Here are the 2oo7 Preseason Playoff predictions. The interactive software is available at www.nfl-forecast.com. So far the software and algorithms are pretty much the same as last year. However, I’m hoping to implement an improved prediction algorithm in the near future.
Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division
AFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 80.16 | 14.94 | 4.12 | 0.78 |
NY Jets | 11.28 | 40.48 | 30.9 | 17.34 |
Miami | 6.1 | 29.08 | 35.52 | 29.3 |
Buffalo | 2.46 | 15.5 | 29.46 | 52.58 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Baltimore | 38.96 | 30.58 | 23.16 | 7.3 |
Cincinnati | 34.02 | 31.3 | 26.36 | 8.32 |
Pittsburgh | 24.86 | 31.08 | 31.54 | 12.52 |
Cleveland | 2.16 | 7.04 | 18.94 | 71.86 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 65.6 | 25.9 | 6.9 | 1.6 |
Jacksonville | 26.94 | 47.34 | 18.82 | 6.9 |
Tennessee | 5.54 | 17.46 | 45.28 | 31.72 |
Houston | 1.92 | 9.3 | 29.0 | 59.78 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 54.36 | 31.82 | 11.78 | 2.04 |
Denver | 36.14 | 41.56 | 18.84 | 3.46 |
Kansas City | 8.96 | 21.9 | 49.3 | 19.84 |
Oakland | 0.54 | 4.72 | 20.08 | 74.66 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Philadelphia | 35.3 | 29.7 | 22.62 | 12.38 |
Dallas | 36.92 | 29.76 | 20.62 | 12.7 |
NY Giants | 18.54 | 24.4 | 29.2 | 27.86 |
Washington | 9.24 | 16.14 | 27.56 | 47.06 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Chicago | 74.96 | 17.32 | 6.1 | 1.62 |
Green Bay | 13.5 | 37.46 | 29.52 | 19.52 |
Minnesota | 7.36 | 26.52 | 33.3 | 32.82 |
Detroit | 4.18 | 18.7 | 31.08 | 46.04 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New Orleans | 38.86 | 28.48 | 20.58 | 12.08 |
Carolina | 32.58 | 29.16 | 23.06 | 15.2 |
Atlanta | 19.84 | 24.72 | 30.28 | 25.16 |
Tampa Bay | 8.72 | 17.64 | 26.08 | 47.56 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Seattle | 40.56 | 27.6 | 18.98 | 12.86 |
San Francisco | 23.4 | 24.84 | 26.14 | 25.62 |
St Louis | 19.9 | 26.06 | 27.1 | 26.94 |
Arizona | 16.14 | 21.5 | 27.78 | 34.58 |
Generated: Sat Sep 08 12:45:13 EDT 2007
AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New England | 26.12 | 20.46 | 17.52 | 16.06 | 3.48 | 3.56 | 87.2 |
Indianapolis | 18.46 | 16.24 | 15.34 | 15.56 | 6.68 | 6.76 | 79.04 |
San Diego | 18.2 | 14.66 | 12.24 | 9.26 | 13.34 | 8.8 | 76.5 |
Denver | 10.22 | 9.82 | 9.12 | 6.98 | 16.72 | 11.14 | 64.0 |
Baltimore | 7.74 | 10.34 | 10.6 | 10.28 | 8.6 | 9.38 | 56.94 |
Cincinnati | 6.86 | 8.16 | 9.38 | 9.62 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 53.02 |
Jacksonville | 4.64 | 6.68 | 7.2 | 8.42 | 10.9 | 9.52 | 47.36 |
Pittsburgh | 3.68 | 5.94 | 7.44 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 9.12 | 42.18 |
Kansas City | 1.48 | 2.08 | 2.68 | 2.72 | 6.28 | 7.88 | 23.12 |
NY Jets | 1.34 | 2.34 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 6.38 | 7.14 | 24.8 |
Miami | 0.72 | 1.24 | 1.84 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 5.34 | 15.14 |
Tennessee | 0.3 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 2.62 | 2.42 | 4.04 | 12.0 |
Buffalo | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.7 | 1.34 | 1.64 | 2.42 | 6.52 |
Cleveland | 0.04 | 0.4 | 0.54 | 1.18 | 1.12 | 2.1 | 5.38 |
Houston | 0.02 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.84 | 1.6 | 4.36 |
Oakland | 0.02 | 0.1 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.44 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Chicago | 23.54 | 18.8 | 16.88 | 15.74 | 3.52 | 3.34 | 81.82 |
Dallas | 13.72 | 10.04 | 8.12 | 5.04 | 12.3 | 9.78 | 59.0 |
Philadelphia | 12.18 | 9.78 | 8.02 | 5.32 | 12.16 | 9.62 | 57.08 |
New Orleans | 10.86 | 10.94 | 9.84 | 7.22 | 9.16 | 8.1 | 56.12 |
Carolina | 8.96 | 10.08 | 7.44 | 6.1 | 9.62 | 8.64 | 50.84 |
Seattle | 7.32 | 8.9 | 10.66 | 13.68 | 4.66 | 5.92 | 51.14 |
NY Giants | 4.84 | 5.56 | 4.62 | 3.52 | 9.46 | 9.24 | 37.24 |
Atlanta | 4.4 | 5.14 | 5.46 | 4.84 | 7.42 | 7.74 | 35.0 |
San Francisco | 2.8 | 5.16 | 6.5 | 8.94 | 3.86 | 4.72 | 31.98 |
Washington | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.38 | 2.16 | 5.88 | 6.6 | 21.72 |
St Louis | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.68 | 8.22 | 4.78 | 5.14 | 29.82 |
Green Bay | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.96 | 4.74 | 5.36 | 5.7 | 24.56 |
Arizona | 2.04 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 6.6 | 2.74 | 4.42 | 23.3 |
Tampa Bay | 1.76 | 2.04 | 2.52 | 2.4 | 3.94 | 5.32 | 17.98 |
Minnesota | 0.7 | 1.08 | 2.24 | 3.34 | 3.34 | 3.4 | 14.1 |
Detroit | 0.38 | 0.58 | 1.08 | 2.14 | 1.8 | 2.32 | 8.3 |
Generated: Sat Sep 08 12:45:13 EDT 2007