It is now possible to project the various match ups for the Wild Card round in the AFC, using my software and the Team Efficiency ratings at Advanced NFL Stats. Here are the projections in the AFC, with the home teams listed in the first column and their probability of facing various opponents listed in each row. The most likely match ups are NY Jets @ Kansas City and Baltimore @ Indianapolis, but there are still many other match ups in play. I’ll break down the NFC match ups after the Tuesday Night Football game.
Team | NY Jets | Pittsburgh | Baltimore | Total |
Kansas City | 71 | 17 | 12 | 100 |
Indianapolis | 27 | 10 | 54 | 91 |
Jacksonville | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
Total | 100 | 27 | 73 |