2007 Playoff predictions after week 12

November 28th, 2007

The good news is that these predictions incorporate Brian Burke’s individual game odds. You can (and should) read more about Brian’s work here. The plan is to use Brian’s game forecasts from here forward. The bad news is that in the process of converting over to Brian’s game predictions, I’ve mucked something up in the code. It only effects the Java Webstart version of the code (it runs fine when I compile and run it on my machine). I should have that fixed within a day or so.

Here are this week’s predictions.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 99.42 0.58 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.42 76.34 23.24
Miami 0.0 0.16 23.08 76.76

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 90.28 9.7 0.02 0.0
Cleveland 9.72 87.78 2.5 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 2.52 91.64 5.84
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 5.84 94.16

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 97.54 2.46 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 2.46 92.64 4.88 0.02
Tennessee 0.0 4.66 82.64 12.7
Houston 0.0 0.24 12.48 87.28

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 77.74 19.24 3.02 0.0
Denver 19.88 65.8 13.96 0.36
Kansas City 2.38 14.92 79.42 3.28
Oakland 0.0 0.04 3.6 96.36

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Giants 0.0 75.86 14.14 10.0
Philadelphia 0.0 10.82 48.6 40.58
Washington 0.0 13.32 37.26 49.42

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 73.96 21.26 4.78
Detroit 0.0 23.14 67.56 9.3
Chicago 0.0 2.9 11.18 85.92

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tampa Bay 99.78 0.22 0.0 0.0
New Orleans 0.22 78.82 15.64 5.32
Carolina 0.0 10.62 60.16 29.22
Atlanta 0.0 10.34 24.2 65.46

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 94.28 5.72 0.0 0.0
Arizona 5.72 92.04 2.02 0.22
San Francisco 0.0 1.46 83.1 15.44
St Louis 0.0 0.78 14.88 84.34

Generated: Wed Nov 28 00:01:58 EST 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 99.66 0.18 0.16 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 0.3 91.92 5.26 0.06 2.32 0.14 100.0
Pittsburgh 0.04 6.02 73.86 10.36 1.78 6.78 98.84
Jacksonville 0.0 1.8 0.66 0.0 81.9 13.16 97.52
San Diego 0.0 0.02 10.36 67.36 0.08 2.78 80.6
Cleveland 0.0 0.06 8.82 0.84 10.72 52.92 73.36
Denver 0.0 0.0 0.88 19.0 0.12 4.84 24.84
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.38 0.0 0.16 2.54
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 14.78 17.68
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08 2.96 3.04
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 1.02 1.06
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.46 0.52
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 73.18 25.12 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0
Green Bay 26.72 68.96 3.6 0.72 0.0 0.0 100.0
Tampa Bay 0.04 4.5 56.68 38.56 0.02 0.12 99.92
Seattle 0.06 1.42 38.26 54.54 1.18 1.86 97.32
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.04 5.68 1.06 6.06 12.84
NY Giants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.84 23.82 77.66
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.86 23.84 46.7
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.68 13.4 22.08
New Orleans 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.2 4.3 10.78 15.3
Philadelphia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.04 15.36 22.4
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.54 4.14
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.38 0.94 1.32
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.14 0.18
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.14 0.14
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Wed Nov 28 00:01:58 EST 2007

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2007 Playoff Predictions after week 11

November 20th, 2007

This post marks the end of one era and the beginning of another. Up until now, my playoff predictions have been pretty much a one man show. Beginning next week, I’ll be using Brian Burke’s team ratings http://www.bbnflstats.com/ to predict the odds of individual games. I’m really excited about this collaboration, as I think it will improve the accuracy of the predictions. Brian’s fully documented team rating methods compliment the hands-on software approach I’ve used. We’re entering the time of the NFL season where scenario analysis for your team becomes very worthwhile. There may be some minor changes to the appearance of the software, but the overall functionality of the software will be the same, except for better accuracy. I’ll do a full quantitative evaluation over the off season.

This is probably as good as place as any to also acknowledge the contributions of Mike M. SteeleFan. He encouraged me to take my predictions from a mostly private hobby to a publically-distributed website. He also goaded me into learning Java to make it possible, as well as provided feedback on the graphical interface. Thanks, Mike.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.0 99.46 0.54 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.32 78.3 21.38
Miami 0.0 0.22 21.16 78.62

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 75.24 24.4 0.36 0.0
Cleveland 24.7 73.5 1.66 0.14
Cincinnati 0.04 1.58 55.56 42.82
Baltimore 0.02 0.52 42.42 57.04

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 84.6 12.32 3.0 0.08
Jacksonville 12.54 58.74 26.48 2.24
Tennessee 2.8 27.1 60.56 9.54
Houston 0.06 1.84 9.96 88.14

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 55.52 29.18 14.82 0.48
Denver 33.04 46.52 19.6 0.84
Kansas City 11.44 23.78 59.36 5.42
Oakland 0.0 0.52 6.22 93.26

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 95.06 4.86 0.06 0.02
NY Giants 4.78 78.5 12.34 4.38
Washington 0.08 9.74 44.96 45.22
Philadelphia 0.08 6.9 42.64 50.38

