Here is this week’s comparison Mike Harris’ playoff predictions based on DVOA power ratings and my playoff forecasts. The two forecasts are really starting to converge.
Edited to correct data entry error.
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
NewEngland 98.70% 88.64 99.30% 94.46
NYJets 1.00% 11.04 12.60% 35.8
Miami 0.10% 0.14 0.90% 2.74
Buffalo 0.00% 0.18 0.60% 4.82
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
Indianapolis 99.80% 99.94 99.9% 99.98
Jacksonville 0.10% 0.06 26.60% 14.84
Houston 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.02
Tennessee 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.1
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
Baltimore 99.30% 95.08 99.90% 98.1
Cincinnati 0.60% 4.9 27.20% 33.12
Pittsburgh 0.00% 0.02 0.10% 0.22
Cleveland 0.00% 0 0.00% 0
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
SanDiego 92.90% 80.76 99.70% 98.32
Denver 4.40% 11.44 74.20% 70.56
KansasCity 2.60% 7.8 55.70% 46.92
Oakland 0.00% 0 0.00% 0
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
NYGiants 19.80% 24.22 75.60% 64.38
Philadelphia 4.50% 3.24 40.70% 17.26
Dallas 75.60% 72.06 97.80% 91.4
Washington 0.00% 0.48 1.70% 5.48
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
Chicago 100.00% 99.94 100.00% 99.98
GreenBay 0.00% 0 2.80% 1.18
Minnesota 0.00% 0.06 11.60% 18.04
Detroit 0.00% 0 0.00% 0
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
NewOrleans 75.10% 67.62 92.00% 89.06
Carolina 24.50% 30.66 57.90% 61.6
Atlanta 30.00% 1.72 2.30% 10.48
TampaBay 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.04
Division Championship Playoff Odds
Team DVOA NFL-F DVOA NFL-F
Seattle 83.70% 79.98 88.00% 89.34.96
SanFrancisco 4.10% 14.72 6.00% 25.44
StLouis 12.10% 5.3 22.90% 26.32
Arizona 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.08