NFL playoff races and other musings

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the divisionAFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New England	88.78	9.22	1.94	0.06
NY Jets	3.58	56.54	38.68	1.2
Miami	7.6	33.92	57.84	0.64
Buffalo	0.04	0.32	1.54	98.1

AFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Cincinnati	97.42	2.58	0.0	0.0
Baltimore	2.58	90.32	7.1	0.0
Pittsburgh	0.0	7.1	92.9	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

AFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Indianapolis	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jacksonville	0.0	69.22	23.26	7.52
Tennessee	0.0	16.88	47.38	35.74
Houston	0.0	13.9	29.36	56.74

AFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
San Diego	94.28	5.72	0.0	0.0
Denver	5.72	94.28	0.0	0.0
Oakland	0.0	0.0	87.66	12.34
Kansas City	0.0	0.0	12.34	87.66

NFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Philadelphia	75.8	21.28	2.92	0.0
Dallas	21.4	30.02	48.58	0.0
NY Giants	2.8	48.7	48.5	0.0
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Minnesota	98.38	1.62	0.0	0.0
Green Bay	1.62	98.38	0.0	0.0
Chicago	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New Orleans	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Atlanta	0.0	86.08	13.92	0.0
Carolina	0.0	13.92	86.08	0.0
Tampa Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Arizona	97.96	2.04	0.0	0.0
San Francisco	2.04	96.44	1.52	0.0
Seattle	0.0	1.52	98.48	0.0
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

Generated: Tue Dec 15 12:01:19 EST 2009AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
Indianapolis	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
San Diego	0.0	86.7	6.36	1.22	5.18	0.48	99.94
Cincinnati	0.0	6.9	35.08	55.44	0.0	0.16	97.58
New England	0.0	2.12	53.18	33.48	0.06	2.6	91.44
Denver	0.0	4.28	1.14	0.3	72.04	19.36	97.12
NY Jets	0.0	0.0	2.16	1.42	0.7	12.48	16.76
Miami	0.0	0.0	1.32	6.28	0.36	5.74	13.7
Baltimore	0.0	0.0	0.76	1.82	17.78	34.8	55.16
Jacksonville	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.84	20.8	24.64
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.04	0.0	0.0	0.04
Pittsburgh	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.04	1.78	1.82
Houston	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.14	1.14
Tennessee	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.66	0.66
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kansas City	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Oakland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
New Orleans	98.32	1.68	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
Minnesota	1.68	85.6	9.52	1.58	1.48	0.14	100.0
Philadelphia	0.0	10.14	61.44	4.22	6.56	13.96	96.32
Arizona	0.0	0.98	19.88	77.1	0.0	0.48	98.44
Green Bay	0.0	1.42	0.2	0.0	83.28	13.08	97.98
Dallas	0.0	0.18	8.5	12.72	0.88	28.0	50.28
NY Giants	0.0	0.0	0.46	2.34	7.64	38.32	48.76
San Francisco	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.04	0.16	5.54	7.74
Atlanta	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.42	0.42
Carolina	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.06	0.06
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Chicago	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tampa Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Seattle	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Generated: Tue Dec 15 12:01:19 EST 2009

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