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 96.76 3.24 0.0 0.0
Detroit 3.24 85.74 10.46 0.56
Minnesota 0.0 9.76 63.46 26.78
Chicago 0.0 1.26 26.08 72.66

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tampa Bay 91.42 7.24 1.28 0.06
Carolina 5.16 50.24 37.92 6.68
New Orleans 3.34 37.88 42.82 15.96
Atlanta 0.08 4.64 17.98 77.3

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 67.14 32.64 0.22 0.0
Arizona 32.86 65.46 1.54 0.14
St Louis 0.0 1.4 57.44 41.16
San Francisco 0.0 0.5 40.8 58.7

Generated: Mon Nov 19 23:59:45 EST 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 96.26 3.34 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 2.58 70.16 11.32 0.54 10.54 3.48 98.62
Pittsburgh 0.96 11.88 50.34 12.06 3.44 7.26 85.94
Jacksonville 0.18 10.04 2.22 0.1 51.92 21.94 86.4
Cleveland 0.0 1.86 19.68 3.16 7.74 19.06 51.5
Tennessee 0.02 2.1 0.64 0.04 22.62 33.4 58.82
San Diego 0.0 0.44 9.34 45.74 0.2 1.36 57.08
Denver 0.0 0.18 5.54 27.32 0.32 3.06 36.42
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.46 10.98 0.0 0.36 11.8
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.04 1.06 4.3 5.42
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.14 5.5 7.64
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.0 0.16 0.2
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.02 0.12 0.16
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Green Bay 50.4 41.44 4.42 0.5 2.52 0.64 99.92
Dallas 47.46 41.04 5.82 0.74 3.98 0.86 99.9
Tampa Bay 0.72 7.82 42.02 40.86 0.2 0.84 92.46
NY Giants 0.64 3.48 0.62 0.04 68.8 14.56 88.14
Seattle 0.2 3.82 35.44 27.68 2.2 6.56 75.9
Detroit 0.58 1.96 0.52 0.18 7.32 27.74 38.3
Arizona 0.0 0.32 7.98 24.56 0.64 7.5 41.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 1.92 3.24 0.7 4.36 10.22
New Orleans 0.0 0.02 1.22 2.1 0.74 4.72 8.8
Washington 0.0 0.08 0.0 0.0 7.1 15.58 22.76
Philadelphia 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.04 4.6 13.62 18.3
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.06 0.0 0.14 0.22
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.6 3.7
Chicago 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.28 0.38
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Mon Nov 19 23:59:45 EST 2007

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2007 Playoff Predictions after week 10

November 13th, 2007

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 99.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.2 99.78 0.02 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 78.54 21.46
Miami 0.0 0.02 21.44 78.54

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 95.42 4.4 0.18 0.0
Cleveland 4.46 84.56 8.48 2.5
Baltimore 0.1 5.74 47.92 46.24
Cincinnati 0.02 5.3 43.42 51.26

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 70.32 19.34 10.0 0.34
Jacksonville 16.56 41.76 39.06 2.62
Tennessee 13.1 37.54 45.36 4.0
Houston 0.02 1.36 5.58 93.04

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 58.18 29.04 12.32 0.46
Kansas City 26.06 36.58 35.28 2.08
Denver 15.74 33.64 46.98 3.64
Oakland 0.02 0.74 5.42 93.82

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 93.96 5.16 0.82 0.06
NY Giants 4.16 73.02 16.28 6.54
Washington 1.8 15.28 49.48 33.44
Philadelphia 0.08 6.54 33.42 59.96

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 84.9 14.22 0.86 0.02
Detroit 14.86 75.46 8.42 1.26
Chicago 0.24 6.92 54.98 37.86
Minnesota 0.0 3.4 35.74 60.86

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tampa Bay 70.96 18.74 7.82 2.48
Carolina 14.42 40.6 31.24 13.74
New Orleans 9.86 29.12 34.84 26.18
Atlanta 4.76 11.54 26.1 57.6

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 49.32 50.32 0.36 0.0
Arizona 50.58 47.9 1.46 0.06
San Francisco 0.06 1.04 66.06 32.84
St Louis 0.04 0.74 32.12 67.1

