NFL playoff races and other musings

Playoff prediction season is here. We’ll definitely have an article or two this week.

 

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New England	97.54	2.44	0.0	0.02
NY Jets	2.44	89.52	7.98	0.06
Buffalo	0.02	7.96	85.74	6.28
Miami	0.0	0.08	6.28	93.64

AFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Cincinnati	51.68	44.2	4.04	0.08
Baltimore	46.72	45.0	7.58	0.7
Pittsburgh	1.46	9.02	61.08	28.44
Cleveland	0.14	1.78	27.3	70.78

AFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Indianapolis	99.18	0.8	0.02	0.0
Jacksonville	0.68	77.18	21.1	1.04
Houston	0.14	21.36	71.3	7.2
Tennessee	0.0	0.66	7.58	91.76

AFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Denver	79.54	16.26	4.2	0.0
San Diego	15.4	53.4	31.06	0.14
Kansas City	5.06	30.32	63.86	0.76
Oakland	0.0	0.02	0.88	99.1

NFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
NY Giants	85.72	12.32	1.86	0.1
Philadelphia	11.8	61.16	21.04	6.0
Dallas	2.26	19.66	54.18	23.9
Washington	0.22	6.86	22.92	70.0

NFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Chicago	92.14	7.84	0.02	0.0
Minnesota	7.86	89.8	2.26	0.08
Green Bay	0.0	2.16	77.3	20.54
Detroit	0.0	0.2	20.42	79.38

NFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New Orleans	52.0	29.36	17.84	0.8
Atlanta	30.36	38.86	29.06	1.72
Carolina	17.52	30.82	47.58	4.08
Tampa Bay	0.12	0.96	5.52	93.4

NFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Seattle	86.78	12.98	0.24	0.0
St Louis	13.06	82.34	3.94	0.66
San Francisco	0.12	3.08	57.0	39.8
Arizona	0.04	1.6	38.82	59.54

Generated: Tue Oct 24 00:24:55 EDT 2006

AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
Indianapolis	52.7	25.42	16.06	5.0	0.38	0.36	99.92
New England	24.6	32.34	30.08	10.52	0.8	0.7	99.04
Denver	19.5	28.2	22.24	9.6	10.78	5.06	95.38
Baltimore	1.2	5.02	10.96	29.54	12.16	12.62	71.5
Cincinnati	1.0	4.94	11.4	34.34	9.14	11.58	72.4
San Diego	0.78	2.96	6.08	5.58	24.6	18.48	58.48
Kansas City	0.06	0.68	1.92	2.4	12.68	12.92	30.66
Jacksonville	0.12	0.2	0.22	0.14	14.78	15.76	31.22
NY Jets	0.04	0.2	0.86	1.34	12.3	16.52	31.26
Houston	0.0	0.04	0.06	0.04	1.24	3.06	4.44
Pittsburgh	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.36	0.62	1.64	3.72
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.02	0.12	0.2	0.34	0.68
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.02	0.32	0.96	1.3
Miami	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tennessee	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Oakland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
Chicago	71.82	14.38	4.46	1.48	6.24	1.16	99.54
NY Giants	8.86	18.16	23.58	35.12	1.3	2.98	90.0
Seattle	5.64	31.46	31.44	18.24	1.64	4.04	92.46
New Orleans	5.64	18.52	15.4	12.44	7.76	15.14	74.9
Minnesota	5.08	2.0	0.68	0.1	59.02	16.7	83.58
Atlanta	1.76	7.12	9.82	11.66	7.74	17.1	55.2
Carolina	0.48	4.3	6.46	6.28	4.54	15.44	37.5
St Louis	0.66	2.66	3.94	5.8	7.24	12.16	32.46
Philadelphia	0.06	1.22	3.6	6.92	3.7	11.18	26.68
Dallas	0.0	0.18	0.54	1.54	0.64	2.76	5.66
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.04	0.18	0.04	0.62	0.88
Tampa Bay	0.0	0.0	0.02	0.1	0.02	0.42	0.56
San Francisco	0.0	0.0	0.02	0.1	0.02	0.04	0.18
Arizona	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.04	0.0	0.04	0.08
Green Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.22	0.32
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Generated: Tue Oct 24 00:24:55 EDT 2006

This entry was posted on Tuesday, October 24th, 2006 at 12:37 am and is filed under Weeky Predictions. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.