2010 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 13

Here are this week’s predictions. As always, you can gain more insight into the playoff races by using my software. Individual game predictions that are the basis of the playoff race simulations are based on the team efficiency ratings at AdvancedNFLStats.

Percent probability of team finishing in each place within the division

AFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
New England 82.818 16.506 0.676 0.0
NY Jets 16.958 79.664 3.378 0.0
Miami 0.224 3.83 95.868 0.078
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.078 99.922

AFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Pittsburgh 91.482 8.51 0.0080 0.0
Baltimore 8.518 90.13 1.352 0.0
Cleveland 0.0 1.36 97.754 0.886
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.886 99.114

AFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Jacksonville 34.686 35.27 24.974 5.07
Indianapolis 44.762 25.746 17.724 11.768
Houston 11.936 24.802 36.394 26.868
Tennessee 8.616 14.182 20.908 56.294

AFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Kansas City 63.57 31.214 5.216 0.0
San Diego 33.468 55.428 10.996 0.108
Oakland 2.962 13.31 83.122 0.606
Denver 0.0 0.048 0.666 99.286

NFC EAST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NY Giants 54.12 43.43 2.374 0.076
Philadelphia 45.744 51.76 2.356 0.14
Washington 0.136 3.036 62.012 34.816
Dallas 0.0 1.774 33.258 64.968

NFC NORTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Green Bay 61.72 38.228 0.052 0.0
Chicago 38.28 61.72 0.0 0.0
Minnesota 0.0 0.052 99.478 0.47
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.47 99.53

NFC SOUTH

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Atlanta 76.776 23.142 0.082 0.0
New Orleans 23.216 70.858 5.926 0.0
Tampa Bay 0.0080 6.0 93.992 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

NFC WEST

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Seattle 60.46 26.964 12.556 0.02
St Louis 25.506 42.33 31.5 0.664
San Francisco 14.034 30.268 50.592 5.106
Arizona 0.0 0.438 5.352 94.21

Generated: Tue Dec 07 17:22:51 EST 2010


AFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
New England 63.258 18.65 0.904 0.0060 14.654 1.93 99.402
Pittsburgh 28.838 61.386 1.17 0.088 3.39 4.882 99.754
NY Jets 6.754 9.334 0.808 0.062 35.838 38.064 90.86
Baltimore 0.988 6.798 0.656 0.076 42.818 32.194 83.53
Kansas City 0.156 3.044 56.264 4.106 0.138 3.654 67.362
San Diego 0.0 0.396 31.582 1.49 2.552 13.034 49.054
Indianapolis 0.0 0.042 4.264 40.456 0.0020 0.398 45.162
Jacksonville 0.0060 0.31 1.616 32.754 0.176 1.19 36.052
Oakland 0.0 0.0020 2.08 0.88 0.024 0.444 3.43
Houston 0.0 0.0 0.258 11.678 0.02 0.308 12.264
Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.26 8.356 0.0 0.0060 8.622
Miami 0.0 0.038 0.138 0.048 0.372 3.606 4.202
Cleveland 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.016 0.29 0.306
Buffalo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Denver 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NFC Percent Probability Playoff Seeding

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Total
Atlanta 68.28 6.64 1.852 0.0040 19.298 3.136 99.21
New Orleans 21.132 1.888 0.196 0.0 64.258 8.05 95.524
Green Bay 1.962 42.228 17.144 0.386 3.624 20.49 85.834
NY Giants 3.352 19.808 30.868 0.092 2.352 16.136 72.608
Chicago 2.542 21.426 14.178 0.134 5.0 30.314 73.594
Philadelphia 2.73 7.906 34.572 0.536 2.128 9.068 56.94
Seattle 0.0 0.098 1.036 59.326 0.0 0.03 60.49
St Louis 0.0 0.0 0.048 25.458 0.0 0.0 25.506
San Francisco 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.034 0.0 0.0 14.034
Tampa Bay 0.0020 0.0060 0.0 0.0 3.34 12.464 15.812
Washington 0.0 0.0 0.106 0.03 0.0 0.264 0.4
Minnesota 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.046 0.046
Dallas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0020 0.0020
Detroit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carolina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arizona 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Generated: Tue Dec 07 17:22:51 EST 2010

One Response to “2010 NFL Playoff Predictions after Week 13”

  1. James says:

    I use your software all the time. It tells me everything I’ve ever wanted to know about making the playoffs.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.