Generated: Mon Nov 12 23:27:31 EST 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 79.04 16.84 3.88 0.04 0.18 0.02 100.0
Pittsburgh 16.72 39.48 34.54 4.68 1.5 1.46 98.38
Indianapolis 2.74 27.92 35.36 4.3 13.18 8.7 92.2
Jacksonville 0.94 7.74 7.36 0.52 31.24 23.96 71.76
Tennessee 0.5 5.48 6.38 0.74 28.04 24.56 65.7
San Diego 0.06 1.52 7.08 49.52 0.86 2.74 61.78
Cleveland 0.0 0.82 3.22 0.42 16.04 21.86 42.36
Kansas City 0.0 0.12 1.56 24.38 0.6 1.94 28.6
Denver 0.0 0.02 0.42 15.3 0.5 1.3 17.54
Buffalo 0.0 0.06 0.12 0.02 6.7 9.58 16.48
Baltimore 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.04 0.4 1.48 1.98
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.68 1.54 2.24
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.08 0.86 0.96
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.02
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 51.52 37.66 4.34 0.44 3.52 1.74 99.22
Green Bay 41.98 39.0 3.56 0.36 11.66 2.76 99.32
Detroit 4.52 9.04 1.1 0.2 26.7 23.38 64.94
Tampa Bay 0.9 5.84 40.46 23.76 0.46 2.22 73.64
NY Giants 0.72 3.1 0.32 0.02 40.3 25.54 70.0
Seattle 0.18 1.86 20.96 26.32 1.06 2.92 53.3
Washington 0.16 1.22 0.36 0.06 7.4 13.36 22.56
Arizona 0.02 0.88 12.06 37.62 0.46 2.4 53.44
Carolina 0.0 0.74 8.48 5.2 1.5 5.62 21.54
New Orleans 0.0 0.46 6.14 3.26 1.22 3.76 14.84
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 2.14 2.62 0.02 0.94 5.72
Chicago 0.0 0.14 0.06 0.04 2.54 7.02 9.8
Philadelphia 0.0 0.06 0.02 0.0 2.42 6.12 8.62
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.74 2.22 2.96
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.0 0.0 0.06
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.0 0.0 0.04

Generated: Mon Nov 12 23:27:30 EST 2007

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2007 Playoff Predictions After Week 9

November 6th, 2007

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 99.64 0.36 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.36 97.64 1.74 0.26
NY Jets 0.0 1.06 66.42 32.52
Miami 0.0 0.94 31.84 67.22

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 81.34 15.92 2.74 0.0
Cleveland 14.9 58.08 25.24 1.78
Baltimore 3.74 25.16 63.4 7.7
Cincinnati 0.02 0.84 8.62 90.52

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 70.16 24.18 5.46 0.2
Tennessee 24.8 53.2 19.98 2.02
Jacksonville 4.98 21.34 62.46 11.22
Houston 0.06 1.28 12.1 86.56

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Kansas City 55.02 31.46 12.48 1.04
San Diego 36.24 47.02 15.16 1.58
Denver 8.44 19.68 57.18 14.7
Oakland 0.3 1.84 15.18 82.68

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 65.42 24.56 9.5 0.52
NY Giants 23.38 48.16 25.24 3.22
Washington 11.08 25.52 54.34 9.06
Philadelphia 0.12 1.76 10.92 87.2

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 73.06 25.9 0.98 0.06
Detroit 26.82 69.78 3.28 0.12
Minnesota 0.1 3.72 61.5 34.68
Chicago 0.02 0.6 34.24 65.14

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tampa Bay 57.88 26.88 13.2 2.04
New Orleans 22.76 34.56 35.66 7.02
Carolina 18.1 34.8 38.66 8.44
Atlanta 1.26 3.76 12.48 82.5

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 63.08 28.2 8.58 0.14
Arizona 28.08 43.6 28.0 0.32
San Francisco 8.82 28.0 61.04 2.14
St Louis 0.02 0.2 2.38 97.4

Generated: Mon Nov 05 23:24:33 EST 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 74.94 16.62 7.88 0.2 0.22 0.1 99.96
Indianapolis 9.84 37.96 20.12 2.24 17.3 6.84 94.3
Pittsburgh 10.86 22.48 42.16 5.84 3.82 5.76 90.92
Tennessee 3.36 15.38 5.56 0.5 42.66 16.64 84.1
Jacksonville 0.52 2.62 1.64 0.2 16.44 25.66 47.08
Cleveland 0.2 2.08 10.68 1.94 8.92 20.48 44.3
Kansas City 0.14 1.36 5.42 48.1 0.46 1.4 56.88
San Diego 0.06 0.76 3.32 32.1 0.8 2.36 39.4
Baltimore 0.06 0.68 2.68 0.32 4.5 9.38 17.62
Buffalo 0.02 0.06 0.22 0.06 4.1 7.84 12.3
Denver 0.0 0.0 0.26 8.18 0.04 0.6 9.08
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.0 0.66 2.78 3.5
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.04 0.34
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.08 0.12 0.22
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Green Bay 46.3 23.76 2.86 0.14 18.5 5.6 97.16
Dallas 31.56 28.06 5.46 0.34 13.92 11.68 91.02
Detroit 12.48 11.98 2.2 0.16 25.6 19.82 72.24
NY Giants 5.6 14.8 2.7 0.28 23.46 22.96 69.8
Washington 1.84 6.92 2.08 0.24 12.14 19.38 42.6
Tampa Bay 1.12 7.04 36.18 13.54 1.1 3.7 62.68
Carolina 0.46 2.14 12.4 3.1 1.44 5.0 24.54
New Orleans 0.3 3.28 16.98 2.2 2.52 7.06 32.34
Seattle 0.28 1.8 15.78 45.22 0.08 0.36 63.52
Arizona 0.04 0.1 1.76 26.18 0.0 0.26 28.34
Chicago 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.56 0.64
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.66 8.16 0.0 0.02 8.84
Atlanta 0.0 0.04 0.84 0.38 0.0 0.1 1.36
Minnesota 0.0 0.04 0.06 0.0 0.52 1.82 2.44
Philadelphia 0.0 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.66 1.68 2.46
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.02

Generated: Mon Nov 05 23:24:33 EST 2007

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2007 playoff predictions after week 8

