To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
NY Jets | 64.2 | 27.08 | 7.34 | 1.38 |
New England | 27.18 | 47.62 | 21.1 | 4.1 |
Miami | 7.86 | 21.42 | 52.74 | 17.98 |
Buffalo | 0.76 | 3.88 | 18.82 | 76.54 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 57.16 | 34.8 | 8.0 | 0.04 |
Cincinnati | 38.04 | 50.3 | 11.58 | 0.08 |
Baltimore | 4.8 | 14.84 | 78.46 | 1.9 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.06 | 1.96 | 97.98 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 99.8 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 0.18 | 71.4 | 22.08 | 6.34 |
Houston | 0.02 | 20.1 | 46.68 | 33.2 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 8.32 | 31.22 | 60.46 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Denver | 97.14 | 2.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego | 2.86 | 94.88 | 2.12 | 0.14 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.94 | 58.42 | 40.64 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 1.32 | 39.46 | 59.22 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
NY Giants | 78.56 | 18.2 | 3.2 | 0.04 |
Philadelphia | 16.52 | 49.32 | 30.72 | 3.44 |
Dallas | 4.88 | 31.02 | 55.84 | 8.26 |
Washington | 0.04 | 1.46 | 10.24 | 88.26 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Minnesota | 44.86 | 32.7 | 21.96 | 0.48 |
Chicago | 36.14 | 32.84 | 30.18 | 0.84 |
Green Bay | 18.94 | 34.02 | 44.28 | 2.76 |
Detroit | 0.06 | 0.44 | 3.58 | 95.92 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 91.66 | 8.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Atlanta | 8.32 | 89.26 | 2.38 | 0.04 |
Carolina | 0.02 | 2.26 | 86.22 | 11.5 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.14 | 11.4 | 88.46 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 43.4 | 31.56 | 24.38 | 0.66 |
San Francisco | 27.44 | 35.16 | 36.88 | 0.52 |
Seattle | 29.12 | 33.04 | 37.04 | 0.8 |
St Louis | 0.04 | 0.24 | 1.7 | 98.02 |
Generated: Thu Oct 15 00:44:13 EDT 2009
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Indianapolis | 81.84 | 14.62 | 2.8 | 0.54 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 99.96 |
Denver | 14.12 | 54.9 | 22.7 | 5.42 | 1.32 | 0.76 | 99.22 |
Pittsburgh | 2.58 | 18.28 | 28.62 | 7.68 | 25.4 | 9.26 | 91.82 |
Cincinnati | 0.8 | 6.76 | 21.54 | 8.94 | 27.0 | 14.94 | 79.98 |
NY Jets | 0.54 | 3.74 | 16.16 | 43.76 | 4.82 | 7.06 | 76.08 |
Baltimore | 0.06 | 0.84 | 2.04 | 1.86 | 6.62 | 11.68 | 23.1 |
New England | 0.06 | 0.42 | 3.98 | 22.72 | 4.14 | 10.84 | 42.16 |
San Diego | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.44 | 1.02 | 7.74 | 14.84 | 25.44 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 7.26 | 0.98 | 3.08 | 11.92 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.1 | 0.06 | 18.14 | 19.56 | 37.88 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.24 | 5.12 | 8.38 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 0.08 | 0.4 | 1.24 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.42 | 2.28 | 2.7 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.1 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New Orleans | 57.24 | 26.46 | 7.24 | 0.72 | 5.26 | 1.68 | 98.6 |
NY Giants | 31.1 | 34.9 | 11.84 | 0.72 | 11.94 | 5.0 | 95.5 |
Minnesota | 3.48 | 10.06 | 25.54 | 5.78 | 7.08 | 11.86 | 63.8 |
Philadelphia | 2.18 | 9.02 | 4.9 | 0.42 | 25.12 | 18.14 | 59.78 |
Chicago | 1.72 | 7.42 | 23.14 | 3.86 | 6.92 | 10.88 | 53.94 |
Atlanta | 2.1 | 4.04 | 2.08 | 0.1 | 20.82 | 19.54 | 48.68 |
Dallas | 1.16 | 2.04 | 1.48 | 0.2 | 15.0 | 17.26 | 37.14 |
Green Bay | 0.74 | 3.8 | 11.3 | 3.1 | 7.06 | 12.44 | 38.44 |
Arizona | 0.2 | 1.78 | 8.04 | 33.38 | 0.26 | 1.14 | 44.8 |
Seattle | 0.06 | 0.3 | 2.86 | 25.9 | 0.18 | 0.78 | 30.08 |
San Francisco | 0.02 | 0.18 | 1.56 | 25.68 | 0.1 | 0.62 | 28.16 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.26 | 0.52 | 0.82 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.12 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.1 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Thu Oct 15 00:44:13 EDT 2009