To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.comSingle game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Miami | 60.92 | 30.42 | 7.56 | 1.1 |
NY Jets | 34.18 | 46.5 | 16.5 | 2.82 |
New England | 3.82 | 15.66 | 52.0 | 28.52 |
Buffalo | 1.08 | 7.42 | 23.94 | 67.56 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 94.02 | 5.84 | 0.14 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 5.98 | 92.18 | 1.84 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 1.96 | 94.84 | 3.2 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.02 | 3.18 | 96.8 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Tennessee | 99.78 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Indianapolis | 0.22 | 96.66 | 3.1 | 0.02 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 2.94 | 63.04 | 34.02 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.18 | 33.86 | 65.96 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Denver | 63.36 | 36.52 | 0.12 | 0.0 |
San Diego | 36.56 | 62.96 | 0.44 | 0.04 |
Oakland | 0.06 | 0.42 | 72.62 | 26.9 |
Kansas City | 0.02 | 0.1 | 26.82 | 73.06 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
NY Giants | 80.46 | 14.36 | 4.06 | 1.12 |
Washington | 11.52 | 48.3 | 27.1 | 13.08 |
Philadelphia | 5.54 | 23.24 | 33.52 | 37.7 |
Dallas | 2.48 | 14.1 | 35.32 | 48.1 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Chicago | 52.02 | 28.94 | 19.04 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 33.72 | 43.7 | 22.58 | 0.0 |
Minnesota | 14.26 | 27.36 | 58.38 | 0.0 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Carolina | 51.4 | 29.44 | 15.64 | 3.52 |
Tampa Bay | 32.72 | 35.9 | 22.48 | 8.9 |
Atlanta | 13.14 | 26.5 | 41.72 | 18.64 |
New Orleans | 2.74 | 8.16 | 20.16 | 68.94 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 50.52 | 39.82 | 9.66 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 37.7 | 46.1 | 16.2 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 11.78 | 14.08 | 74.14 |
Generated: Tue Nov 18 21:18:05 EST 2008
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Tennessee | 93.44 | 5.22 | 1.1 | 0.02 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 99.98 |
Pittsburgh | 5.3 | 57.32 | 27.82 | 3.58 | 1.22 | 1.76 | 97.0 |
Miami | 0.28 | 21.46 | 37.24 | 1.94 | 12.04 | 14.72 | 87.68 |
NY Jets | 0.88 | 9.92 | 18.1 | 5.28 | 14.0 | 21.6 | 69.78 |
Denver | 0.0 | 1.94 | 8.46 | 52.96 | 0.56 | 2.48 | 66.4 |
Baltimore | 0.0 | 1.98 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 9.36 | 17.44 | 32.78 |
New England | 0.02 | 1.82 | 1.66 | 0.32 | 4.44 | 10.68 | 18.94 |
Indianapolis | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 54.76 | 20.9 | 75.88 |
San Diego | 0.0 | 0.08 | 1.76 | 34.72 | 1.38 | 4.7 | 42.64 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.14 | 0.84 | 0.1 | 1.92 | 5.12 | 8.12 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 0.5 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.08 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
NY Giants | 48.32 | 21.88 | 9.12 | 1.14 | 9.12 | 4.78 | 94.36 |
Carolina | 21.9 | 20.9 | 7.94 | 0.66 | 12.38 | 12.38 | 76.16 |
Arizona | 14.14 | 22.5 | 47.0 | 16.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Tampa Bay | 7.24 | 17.06 | 8.1 | 0.32 | 12.46 | 16.0 | 61.18 |
Washington | 5.18 | 4.68 | 1.48 | 0.18 | 35.18 | 18.8 | 65.5 |
Philadelphia | 1.64 | 2.74 | 0.98 | 0.18 | 13.72 | 16.3 | 35.56 |
Atlanta | 1.02 | 6.82 | 5.08 | 0.22 | 7.68 | 12.86 | 33.68 |
Dallas | 0.5 | 0.92 | 1.02 | 0.04 | 8.54 | 14.34 | 25.36 |
Chicago | 0.02 | 1.08 | 11.16 | 39.76 | 0.1 | 0.68 | 52.8 |
Green Bay | 0.02 | 0.4 | 3.52 | 29.78 | 0.04 | 0.38 | 34.14 |
Minnesota | 0.02 | 0.4 | 2.84 | 11.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 14.86 |
New Orleans | 0.0 | 0.62 | 1.76 | 0.36 | 0.68 | 2.98 | 6.4 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Tue Nov 18 21:18:05 EST 2008