October 30th, 2007

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 99.98 0.02 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.02 89.68 8.54 1.76
NY Jets 0.0 6.02 56.96 37.02
Miami 0.0 4.28 34.5 61.22

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 78.84 16.68 3.94 0.54
Cleveland 16.4 59.56 19.64 4.4
Baltimore 4.44 18.84 53.62 23.1
Cincinnati 0.32 4.92 22.8 71.96

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 81.76 14.76 3.42 0.06
Tennessee 10.34 48.08 40.24 1.34
Jacksonville 7.9 36.92 52.42 2.76
Houston 0.0 0.24 3.92 95.84

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 38.2 39.86 18.52 3.42
Kansas City 46.28 31.24 18.96 3.52
Denver 14.62 24.24 44.98 16.16
Oakland 0.9 4.66 17.54 76.9

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 55.94 28.56 12.84 2.66
NY Giants 31.56 44.2 20.96 3.28
Washington 11.72 23.4 50.64 14.24
Philadelphia 0.78 3.84 15.56 79.82

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 71.78 26.16 1.88 0.18
Detroit 27.62 65.74 6.14 0.5
Chicago 0.4 4.34 53.18 42.08
Minnesota 0.2 3.76 38.8 57.24

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 43.06 32.34 22.2 2.4
Tampa Bay 34.14 33.12 27.68 5.06
New Orleans 22.2 31.68 40.44 5.68
Atlanta 0.6 2.86 9.68 86.86

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 52.42 38.5 9.06 0.02
Arizona 42.56 44.58 12.8 0.06
San Francisco 5.02 16.92 76.36 1.7
St Louis 0.0 0.0 1.78 98.22

Generated: Mon Oct 29 22:48:34 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 56.18 34.16 8.8 0.84 0.02 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 35.82 34.42 9.78 1.74 13.04 3.42 98.22
Pittsburgh 4.36 14.86 41.46 18.16 2.18 5.1 86.12
Tennessee 2.18 6.76 1.04 0.36 41.4 24.3 76.04
Jacksonville 1.1 5.02 1.58 0.2 32.44 30.42 70.76
Kansas City 0.18 1.78 11.88 32.44 1.16 5.08 52.52
San Diego 0.1 1.66 10.28 26.16 1.92 5.76 45.88
Cleveland 0.06 1.02 9.98 5.34 4.9 14.3 35.6
Baltimore 0.02 0.26 2.1 2.06 1.0 3.46 8.9
Denver 0.0 0.06 2.94 11.62 0.88 3.44 18.94
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.06 0.5 1.46
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.28 0.2 0.7 1.22
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.58 2.52 3.12
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.22 0.96 1.18
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.04
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Green Bay 38.8 24.84 6.64 1.5 13.7 7.94 93.42
Dallas 31.18 19.62 4.38 0.76 19.44 10.92 86.3
NY Giants 12.06 15.28 3.74 0.48 27.3 17.74 76.6
Detroit 9.58 11.46 5.12 1.46 14.96 17.16 59.74
Carolina 2.48 6.42 18.62 15.54 2.3 5.46 50.82
Washington 2.62 6.68 1.94 0.48 14.34 19.78 45.84
Seattle 1.54 6.12 20.88 23.88 1.0 2.82 56.24
Tampa Bay 0.66 3.0 11.5 18.98 1.1 3.34 38.58
New Orleans 0.54 3.1 10.96 7.6 1.92 5.96 30.08
Arizona 0.4 2.86 14.4 24.9 0.88 2.38 45.82
Philadelphia 0.1 0.4 0.18 0.1 1.76 3.44 5.98
Chicago 0.04 0.1 0.1 0.16 0.86 1.6 2.86
San Francisco 0.0 0.06 1.24 3.72 0.02 0.32 5.36
Minnesota 0.0 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.4 1.04 1.64
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.24 0.36 0.02 0.1 0.72
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Mon Oct 29 22:48:34 EDT 2007

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2007 Playoff Predictions after week 6

October 16th, 2007

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 99.88 0.12 0.0 0.0
Buffalo 0.08 51.12 30.08 18.72
NY Jets 0.04 32.88 42.12 24.96
Miami 0.0 15.88 27.8 56.32

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 75.04 18.64 5.0 1.32
Baltimore 18.46 45.58 25.3 10.66
Cleveland 4.2 24.28 42.7 28.82
Cincinnati 2.3 11.5 27.0 59.2

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 69.74 24.0 5.5 0.76
Jacksonville 25.58 47.68 21.04 5.7
Tennessee 3.78 20.64 44.06 31.52
Houston 0.9 7.68 29.4 62.02

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 40.46 31.98 20.24 7.32
Denver 27.26 29.8 30.38 12.56
Kansas City 28.1 28.24 27.54 16.12
Oakland 4.18 9.98 21.84 64.0

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 63.0 24.22 10.36 2.42
NY Giants 23.46 43.72 26.34 6.48
Washington 12.24 26.86 45.12 15.78
Philadelphia 1.3 5.2 18.18 75.32

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 74.32 20.76 4.2 0.72
Detroit 21.52 50.78 20.68 7.02
Chicago 3.4 20.16 45.04 31.4
Minnesota 0.76 8.3 30.08 60.86

