Orleans 0.0 30.192 69.808 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.0 63.79 0.0 0.0 63.79
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.21 0.0 0.0 36.21
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.25 45.75 100.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.75 54.25 100.0
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 28 14:55:48 EST 2011

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