NFL playoff races and other musings

Here are this week’s predictions. As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the divisionAFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
New England	97.09	2.91	0.0	0.0
NY Jets	2.91	97.09	0.0	0.0
Miami	0.0	0.0	100.0	0.0
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

AFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Pittsburgh	80.58	19.42	0.0	0.0
Baltimore	19.42	80.58	0.0	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	98.942	1.058
Cincinnati	0.0	0.0	1.058	98.942

AFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Indianapolis	79.038	16.818	4.144	0.0
Jacksonville	18.818	75.582	5.6	0.0
Houston	0.0	0.0	55.03	44.97
Tennessee	2.144	7.6	35.226	55.03

AFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
San Diego	46.496	51.324	2.18	0.0
Kansas City	52.454	43.112	4.434	0.0
Oakland	1.05	5.564	93.386	0.0
Denver	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC EAST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Philadelphia	98.322	1.678	0.0	0.0
NY Giants	1.678	98.322	0.0	0.0
Washington	0.0	0.0	57.054	42.946
Dallas	0.0	0.0	42.946	57.054

NFC NORTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Chicago	100.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Green Bay	0.0	100.0	0.0	0.0
Minnesota	0.0	0.0	62.464	37.536
Detroit	0.0	0.0	37.536	62.464

NFC SOUTH

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Atlanta	93.13	6.87	0.0	0.0
New Orleans	6.87	80.296	12.834	0.0
Tampa Bay	0.0	12.834	87.166	0.0
Carolina	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0

NFC WEST

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
Seattle	45.302	29.072	25.626	0.0
St Louis	19.234	44.252	34.916	1.598
San Francisco	35.464	26.676	35.766	2.094
Arizona	0.0	0.0	3.692	96.308

Generated: Wed Dec 22 13:58:50 EST 2010AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
New England	97.09	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.91	0.0	100.0
Pittsburgh	0.0	80.52	0.06	0.0	3.272	16.148	100.0
NY Jets	2.41	0.5	0.0	0.0	34.596	61.888	99.394
Baltimore	0.5	18.92	0.0	0.0	59.154	18.542	97.116
Kansas City	0.0	0.06	48.272	4.122	0.0	0.0	52.454
San Diego	0.0	0.0	45.4	1.096	0.0	2.594	49.09
Indianapolis	0.0	0.0	5.114	73.924	0.0	0.0	79.038
Jacksonville	0.0	0.0	0.404	18.414	0.068	0.828	19.714
Oakland	0.0	0.0	0.75	0.3	0.0	0.0	1.05
Tennessee	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.144	0.0	0.0	2.144
Buffalo	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Miami	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Cincinnati	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Cleveland	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Houston	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Denver	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	Total
Atlanta	90.89	1.944	0.296	0.0	6.87	0.0	100.0
Philadelphia	2.0	59.026	37.296	0.0	0.0	1.294	99.616
New Orleans	6.87	0.0	0.0	0.0	76.444	4.696	88.01
Chicago	0.24	37.588	62.172	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0
NY Giants	0.0	1.442	0.236	0.0	7.95	46.378	56.006
Seattle	0.0	0.0	0.0	45.302	0.0	0.0	45.302
San Francisco	0.0	0.0	0.0	35.464	0.0	0.0	35.464
St Louis	0.0	0.0	0.0	19.234	0.0	0.0	19.234
Green Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.892	38.87	46.762
Tampa Bay	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.844	8.762	9.606
Dallas	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Washington	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Detroit	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Minnesota	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Carolina	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Arizona	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Generated: Wed Dec 22 13:58:50 EST 2010

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