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 46.96 50.18 2.66 0.2
Tampa Bay 52.38 43.66 3.64 0.32
New Orleans 0.34 2.46 49.8 47.4
Atlanta 0.32 3.7 43.9 52.08

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 50.58 33.0 15.7 0.72
Arizona 33.74 37.58 27.72 0.96
San Francisco 15.62 28.92 52.9 2.56
St Louis 0.06 0.5 3.68 95.76

Generated: Tue Oct 16 00:01:00 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 51.76 29.36 16.22 2.54 0.0 0.04 99.92
Indianapolis 27.7 27.14 12.5 2.4 18.8 6.24 94.78
Pittsburgh 11.72 20.86 31.86 10.6 4.9 6.84 86.78
Jacksonville 6.44 12.38 5.56 1.2 38.54 16.0 80.12
Baltimore 1.52 3.84 8.78 4.32 9.14 14.52 42.12
San Diego 0.24 2.02 8.32 29.88 1.9 5.18 47.54
Tennessee 0.32 1.6 1.54 0.32 14.0 17.58 35.36
Kansas City 0.16 0.94 5.04 21.96 1.12 4.9 34.12
Denver 0.08 1.04 5.88 20.26 1.48 4.94 33.68
Houston 0.06 0.34 0.46 0.04 4.84 9.8 15.54
Cleveland 0.0 0.28 2.18 1.74 3.0 8.0 15.2
Oakland 0.0 0.12 0.58 3.48 0.56 1.7 6.44
Cincinnati 0.0 0.08 1.04 1.18 1.32 3.06 6.68
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.0 0.08 0.3 0.42
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08 0.32 0.88 1.28
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.02

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 32.86 17.34 9.82 2.98 14.82 9.22 87.04
Green Bay 26.88 22.68 17.18 7.58 7.78 5.9 88.0
Carolina 11.4 13.58 14.28 7.7 14.06 11.94 72.96
Tampa Bay 9.38 13.66 15.12 14.22 9.04 8.04 69.46
NY Giants 7.18 8.62 5.62 2.04 22.7 16.92 63.08
Detroit 3.98 5.74 6.88 4.92 6.9 9.34 37.76
Washington 3.42 4.28 3.42 1.12 14.18 15.62 42.04
Seattle 2.82 7.88 13.94 25.94 2.34 4.82 57.74
Arizona 1.02 3.6 7.38 21.74 1.88 4.64 40.26
San Francisco 0.76 1.5 3.88 9.48 1.78 4.08 21.48
Chicago 0.14 0.58 1.4 1.28 1.7 3.66 8.76
Philadelphia 0.14 0.42 0.5 0.24 1.76 3.76 6.82
New Orleans 0.02 0.02 0.18 0.12 0.16 0.42 0.92
Minnesota 0.0 0.1 0.34 0.32 0.84 1.34 2.94
Atlanta 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.26 0.06 0.3 0.68
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.0 0.0 0.06

Generated: Tue Oct 16 00:01:00 EDT 2007

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2007 Playoff predictions after week 5

October 9th, 2007

That Monday Night Game was a real treat. Here are this week’s predictions:

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 54.02 33.04 12.94
Buffalo 0.0 33.3 40.88 25.82
Miami 0.0 12.68 26.08 61.24

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 69.66 23.26 5.66 1.42
Baltimore 24.94 48.12 20.4 6.54
Cleveland 3.38 19.64 45.7 31.28
Cincinnati 2.02 8.98 28.24 60.76

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 64.84 23.8 10.52 0.84
Tennessee 21.44 43.78 27.72 7.06
Jacksonville 13.08 27.68 45.64 13.6
Houston 0.64 4.74 16.12 78.5

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 36.66 27.7 20.62 15.02
Denver 22.34 26.26 25.92 25.48
Kansas City 21.5 23.78 26.84 27.88
Oakland 19.5 22.26 26.62 31.62

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 81.58 14.62 3.64 0.16
Washington 11.56 42.78 41.46 4.2
NY Giants 6.68 40.94 46.18 6.2
Philadelphia 0.18 1.66 8.72 89.44

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 71.16 20.6 7.96 0.28
Detroit 17.34 42.0 36.72 3.94
Chicago 11.36 35.16 44.98 8.5
Minnesota 0.14 2.24 10.34 87.28

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 50.74 39.68 7.84 1.74
Tampa Bay 44.84 40.68 11.56 2.92
Atlanta 2.84 11.06 41.08 45.02
New Orleans 1.58 8.58 39.52 50.32

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 61.38 30.58 7.96 0.08
Arizona 32.98 47.86 19.12 0.04
San Francisco 5.64 21.54 71.82 1.0
St Louis 0.0 0.02 1.1 98.88

