I’ll be more regular updating the weekly predictions through out the remainder of the season.
To run your own scenarios, try using the software at nfl-forecast.com
Single game predictions are based on team efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Miami | 46.44 | 32.34 | 19.0 | 2.22 |
Buffalo | 30.16 | 34.1 | 29.2 | 6.54 |
NY Jets | 22.32 | 29.04 | 37.62 | 11.02 |
New England | 1.08 | 4.52 | 14.18 | 80.22 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 93.86 | 6.12 | 0.02 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 6.14 | 90.98 | 2.84 | 0.04 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 2.88 | 92.02 | 5.1 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.02 | 5.12 | 94.86 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Tennessee | 98.32 | 1.66 | 0.02 | 0.0 |
Indianapolis | 1.62 | 77.56 | 16.8 | 4.02 |
Jacksonville | 0.02 | 11.76 | 42.08 | 46.14 |
Houston | 0.04 | 9.02 | 41.1 | 49.84 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 82.94 | 16.48 | 0.54 | 0.04 |
Denver | 16.76 | 75.7 | 7.22 | 0.32 |
Oakland | 0.3 | 7.18 | 79.46 | 13.06 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.64 | 12.78 | 86.58 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Washington | 41.34 | 35.32 | 20.32 | 3.02 |
NY Giants | 32.26 | 28.62 | 31.62 | 7.5 |
Philadelphia | 25.58 | 32.78 | 33.62 | 8.02 |
Dallas | 0.82 | 3.28 | 14.44 | 81.46 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Chicago | 77.96 | 16.66 | 5.38 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 14.04 | 44.32 | 41.62 | 0.02 |
Minnesota | 8.0 | 39.02 | 52.92 | 0.06 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 99.92 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Carolina | 68.46 | 21.74 | 8.08 | 1.72 |
Tampa Bay | 13.56 | 31.54 | 35.4 | 19.5 |
Atlanta | 13.94 | 31.44 | 31.64 | 22.98 |
New Orleans | 4.04 | 15.28 | 24.88 | 55.8 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Arizona | 99.06 | 0.8 | 0.14 | 0.0 |
Seattle | 0.48 | 32.02 | 38.54 | 28.96 |
St Louis | 0.24 | 38.08 | 27.32 | 34.36 |
San Francisco | 0.22 | 29.1 | 34.0 | 36.68 |
Generated: Sat Nov 08 21:54:09 EST 2008
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Tennessee | 68.88 | 21.78 | 6.66 | 1.0 | 1.16 | 0.3 | 99.78 |
Pittsburgh | 26.24 | 42.98 | 17.18 | 7.46 | 2.42 | 1.66 | 97.94 |
Buffalo | 2.22 | 10.58 | 16.6 | 0.76 | 21.96 | 17.7 | 69.82 |
Miami | 0.82 | 12.28 | 31.2 | 2.14 | 16.72 | 16.14 | 79.3 |
NY Jets | 0.96 | 5.32 | 12.34 | 3.7 | 13.56 | 16.64 | 52.52 |
San Diego | 0.24 | 3.9 | 11.88 | 66.92 | 0.58 | 1.44 | 84.96 |
Baltimore | 0.22 | 2.44 | 2.36 | 1.12 | 17.94 | 17.94 | 42.02 |
Indianapolis | 0.42 | 0.5 | 0.42 | 0.28 | 22.12 | 19.56 | 43.3 |
Denver | 0.0 | 0.08 | 0.78 | 15.9 | 0.66 | 1.96 | 19.38 |
New England | 0.0 | 0.12 | 0.54 | 0.42 | 1.26 | 2.44 | 4.78 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.32 | 3.46 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.28 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.24 | 0.7 | 0.94 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Carolina | 31.24 | 27.58 | 8.18 | 1.46 | 8.2 | 8.62 | 85.28 |
Washington | 23.8 | 12.98 | 3.98 | 0.58 | 28.28 | 14.3 | 83.92 |
NY Giants | 17.98 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.38 | 19.58 | 17.1 | 68.94 |
Philadelphia | 11.38 | 9.12 | 3.96 | 1.12 | 23.84 | 18.5 | 67.92 |
Arizona | 5.1 | 12.08 | 31.84 | 50.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.06 |
Chicago | 4.32 | 11.66 | 32.7 | 29.28 | 0.32 | 1.02 | 79.3 |
Tampa Bay | 3.04 | 6.48 | 3.12 | 0.92 | 7.7 | 14.36 | 35.62 |
Atlanta | 2.36 | 7.46 | 3.26 | 0.86 | 7.2 | 12.94 | 34.08 |
New Orleans | 0.26 | 1.68 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.66 | 5.26 | 10.96 |
Minnesota | 0.28 | 0.64 | 2.8 | 4.28 | 1.5 | 3.04 | 12.54 |
Green Bay | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.98 | 8.26 | 0.14 | 0.72 | 14.9 |
Dallas | 0.14 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 1.58 | 4.14 | 6.54 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.48 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.24 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.22 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Sat Nov 08 21:54:09 EST 2008