2008 Playoff predictions after week 11

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.comSingle game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats 

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Miami 60.92 30.42 7.56 1.1
NY Jets 34.18 46.5 16.5 2.82
New England 3.82 15.66 52.0 28.52
Buffalo 1.08 7.42 23.94 67.56

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 94.02 5.84 0.14 0.0
Baltimore 5.98 92.18 1.84 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 1.96 94.84 3.2
Cincinnati 0.0 0.02 3.18 96.8

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tennessee 99.78 0.22 0.0 0.0
Indianapolis 0.22 96.66 3.1 0.02
Jacksonville 0.0 2.94 63.04 34.02
Houston 0.0 0.18 33.86 65.96

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Denver 63.36 36.52 0.12 0.0
San Diego 36.56 62.96 0.44 0.04
Oakland 0.06 0.42 72.62 26.9
Kansas City 0.02 0.1 26.82 73.06

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 80.46 14.36 4.06 1.12
Washington 11.52 48.3 27.1 13.08
Philadelphia 5.54 23.24 33.52 37.7
Dallas 2.48 14.1 35.32 48.1

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 52.02 28.94 19.04 0.0
Green Bay 33.72 43.7 22.58 0.0
Minnesota 14.26 27.36 58.38 0.0
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 51.4 29.44 15.64 3.52
Tampa Bay 32.72 35.9 22.48 8.9
Atlanta 13.14 26.5 41.72 18.64
New Orleans 2.74 8.16 20.16 68.94

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 50.52 39.82 9.66
Seattle 0.0 37.7 46.1 16.2
St Louis 0.0 11.78 14.08 74.14

Generated: Tue Nov 18 21:18:05 EST 2008

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Tennessee 93.44 5.22 1.1 0.02 0.2 0.0 99.98
Pittsburgh 5.3 57.32 27.82 3.58 1.22 1.76 97.0
Miami 0.28 21.46 37.24 1.94 12.04 14.72 87.68
NY Jets 0.88 9.92 18.1 5.28 14.0 21.6 69.78
Denver 0.0 1.94 8.46 52.96 0.56 2.48 66.4
Baltimore 0.0 1.98 3.0 1.0 9.36 17.44 32.78
New England 0.02 1.82 1.66 0.32 4.44 10.68 18.94
Indianapolis 0.08 0.12 0.02 0.0 54.76 20.9 75.88
San Diego 0.0 0.08 1.76 34.72 1.38 4.7 42.64
Buffalo 0.0 0.14 0.84 0.1 1.92 5.12 8.12
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.0 0.0 0.06
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.0 0.02
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.08 0.42 0.5
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.12 0.14
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.06 0.08
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
NY Giants 48.32 21.88 9.12 1.14 9.12 4.78 94.36
Carolina 21.9 20.9 7.94 0.66 12.38 12.38 76.16
Arizona 14.14 22.5 47.0 16.36 0.0 0.0 100.0
Tampa Bay 7.24 17.06 8.1 0.32 12.46 16.0 61.18
Washington 5.18 4.68 1.48 0.18 35.18 18.8 65.5
Philadelphia 1.64 2.74 0.98 0.18 13.72 16.3 35.56
Atlanta 1.02 6.82 5.08 0.22 7.68 12.86 33.68
Dallas 0.5 0.92 1.02 0.04 8.54 14.34 25.36
Chicago 0.02 1.08 11.16 39.76 0.1 0.68 52.8
Green Bay 0.02 0.4 3.52 29.78 0.04 0.38 34.14
Minnesota 0.02 0.4 2.84 11.0 0.1 0.5 14.86
New Orleans 0.0 0.62 1.76 0.36 0.68 2.98 6.4
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Nov 18 21:18:05 EST 2008

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