Generated: Tue Oct 09 00:17:48 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 57.46 28.84 13.02 0.68 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 25.98 25.96 11.8 1.1 18.74 9.76 93.34
Pittsburgh 7.04 18.92 37.62 6.08 5.2 7.58 82.44
Tennessee 4.24 11.7 5.26 0.24 34.92 20.68 77.04
Jacksonville 2.72 6.7 3.42 0.24 23.62 27.24 63.94
Baltimore 2.38 5.76 14.52 2.28 10.04 15.74 50.72
San Diego 0.04 0.74 4.06 31.82 0.46 1.28 38.4
Oakland 0.04 0.36 2.12 16.98 0.38 1.28 21.16
Houston 0.06 0.36 0.2 0.02 3.34 6.18 10.16
Cleveland 0.02 0.24 2.18 0.94 1.84 5.64 10.86
Kansas City 0.02 0.08 1.7 19.7 0.16 0.7 22.36
Denver 0.0 0.18 2.66 19.5 0.32 0.94 23.6
Cincinnati 0.0 0.16 1.44 0.42 0.9 2.56 5.48
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.32 0.38
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.1 0.12
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 61.8 14.64 4.46 0.68 12.12 3.72 97.42
Green Bay 13.7 26.26 23.56 7.64 5.12 6.08 82.36
Seattle 7.78 23.24 21.2 9.16 6.68 9.18 77.24
Washington 6.7 3.36 1.24 0.26 30.48 20.18 62.22
Arizona 2.96 11.12 12.14 6.76 6.98 11.42 51.38
NY Giants 3.08 2.28 1.0 0.32 24.42 18.82 49.92
Carolina 1.58 6.46 12.18 30.52 1.72 4.02 56.48
Detroit 0.96 4.26 7.94 4.18 4.26 8.12 29.72
Tampa Bay 0.94 3.82 8.6 31.48 1.36 2.86 49.06
Chicago 0.3 3.18 4.54 3.34 3.64 7.22 22.22
San Francisco 0.18 1.12 2.32 2.02 2.32 5.4 13.36
New Orleans 0.02 0.08 0.28 1.2 0.16 0.6 2.34
Atlanta 0.0 0.08 0.48 2.28 0.1 0.44 3.38
Philadelphia 0.0 0.08 0.04 0.06 0.54 1.64 2.36
Minnesota 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.54
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Oct 09 00:17:48 EDT 2007

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2007 Playoff predictions after week 4

October 1st, 2007

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 98.6 1.3 0.1 0.0
NY Jets 0.74 46.42 33.28 19.56
Buffalo 0.4 27.24 34.52 37.84
Miami 0.26 25.04 32.1 42.6

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 61.6 22.28 11.86 4.26
Baltimore 19.12 33.06 26.4 21.42
Cincinnati 14.0 27.66 31.2 27.14
Cleveland 5.28 17.0 30.54 47.18

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 79.38 14.96 4.74 0.92
Jacksonville 10.4 32.44 33.58 23.58
Tennessee 7.26 35.64 32.1 25.0
Houston 2.96 16.96 29.58 50.5

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 46.2 28.96 17.72 7.12
Kansas City 32.8 32.3 21.44 13.46
San Diego 14.58 23.92 34.0 27.5
Oakland 6.42 14.82 26.84 51.92

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 79.8 14.38 4.92 0.9
Washington 10.94 36.46 36.34 16.26
NY Giants 7.94 40.18 35.48 16.4
Philadelphia 1.32 8.98 23.26 66.44

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 68.86 21.9 8.28 0.96
Detroit 21.9 45.84 26.9 5.36
Chicago 8.7 27.56 45.62 18.12
Minnesota 0.54 4.7 19.2 75.56

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tampa Bay 58.32 26.52 12.14 3.02
Carolina 26.6 39.56 23.88 9.96
Atlanta 10.1 19.98 35.84 34.08
New Orleans 4.98 13.94 28.14 52.94

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 67.4 22.52 9.74 0.34
Arizona 18.16 39.4 40.56 1.88
San Francisco 14.4 37.5 46.5 1.6
St Louis 0.04 0.58 3.2 96.18

Generated: Mon Oct 01 22:51:45 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 47.6 29.82 14.2 6.98 0.28 0.38 99.26
Indianapolis 34.52 26.82 13.36 4.68 10.62 4.3 94.3
Pittsburgh 8.02 14.92 21.08 17.58 6.52 6.7 74.82
Jacksonville 2.38 4.44 2.34 1.24 19.94 14.18 44.52
Denver 1.92 6.7 15.8 21.78 4.84 7.44 58.48
Baltimore 1.7 3.88 7.08 6.46 8.28 9.8 37.2
Kansas City 1.24 4.44 9.66 17.46 5.06 6.94 44.8
Tennessee 1.22 2.9 2.04 1.1 19.22 13.56 40.04
Cincinnati 0.36 2.1 5.3 6.24 5.8 8.04 27.84
Houston 0.4 1.1 0.92 0.54 8.1 9.3 20.36
San Diego 0.22 1.78 4.16 8.42 3.18 5.44 23.2
Cleveland 0.22 0.44 1.6 3.02 2.7 4.74 12.72
Oakland 0.12 0.48 2.04 3.78 2.68 4.02 13.12
NY Jets 0.06 0.12 0.28 0.28 1.9 3.1 5.74
Buffalo 0.02 0.04 0.08 0.26 0.3 0.84 1.54
Miami 0.0 0.02 0.06 0.18 0.58 1.22 2.06

