2008 Playoff Predictions after week 9

I’ll be more regular updating the weekly predictions through out the remainder of the season.

To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com

Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Miami 46.44 32.34 19.0 2.22
Buffalo 30.16 34.1 29.2 6.54
NY Jets 22.32 29.04 37.62 11.02
New England 1.08 4.52 14.18 80.22

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 93.86 6.12 0.02 0.0
Baltimore 6.14 90.98 2.84 0.04
Cleveland 0.0 2.88 92.02 5.1
Cincinnati 0.0 0.02 5.12 94.86

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Tennessee 98.32 1.66 0.02 0.0
Indianapolis 1.62 77.56 16.8 4.02
Jacksonville 0.02 11.76 42.08 46.14
Houston 0.04 9.02 41.1 49.84

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 82.94 16.48 0.54 0.04
Denver 16.76 75.7 7.22 0.32
Oakland 0.3 7.18 79.46 13.06
Kansas City 0.0 0.64 12.78 86.58

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Washington 41.34 35.32 20.32 3.02
NY Giants 32.26 28.62 31.62 7.5
Philadelphia 25.58 32.78 33.62 8.02
Dallas 0.82 3.28 14.44 81.46

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 77.96 16.66 5.38 0.0
Green Bay 14.04 44.32 41.62 0.02
Minnesota 8.0 39.02 52.92 0.06
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.08 99.92

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 68.46 21.74 8.08 1.72
Tampa Bay 13.56 31.54 35.4 19.5
Atlanta 13.94 31.44 31.64 22.98
New Orleans 4.04 15.28 24.88 55.8

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arizona 99.06 0.8 0.14 0.0
Seattle 0.48 32.02 38.54 28.96
St Louis 0.24 38.08 27.32 34.36
San Francisco 0.22 29.1 34.0 36.68

Generated: Sat Nov 08 21:54:09 EST 2008

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Tennessee 68.88 21.78 6.66 1.0 1.16 0.3 99.78
Pittsburgh 26.24 42.98 17.18 7.46 2.42 1.66 97.94
Buffalo 2.22 10.58 16.6 0.76 21.96 17.7 69.82
Miami 0.82 12.28 31.2 2.14 16.72 16.14 79.3
NY Jets 0.96 5.32 12.34 3.7 13.56 16.64 52.52
San Diego 0.24 3.9 11.88 66.92 0.58 1.44 84.96
Baltimore 0.22 2.44 2.36 1.12 17.94 17.94 42.02
Indianapolis 0.42 0.5 0.42 0.28 22.12 19.56 43.3
Denver 0.0 0.08 0.78 15.9 0.66 1.96 19.38
New England 0.0 0.12 0.54 0.42 1.26 2.44 4.78
Houston 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.0 1.1 2.32 3.46
Oakland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
Jacksonville 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.0 0.28 1.2 1.5
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.24 0.7 0.94
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kansas City 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Carolina 31.24 27.58 8.18 1.46 8.2 8.62 85.28
Washington 23.8 12.98 3.98 0.58 28.28 14.3 83.92
NY Giants 17.98 9.3 3.6 1.38 19.58 17.1 68.94
Philadelphia 11.38 9.12 3.96 1.12 23.84 18.5 67.92
Arizona 5.1 12.08 31.84 50.04 0.0 0.0 99.06
Chicago 4.32 11.66 32.7 29.28 0.32 1.02 79.3
Tampa Bay 3.04 6.48 3.12 0.92 7.7 14.36 35.62
Atlanta 2.36 7.46 3.26 0.86 7.2 12.94 34.08
New Orleans 0.26 1.68 1.3 0.8 1.66 5.26 10.96
Minnesota 0.28 0.64 2.8 4.28 1.5 3.04 12.54
Green Bay 0.1 0.7 4.98 8.26 0.14 0.72 14.9
Dallas 0.14 0.32 0.22 0.14 1.58 4.14 6.54
Seattle 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.46 0.0 0.0 0.48
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.04 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.24
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.22 0.0 0.0 0.22
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Sat Nov 08 21:54:09 EST 2008

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.