To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 88.46 | 10.66 | 0.84 | 0.04 |
NY Jets | 10.44 | 66.22 | 19.1 | 4.24 |
Miami | 0.82 | 15.32 | 54.66 | 29.2 |
Buffalo | 0.28 | 7.8 | 25.4 | 66.52 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 70.14 | 27.5 | 2.36 | 0.0 |
Cincinnati | 29.4 | 68.4 | 2.2 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 0.46 | 4.1 | 95.4 | 0.04 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 99.96 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 99.72 | 0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Houston | 0.26 | 68.32 | 26.58 | 4.84 |
Jacksonville | 0.02 | 29.16 | 58.96 | 11.86 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 2.24 | 14.46 | 83.3 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Denver | 88.72 | 11.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego | 11.28 | 88.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.52 | 16.48 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.48 | 83.52 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Dallas | 69.72 | 21.84 | 8.42 | 0.02 |
Philadelphia | 17.08 | 43.88 | 38.86 | 0.18 |
NY Giants | 13.2 | 34.26 | 52.2 | 0.34 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.52 | 99.46 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Minnesota | 95.58 | 3.82 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 1.74 | 68.24 | 30.0 | 0.02 |
Chicago | 2.68 | 27.9 | 69.12 | 0.3 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.28 | 99.68 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 99.88 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Atlanta | 0.12 | 91.7 | 8.08 | 0.1 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 8.12 | 89.82 | 2.06 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.06 | 2.1 | 97.84 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 82.74 | 13.44 | 3.78 | 0.04 |
San Francisco | 11.06 | 51.42 | 36.14 | 1.38 |
Seattle | 6.12 | 34.72 | 55.88 | 3.28 |
St Louis | 0.08 | 0.42 | 4.2 | 95.3 |
Generated: Tue Nov 10 21:23:49 EST 2009
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Indianapolis | 64.62 | 19.08 | 11.2 | 4.82 | 0.04 | 0.1 | 99.86 |
Pittsburgh | 20.8 | 37.5 | 10.02 | 1.82 | 24.76 | 3.42 | 98.32 |
Denver | 10.5 | 24.44 | 42.36 | 11.42 | 4.76 | 4.74 | 98.22 |
New England | 2.34 | 8.26 | 16.66 | 61.2 | 0.78 | 2.16 | 91.4 |
Cincinnati | 1.5 | 8.66 | 12.94 | 6.3 | 32.88 | 21.68 | 83.96 |
San Diego | 0.2 | 1.76 | 5.7 | 3.62 | 23.76 | 30.18 | 65.22 |
NY Jets | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.8 | 9.42 | 2.08 | 7.92 | 20.44 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.08 | 7.34 | 16.06 | 23.66 |
Baltimore | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.22 | 0.2 | 2.24 | 8.36 | 11.06 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.82 | 0.06 | 0.54 | 1.42 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.42 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 1.28 | 4.6 | 5.9 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New Orleans | 89.14 | 9.04 | 1.56 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Minnesota | 7.76 | 55.74 | 23.48 | 8.6 | 1.16 | 1.5 | 98.24 |
Dallas | 2.94 | 20.22 | 38.86 | 7.7 | 14.32 | 8.44 | 92.48 |
Arizona | 0.04 | 7.04 | 17.52 | 58.14 | 0.48 | 1.26 | 84.48 |
Philadelphia | 0.06 | 4.34 | 10.48 | 2.2 | 22.9 | 19.38 | 59.36 |
NY Giants | 0.02 | 2.58 | 5.66 | 4.94 | 15.7 | 17.5 | 46.4 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 0.78 | 0.58 | 0.38 | 18.04 | 18.72 | 38.5 |
Atlanta | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.0 | 21.96 | 21.4 | 43.48 |
Chicago | 0.0 | 0.22 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 4.2 | 8.02 | 14.9 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.38 | 10.68 | 0.58 | 2.0 | 13.64 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.92 | 0.3 | 0.92 | 7.34 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 | 0.86 | 1.08 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.02 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Tue Nov 10 21:23:49 EST 2009