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 41.86 20.22 12.26 5.46 7.8 3.76 91.36
Green Bay 20.84 20.9 17.72 9.4 8.28 6.5 83.64
Seattle 15.84 21.76 19.92 9.88 7.86 6.5 81.76
Tampa Bay 5.18 8.94 13.94 30.26 3.44 4.74 66.5
Detroit 3.86 5.62 6.88 5.54 10.2 10.24 42.34
Washington 3.56 3.08 2.68 1.62 12.3 11.52 34.76
Arizona 2.78 5.08 5.58 4.72 11.46 10.66 40.28
San Francisco 2.14 3.7 4.6 3.96 10.16 11.2 35.76
Carolina 1.66 4.84 6.5 13.6 5.72 6.96 39.28
NY Giants 1.14 2.26 2.72 1.82 11.68 11.46 31.08
Chicago 0.62 2.08 3.26 2.74 5.84 7.32 21.86
Atlanta 0.32 0.82 2.36 6.6 1.54 3.18 14.82
Philadelphia 0.12 0.2 0.46 0.54 2.08 2.96 6.36
New Orleans 0.06 0.44 0.86 3.62 1.02 2.02 8.02
Minnesota 0.02 0.06 0.24 0.22 0.62 0.98 2.14
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.04

Generated: Mon Oct 01 22:51:45 EDT 2007

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2007 Playoff predictions after week 3

September 24th, 2007

Here are the predictions after week 3.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 95.72 3.94 0.32 0.02
NY Jets 3.18 61.42 25.0 10.4
Miami 0.7 19.0 42.18 38.12
Buffalo 0.4 15.64 32.5 51.46

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 51.3 30.86 15.5 2.34
Baltimore 36.16 40.24 19.24 4.36
Cincinnati 11.64 24.52 47.54 16.3
Cleveland 0.9 4.38 17.72 77.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 74.58 17.9 6.16 1.36
Tennessee 9.58 33.06 31.46 25.9
Jacksonville 11.48 29.36 33.28 25.88
Houston 4.36 19.68 29.1 46.86

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 54.36 30.76 11.5 3.38
San Diego 32.9 37.72 21.28 8.1
Kansas City 10.34 21.8 40.68 27.18
Oakland 2.4 9.72 26.54 61.34

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 78.08 15.04 5.36 1.52
Washington 12.12 38.4 30.8 18.68
NY Giants 4.76 25.32 31.72 38.2
Philadelphia 5.04 21.24 32.12 41.6

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 62.36 23.72 10.94 2.98
Chicago 20.12 36.24 29.5 14.14
Detroit 15.24 30.78 36.06 17.92
Minnesota 2.28 9.26 23.5 64.96

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 56.78 25.58 13.34 4.3
Tampa Bay 25.44 35.82 25.56 13.18
New Orleans 13.64 25.42 35.14 25.8
Atlanta 4.14 13.18 25.96 56.72

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 47.08 31.94 17.58 3.4
Seattle 38.72 35.44 19.76 6.08
Arizona 12.9 26.12 42.62 18.36
St Louis 1.3 6.5 20.04 72.16

Generated: Tue Sep 25 00:04:17 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 39.16 26.54 18.9 11.12 0.7 0.86 97.28
Indianapolis 27.66 22.84 15.08 9.0 8.1 6.78 89.46
Pittsburgh 11.92 14.66 15.04 9.68 12.38 9.36 73.04
Baltimore 8.64 10.3 10.34 6.88 17.7 12.24 66.1
Denver 4.64 9.26 15.88 24.58 4.78 6.2 65.34
Jacksonville 2.12 3.46 3.56 2.34 13.76 12.76 38.0
San Diego 1.6 4.6 8.18 18.52 4.8 6.88 44.58
Tennessee 1.68 2.68 2.88 2.34 13.62 12.76 35.96
Cincinnati 1.56 2.86 4.1 3.12 8.86 9.96 30.46
Houston 0.6 1.16 1.62 0.98 6.88 9.16 20.4
Kansas City 0.2 0.8 2.34 7.0 1.94 3.26 15.54
NY Jets 0.16 0.44 1.24 1.34 4.26 4.88 12.32
Oakland 0.04 0.12 0.28 1.96 0.62 1.6 4.62
Miami 0.02 0.16 0.12 0.4 0.78 1.38 2.86
Buffalo 0.0 0.08 0.12 0.2 0.24 0.48 1.12
Cleveland 0.0 0.04 0.32 0.54 0.58 1.44 2.92

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 45.24 18.68 10.26 3.9 8.64 4.94 91.66
Green Bay 17.8 19.12 15.96 9.48 8.3 6.54 77.2
Carolina 9.42 13.66 15.22 18.48 4.88 5.28 66.94
San Francisco 7.56 12.4 13.18 13.94 7.04 7.52 61.64
Seattle 5.5 9.38 11.58 12.26 8.2 7.94 54.86
Washington 3.62 4.04 2.92 1.54 16.44 12.92 41.48
Chicago 2.06 5.66 6.64 5.76 7.72 8.76 36.6
Tampa Bay 2.08 4.84 6.5 12.02 5.0 6.2 36.64
Detroit 2.2 3.34 5.3 4.4 6.14 7.44 28.82
Arizona 1.22 3.0 3.82 4.86 4.32 5.12 22.34
Philadelphia 1.14 1.44 1.46 1.0 8.38 8.36 21.78
NY Giants 1.04 1.4 1.3 1.02 8.54 8.48 21.78
New Orleans 0.84 2.16 3.72 6.92 3.38 5.42 22.44
Atlanta 0.12 0.44 1.08 2.5 1.12 1.9 7.16
St Louis 0.1 0.1 0.22 0.88 0.4 0.88 2.58
Minnesota 0.06 0.34 0.84 1.04 1.5 2.3 6.08

