Here are this weeks predictions. As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the divisionAFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
New England | 97.09 | 2.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NY Jets | 2.91 | 97.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
AFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Pittsburgh | 80.58 | 19.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Baltimore | 19.42 | 80.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.942 | 1.058 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.058 | 98.942 |
AFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Indianapolis | 79.038 | 16.818 | 4.144 | 0.0 |
Jacksonville | 18.818 | 75.582 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.03 | 44.97 |
Tennessee | 2.144 | 7.6 | 35.226 | 55.03 |
AFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
San Diego | 46.496 | 51.324 | 2.18 | 0.0 |
Kansas City | 52.454 | 43.112 | 4.434 | 0.0 |
Oakland | 1.05 | 5.564 | 93.386 | 0.0 |
Denver | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
NFC EAST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Philadelphia | 98.322 | 1.678 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NY Giants | 1.678 | 98.322 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.054 | 42.946 |
Dallas | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.946 | 57.054 |
NFC NORTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Chicago | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Minnesota | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.464 | 37.536 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.536 | 62.464 |
NFC SOUTH
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Atlanta | 93.13 | 6.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
New Orleans | 6.87 | 80.296 | 12.834 | 0.0 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 12.834 | 87.166 | 0.0 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
NFC WEST
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
Seattle | 45.302 | 29.072 | 25.626 | 0.0 |
St Louis | 19.234 | 44.252 | 34.916 | 1.598 |
San Francisco | 35.464 | 26.676 | 35.766 | 2.094 |
Arizona | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.692 | 96.308 |
Generated: Wed Dec 22 13:58:50 EST 2010AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
New England | 97.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.91 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Pittsburgh | 0.0 | 80.52 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 3.272 | 16.148 | 100.0 |
NY Jets | 2.41 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.596 | 61.888 | 99.394 |
Baltimore | 0.5 | 18.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.154 | 18.542 | 97.116 |
Kansas City | 0.0 | 0.06 | 48.272 | 4.122 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.454 |
San Diego | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 1.096 | 0.0 | 2.594 | 49.09 |
Indianapolis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.114 | 73.924 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.038 |
Jacksonville | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.404 | 18.414 | 0.068 | 0.828 | 19.714 |
Oakland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 |
Tennessee | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.144 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.144 |
Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Miami | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Cincinnati | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Cleveland | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Houston | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Denver | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding
Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | Total |
Atlanta | 90.89 | 1.944 | 0.296 | 0.0 | 6.87 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
Philadelphia | 2.0 | 59.026 | 37.296 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.294 | 99.616 |
New Orleans | 6.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.444 | 4.696 | 88.01 |
Chicago | 0.24 | 37.588 | 62.172 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
NY Giants | 0.0 | 1.442 | 0.236 | 0.0 | 7.95 | 46.378 | 56.006 |
Seattle | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.302 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.302 |
San Francisco | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.464 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.464 |
St Louis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.234 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.234 |
Green Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.892 | 38.87 | 46.762 |
Tampa Bay | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.844 | 8.762 | 9.606 |
Dallas | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Washington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Detroit | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Minnesota | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Arizona | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Generated: Wed Dec 22 13:58:50 EST 2010
Any chance you could do a graph showing each week’s win probabilities and actual results?