2007 Preseason Playoff Predictions

Here are the 2oo7 Preseason Playoff predictions. The interactive software is available at www.nfl-forecast.com. So far the software and algorithms are pretty much the same as last year. However, I’m hoping to implement an improved prediction algorithm in the near future.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 80.16 14.94 4.12 0.78
NY Jets 11.28 40.48 30.9 17.34
Miami 6.1 29.08 35.52 29.3
Buffalo 2.46 15.5 29.46 52.58

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Baltimore 38.96 30.58 23.16 7.3
Cincinnati 34.02 31.3 26.36 8.32
Pittsburgh 24.86 31.08 31.54 12.52
Cleveland 2.16 7.04 18.94 71.86

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Indianapolis 65.6 25.9 6.9 1.6
Jacksonville 26.94 47.34 18.82 6.9
Tennessee 5.54 17.46 45.28 31.72
Houston 1.92 9.3 29.0 59.78

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
San Diego 54.36 31.82 11.78 2.04
Denver 36.14 41.56 18.84 3.46
Kansas City 8.96 21.9 49.3 19.84
Oakland 0.54 4.72 20.08 74.66

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Philadelphia 35.3 29.7 22.62 12.38
Dallas 36.92 29.76 20.62 12.7
NY Giants 18.54 24.4 29.2 27.86
Washington 9.24 16.14 27.56 47.06

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Chicago 74.96 17.32 6.1 1.62
Green Bay 13.5 37.46 29.52 19.52
Minnesota 7.36 26.52 33.3 32.82
Detroit 4.18 18.7 31.08 46.04

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New Orleans 38.86 28.48 20.58 12.08
Carolina 32.58 29.16 23.06 15.2
Atlanta 19.84 24.72 30.28 25.16
Tampa Bay 8.72 17.64 26.08 47.56

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 40.56 27.6 18.98 12.86
San Francisco 23.4 24.84 26.14 25.62
St Louis 19.9 26.06 27.1 26.94
Arizona 16.14 21.5 27.78 34.58

Generated: Sat Sep 08 12:45:13 EDT 2007

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 26.12 20.46 17.52 16.06 3.48 3.56 87.2
Indianapolis 18.46 16.24 15.34 15.56 6.68 6.76 79.04
San Diego 18.2 14.66 12.24 9.26 13.34 8.8 76.5
Denver 10.22 9.82 9.12 6.98 16.72 11.14 64.0
Baltimore 7.74 10.34 10.6 10.28 8.6 9.38 56.94
Cincinnati 6.86 8.16 9.38 9.62 9.0 10.0 53.02
Jacksonville 4.64 6.68 7.2 8.42 10.9 9.52 47.36
Pittsburgh 3.68 5.94 7.44 7.8 8.2 9.12 42.18
Kansas City 1.48 2.08 2.68 2.72 6.28 7.88 23.12
NY Jets 1.34 2.34 3.0 4.6 6.38 7.14 24.8
Miami 0.72 1.24 1.84 2.3 3.7 5.34 15.14
Tennessee 0.3 1.08 1.54 2.62 2.42 4.04 12.0
Buffalo 0.16 0.26 0.7 1.34 1.64 2.42 6.52
Cleveland 0.04 0.4 0.54 1.18 1.12 2.1 5.38
Houston 0.02 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.84 1.6 4.36
Oakland 0.02 0.1 0.26 0.16 0.7 1.2 2.44

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Chicago 23.54 18.8 16.88 15.74 3.52 3.34 81.82
Dallas 13.72 10.04 8.12 5.04 12.3 9.78 59.0
Philadelphia 12.18 9.78 8.02 5.32 12.16 9.62 57.08
New Orleans 10.86 10.94 9.84 7.22 9.16 8.1 56.12
Carolina 8.96 10.08 7.44 6.1 9.62 8.64 50.84
Seattle 7.32 8.9 10.66 13.68 4.66 5.92 51.14
NY Giants 4.84 5.56 4.62 3.52 9.46 9.24 37.24
Atlanta 4.4 5.14 5.46 4.84 7.42 7.74 35.0
San Francisco 2.8 5.16 6.5 8.94 3.86 4.72 31.98
Washington 2.4 2.3 2.38 2.16 5.88 6.6 21.72
St Louis 2.0 4.0 5.68 8.22 4.78 5.14 29.82
Green Bay 2.1 2.7 3.96 4.74 5.36 5.7 24.56
Arizona 2.04 2.9 4.6 6.6 2.74 4.42 23.3
Tampa Bay 1.76 2.04 2.52 2.4 3.94 5.32 17.98
Minnesota 0.7 1.08 2.24 3.34 3.34 3.4 14.1
Detroit 0.38 0.58 1.08 2.14 1.8 2.32 8.3

Generated: Sat Sep 08 12:45:13 EDT 2007

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