Generated: Tue Sep 25 00:04:17 EDT 2007

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2007 Playoff predictions after week 2

September 18th, 2007

Here are the predictions after week 2.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 96.74 2.96 0.22 0.08
NY Jets 1.34 42.52 32.58 23.56
Miami 1.42 33.24 34.58 30.76
Buffalo 0.5 21.28 32.62 45.6

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 44.18 29.06 19.94 6.82
Cincinnati 28.78 31.82 27.86 11.54
Baltimore 24.26 29.68 30.42 15.64
Cleveland 2.78 9.44 21.78 66.0

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 86.8 10.36 2.4 0.44
Jacksonville 7.92 40.94 30.82 20.32
Tennessee 2.88 28.2 35.8 33.12
Houston 2.4 20.5 30.98 46.12

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 60.46 35.62 3.72 0.2
San Diego 37.8 54.3 7.18 0.72
Kansas City 1.62 8.64 64.46 25.28
Oakland 0.12 1.44 24.64 73.8

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 65.36 26.88 6.52 1.24
Washington 29.48 48.6 16.3 5.62
Philadelphia 3.5 13.74 45.4 37.36
NY Giants 1.66 10.78 31.78 55.78

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 40.74 28.98 20.0 10.28
Green Bay 36.32 31.46 20.88 11.34
Detroit 17.7 27.92 33.64 20.74
Minnesota 5.24 11.64 25.48 57.64

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 72.82 16.8 7.48 2.9
New Orleans 11.06 30.72 30.98 27.24
Tampa Bay 8.84 29.1 32.32 29.74
Atlanta 7.28 23.38 29.22 40.12

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Francisco 63.42 23.84 10.42 2.32
Seattle 22.82 36.38 27.5 13.3
Arizona 10.9 27.64 37.42 24.04
St Louis 2.86 12.14 24.66 60.34

Generated: Mon Sep 17 23:51:00 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 36.22 24.64 18.98 16.9 0.6 0.56 97.9
Indianapolis 26.88 21.4 20.64 17.88 3.06 3.02 92.88
Denver 16.32 18.26 15.62 10.26 17.72 8.48 86.66
San Diego 6.46 10.7 10.58 10.06 20.28 12.66 70.74
Pittsburgh 5.86 10.5 12.6 15.22 11.38 11.74 67.3
Cincinnati 3.6 6.24 8.88 10.06 12.38 14.48 55.64
Baltimore 3.32 5.02 7.38 8.54 10.88 13.92 49.06
Jacksonville 0.74 1.66 2.2 3.32 8.28 9.66 25.86
Tennessee 0.14 0.42 0.96 1.36 4.5 5.92 13.3
Cleveland 0.14 0.24 0.66 1.74 2.28 4.58 9.64
Miami 0.1 0.24 0.26 0.82 1.58 2.9 5.9
Houston 0.08 0.32 0.58 1.42 2.98 4.84 10.22
NY Jets 0.08 0.22 0.2 0.84 1.88 3.14 6.36
Kansas City 0.04 0.14 0.38 1.06 1.66 2.62 5.9
Buffalo 0.02 0.0 0.06 0.42 0.46 1.06 2.02
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.1 0.08 0.42 0.62

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 29.1 17.4 12.02 6.84 12.34 6.92 84.62
Carolina 21.38 18.5 17.8 15.14 3.74 4.06 80.62
San Francisco 10.42 14.7 16.32 21.98 3.94 4.96 72.32
Chicago 10.36 11.54 11.32 7.52 10.34 9.3 60.38
Washington 9.46 9.02 6.26 4.74 19.1 12.78 61.36
Green Bay 8.66 10.24 9.98 7.44 12.76 10.82 59.9
Detroit 3.54 4.52 4.98 4.66 8.08 9.62 35.4
Seattle 2.3 4.44 6.48 9.6 5.26 7.0 35.08
Arizona 1.08 1.6 2.82 5.4 3.44 4.62 18.96
New Orleans 0.96 2.42 3.36 4.32 4.4 6.42 21.88
Tampa Bay 0.78 1.64 2.62 3.8 3.54 5.4 17.78
Minnesota 0.8 1.14 1.72 1.58 3.24 4.28 12.76
Philadelphia 0.54 1.04 0.82 1.1 3.94 5.74 13.18
Atlanta 0.44 1.32 2.34 3.18 2.34 3.42 13.04
St Louis 0.1 0.18 0.56 2.02 0.96 1.16 4.98
NY Giants 0.08 0.3 0.6 0.68 2.58 3.5 7.74

Generated: Mon Sep 17 23:51:00 EDT 2007

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