To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com. Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats. Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the divisionAFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
NY Jets | 64.86 | 22.26 | 11.48 | 1.4 |
Miami | 24.22 | 37.3 | 32.04 | 6.44 |
New England | 9.46 | 35.64 | 42.94 | 11.96 |
Buffalo | 1.46 | 4.8 | 13.54 | 80.2 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 91.82 | 8.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 8.18 | 91.78 | 0.04 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.04 | 93.8 | 6.16 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.16 | 93.84 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Tennessee | 99.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Indianapolis | 0.5 | 99.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.02 | 58.5 | 41.48 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.08 | 41.4 | 58.52 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 56.36 | 42.18 | 1.46 | 0.0 |
Denver | 43.4 | 55.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 0.22 | 2.28 | 92.7 | 4.8 |
Kansas City | 0.02 | 0.04 | 4.74 | 95.2 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
NY Giants | 92.62 | 6.2 | 1.18 | 0.0 |
Washington | 6.6 | 70.68 | 17.86 | 4.86 |
Dallas | 0.74 | 15.68 | 55.94 | 27.64 |
Philadelphia | 0.04 | 7.44 | 25.02 | 67.5 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Chicago | 66.98 | 21.2 | 11.82 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 15.6 | 42.54 | 41.86 | 0.0 |
Minnesota | 17.42 | 36.26 | 46.32 | 0.0 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Carolina | 45.38 | 28.82 | 19.62 | 6.18 |
Atlanta | 20.48 | 33.86 | 32.48 | 13.18 |
Tampa Bay | 26.62 | 25.56 | 26.68 | 21.14 |
New Orleans | 7.52 | 11.76 | 21.22 | 59.5 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 52.76 | 41.3 | 5.94 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 39.2 | 47.54 | 13.26 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 8.04 | 11.16 | 80.8 |
Generated: Tue Nov 25 18:30:41 EST 2008 AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Tennessee | 81.32 | 13.8 | 4.38 | 0.0 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 99.9 |
Pittsburgh | 13.58 | 49.6 | 28.52 | 0.12 | 1.08 | 3.04 | 95.94 |
NY Jets | 4.64 | 25.48 | 33.9 | 0.84 | 4.68 | 13.34 | 82.88 |
New England | 0.08 | 4.6 | 4.76 | 0.02 | 5.34 | 18.54 | 33.34 |
Baltimore | 0.08 | 3.96 | 4.12 | 0.02 | 8.54 | 31.62 | 48.34 |
Miami | 0.0 | 2.24 | 21.92 | 0.06 | 3.0 | 18.08 | 45.3 |
Indianapolis | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.74 | 12.66 | 89.9 |
San Diego | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 56.34 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 56.42 |
Denver | 0.0 | 0.02 | 1.06 | 42.32 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 43.44 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.32 | 0.04 | 0.38 | 2.44 | 4.28 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
NY Giants | 72.78 | 18.46 | 1.16 | 0.22 | 3.78 | 2.18 | 98.58 |
Carolina | 17.18 | 25.66 | 2.42 | 0.12 | 13.24 | 16.08 | 74.7 |
Tampa Bay | 3.48 | 17.74 | 5.18 | 0.22 | 8.2 | 14.72 | 49.54 |
Washington | 4.22 | 2.08 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 48.08 | 20.36 | 75.04 |
Arizona | 0.96 | 16.72 | 58.9 | 23.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Atlanta | 0.98 | 14.02 | 5.3 | 0.18 | 15.36 | 19.72 | 55.56 |
Chicago | 0.02 | 2.06 | 18.1 | 46.8 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 67.28 |
New Orleans | 0.04 | 2.66 | 3.92 | 0.9 | 1.12 | 7.3 | 15.94 |
Dallas | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 8.34 | 15.06 | 24.14 |
Minnesota | 0.06 | 0.36 | 3.46 | 13.54 | 0.1 | 0.44 | 17.96 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.04 | 14.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.6 |
Philadelphia | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 1.76 | 3.86 | 5.66 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Tue Nov 25 18:30:41 EST 2008
There is a typo on the nfl-forecast.com link.
This is great stuff.
Fixed. Glad you like it.