2007 Playoff predictions after week 5

That Monday Night Game was a real treat. Here are this week’s predictions:

Division Finish

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NY Jets 0.0 54.02 33.04 12.94
Buffalo 0.0 33.3 40.88 25.82
Miami 0.0 12.68 26.08 61.24

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 69.66 23.26 5.66 1.42
Baltimore 24.94 48.12 20.4 6.54
Cleveland 3.38 19.64 45.7 31.28
Cincinnati 2.02 8.98 28.24 60.76

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 64.84 23.8 10.52 0.84
Tennessee 21.44 43.78 27.72 7.06
Jacksonville 13.08 27.68 45.64 13.6
Houston 0.64 4.74 16.12 78.5

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 36.66 27.7 20.62 15.02
Denver 22.34 26.26 25.92 25.48
Kansas City 21.5 23.78 26.84 27.88
Oakland 19.5 22.26 26.62 31.62

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Dallas 81.58 14.62 3.64 0.16
Washington 11.56 42.78 41.46 4.2
NY Giants 6.68 40.94 46.18 6.2
Philadelphia 0.18 1.66 8.72 89.44

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 71.16 20.6 7.96 0.28
Detroit 17.34 42.0 36.72 3.94
Chicago 11.36 35.16 44.98 8.5
Minnesota 0.14 2.24 10.34 87.28

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carolina 50.74 39.68 7.84 1.74
Tampa Bay 44.84 40.68 11.56 2.92
Atlanta 2.84 11.06 41.08 45.02
New Orleans 1.58 8.58 39.52 50.32

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 61.38 30.58 7.96 0.08
Arizona 32.98 47.86 19.12 0.04
San Francisco 5.64 21.54 71.82 1.0
St Louis 0.0 0.02 1.1 98.88

Generated: Tue Oct 09 00:17:48 EDT 2007

Playoff Seedings

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 57.46 28.84 13.02 0.68 0.0 0.0 100.0
Indianapolis 25.98 25.96 11.8 1.1 18.74 9.76 93.34
Pittsburgh 7.04 18.92 37.62 6.08 5.2 7.58 82.44
Tennessee 4.24 11.7 5.26 0.24 34.92 20.68 77.04
Jacksonville 2.72 6.7 3.42 0.24 23.62 27.24 63.94
Baltimore 2.38 5.76 14.52 2.28 10.04 15.74 50.72
San Diego 0.04 0.74 4.06 31.82 0.46 1.28 38.4
Oakland 0.04 0.36 2.12 16.98 0.38 1.28 21.16
Houston 0.06 0.36 0.2 0.02 3.34 6.18 10.16
Cleveland 0.02 0.24 2.18 0.94 1.84 5.64 10.86
Kansas City 0.02 0.08 1.7 19.7 0.16 0.7 22.36
Denver 0.0 0.18 2.66 19.5 0.32 0.94 23.6
Cincinnati 0.0 0.16 1.44 0.42 0.9 2.56 5.48
NY Jets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.32 0.38
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02 0.1 0.12
Miami 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Dallas 61.8 14.64 4.46 0.68 12.12 3.72 97.42
Green Bay 13.7 26.26 23.56 7.64 5.12 6.08 82.36
Seattle 7.78 23.24 21.2 9.16 6.68 9.18 77.24
Washington 6.7 3.36 1.24 0.26 30.48 20.18 62.22
Arizona 2.96 11.12 12.14 6.76 6.98 11.42 51.38
NY Giants 3.08 2.28 1.0 0.32 24.42 18.82 49.92
Carolina 1.58 6.46 12.18 30.52 1.72 4.02 56.48
Detroit 0.96 4.26 7.94 4.18 4.26 8.12 29.72
Tampa Bay 0.94 3.82 8.6 31.48 1.36 2.86 49.06
Chicago 0.3 3.18 4.54 3.34 3.64 7.22 22.22
San Francisco 0.18 1.12 2.32 2.02 2.32 5.4 13.36
New Orleans 0.02 0.08 0.28 1.2 0.16 0.6 2.34
Atlanta 0.0 0.08 0.48 2.28 0.1 0.44 3.38
Philadelphia 0.0 0.08 0.04 0.06 0.54 1.64 2.36
Minnesota 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.54
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Oct 09 00:17:48 EDT 2007

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.