2009 NFL Playoff Predictions After Week 9

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 88.46 10.66 0.84 0.04
NY Jets 10.44 66.22 19.1 4.24
Miami 0.82 15.32 54.66 29.2
Buffalo 0.28 7.8 25.4 66.52

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 70.14 27.5 2.36 0.0
Cincinnati 29.4 68.4 2.2 0.0
Baltimore 0.46 4.1 95.4 0.04
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.04 99.96

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 99.72 0.28 0.0 0.0
Houston 0.26 68.32 26.58 4.84
Jacksonville 0.02 29.16 58.96 11.86
Tennessee 0.0 2.24 14.46 83.3

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 88.72 11.28 0.0 0.0
San Diego 11.28 88.72 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 83.52 16.48
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 16.48 83.52

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 69.72 21.84 8.42 0.02
Philadelphia 17.08 43.88 38.86 0.18
NY Giants 13.2 34.26 52.2 0.34
Washington 0.0 0.02 0.52 99.46

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Minnesota 95.58 3.82 0.6 0.0
Green Bay 1.74 68.24 30.0 0.02
Chicago 2.68 27.9 69.12 0.3
Detroit 0.0 0.04 0.28 99.68

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 99.88 0.12 0.0 0.0
Atlanta 0.12 91.7 8.08 0.1
Carolina 0.0 8.12 89.82 2.06
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.06 2.1 97.84

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 82.74 13.44 3.78 0.04
San Francisco 11.06 51.42 36.14 1.38
Seattle 6.12 34.72 55.88 3.28
St Louis 0.08 0.42 4.2 95.3

Generated: Tue Nov 10 21:23:49 EST 2009

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Indianapolis 64.62 19.08 11.2 4.82 0.04 0.1 99.86
Pittsburgh 20.8 37.5 10.02 1.82 24.76 3.42 98.32
Denver 10.5 24.44 42.36 11.42 4.76 4.74 98.22
New England 2.34 8.26 16.66 61.2 0.78 2.16 91.4
Cincinnati 1.5 8.66 12.94 6.3 32.88 21.68 83.96
San Diego 0.2 1.76 5.7 3.62 23.76 30.18 65.22
NY Jets 0.04 0.18 0.8 9.42 2.08 7.92 20.44
Houston 0.0 0.08 0.1 0.08 7.34 16.06 23.66
Baltimore 0.0 0.04 0.22 0.2 2.24 8.36 11.06
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.82 0.06 0.54 1.42
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.28 0.02 0.12 0.42
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 1.28 4.6 5.9
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.12 0.12
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New Orleans 89.14 9.04 1.56 0.14 0.12 0.0 100.0
Minnesota 7.76 55.74 23.48 8.6 1.16 1.5 98.24
Dallas 2.94 20.22 38.86 7.7 14.32 8.44 92.48
Arizona 0.04 7.04 17.52 58.14 0.48 1.26 84.48
Philadelphia 0.06 4.34 10.48 2.2 22.9 19.38 59.36
NY Giants 0.02 2.58 5.66 4.94 15.7 17.5 46.4
Green Bay 0.0 0.78 0.58 0.38 18.04 18.72 38.5
Atlanta 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.0 21.96 21.4 43.48
Chicago 0.0 0.22 1.24 1.22 4.2 8.02 14.9
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.38 10.68 0.58 2.0 13.64
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.92 0.3 0.92 7.34
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08 0.0 0.0 0.08
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.22 0.86 1.08
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.02
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Nov 10 21:23:49 EST 2009

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